David Wasserman: “The NBC News House estimate is that Republicans will win 220 seats plus or minus 10 seats, meaning the fate of the House rests with nine uncalled competitive races in California, six in New York, two in Nevada, two in Oregon, two in Arizona, two in Colorado and a smattering in other states. Republicans have a slightly better than even chance of taking the House, but this could take more than a week to sort out (especially in slow-counting California and Arizona), and could depend on recounts. If it weren’t for GOP Rep. Lee Zeldin’s coattails in the New York governor’s race, Democrats might be favorites to hold onto their majority.”
“The blue state vs. red/purple state divide was real — for the most part. Democrats struggled in New York and came within a few points of losing double-digit Biden seats in Connecticut and Rhode Island (miraculously, it looks like Democrats will avoid losing a single New England seat). But Democrats were able to hold their ground in states where split control of state government made abortion a more prominent issue — such as Kansas, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio and Pennsylvania.”

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