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Biden’s Problem Is the Same One Obama Had in 2012

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David Frum: “When wise people explain Biden’s bad poll numbers, they cite objective facts in the real world: inflation, crime, etc. Yet Obama had almost an opposite set of facts (no inflation in 2011!) — and got almost exactly the same poll numbers.”

“My hypothesis: Obama/Biden poll numbers in 2011 and 2023 tell us less about the world – more about the inherent problems of managing the Democratic coalition, which is always more fractious and fissile than the (smaller) Republican coalition.”

Flashback to Nate Silver: Is Obama toast? Handicapping the 2012 election.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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