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Quote of the Day

September 8, 2025 at 12:05 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“We’re going to go on offense, not just on defense. Maximum lethality, not tepid legality. Violent effect, not politically correct. We’re going to raise up warriors, not just defenders.”

— Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, quoted by the BBC, after President Trump signed an executive order making the Department of War a “secondary title” for the Department of Defense.

A Way Too Early 2028 Election Model

September 8, 2025 at 12:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Patrick Ruffini has released a “way too early” model forecasting the strength of possible 2028 Democratic presidential candidates.

The first iteration has Gavin Newsom ahead in a seven candidate field with a 29.7% chance of winning across 10,000 simulations. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez comes in second place with an 19.5% chance, followed by Pete Buttigieg at 13.4%, Josh Shapiro at 12.2%, Gretchen Whitmer at 11.3%, Cory Booker at 9.0%, and Andy Beshear at 5.1%.

It’s a Hard Time to Look for Work

September 8, 2025 at 11:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “New data last week showed a fourth month of tepid job growth and propelled joblessness to its highest level since late 2021, when the economy was still recovering from the effects of the coronavirus pandemic. Now, as companies wrestle with inflation, economic uncertainty and trade policy whiplash, many are shredding payrolls and shifting tasks to artificial intelligence while pulling in higher profits. And some executives are pointedly broadcasting sizable layoffs as wins, a sign they’re making workforces leaner and more efficient.”

“Hardly any corner of the economy is untouched by jobs cuts and slowdown: Employment in all goods-producing industries slumped in August, with the deepest losses coming from manufacturing and mining. The service sector was racked by steep layoffs in business and professional services and IT.”


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Turkey’s Opposition Head Threatens Mass Protests

September 8, 2025 at 11:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Turkey’s largest opposition party will launch lawsuits and mass protests that bring ‘life to a standstill’ if the government pushes ahead with a legal “coup” against its leadership,” the Financial Times reports.

Justices Back Trump’s Aggressive Immigration Raids

September 8, 2025 at 11:52 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The U.S. Supreme Court again backed President Donald Trump’s hardline approach toward immigration on Monday, letting federal agents proceed with raids in Southern California targeting people for deportation based on their race or language,” Reuters reports.

Trump Takes It Easy on Big Tech

September 8, 2025 at 11:38 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Trump 2.0 is taking it easy on Big Tech, despite some forecasts that he would wield an antitrust anvil,” Axios reports.

“The slackness is sparking a wave of large U.S. tech mergers, with dollar volume up 52% from this time last year.”

On the Road to Stagflation

September 8, 2025 at 11:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Derek Thompson: “The first stagflation was imposed on America by outside forces. But imagine, hypothetically, that by some bizarre masochistic instinct, you wanted the US government to impose stagflation on its own country. What might you do in this totally hypothetical situation?”

“Well, maybe you would institute a legally dubious set of tariffs that immediately raised the price of all imports, including parts that manufacturers need to build things in the U.S. This would almost certainly raise the cost of durable goods, like cars and electronics. Meanwhile, if you really want to crush manufacturing, you might have the president change his mind on policy so frequently that banks and manufacturing firms couldn’t get together to invest in domestic plants.”

“Then, maybe, you would announce the most restrictive immigration policy in modern history and turn the Immigration and Customs Enforcement department into an extralegal paramilitary force that raided farm workers, construction workers, and manufacturing plants. Altogether, this might be sufficient to push down growth while forcing up prices.”

“Of course, all of this is happening.”

A Note to Readers

September 8, 2025 at 11:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard

I know there are a lot of claims on your time and your pocketbook. But please take a moment to consider supporting Political Wire. 

There are no investors here. No super PACS. No billionaires. It’s just me.  

If you’ve found value here, become a member and get 20% off your first year.

CBS Abruptly Changes Editing Rules

September 8, 2025 at 11:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CBS News, facing attacks over its coverage of the Trump administration, abruptly altered its rule for editing interviews on its long-running political show “Face the Nation,” the New York Times reports.

Air Force Academy Cancels Lecture

September 8, 2025 at 11:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Air Force Academy officials canceled an upcoming lecture by University of Utah professor Paisley Rekdal after discovering her online history of disparaging President Trump, the Denver Gazette reports.

Exchange of the Day

September 8, 2025 at 11:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent got into a heated confrontation with Federal Housing Finance Agency chief Bill Pulte:

BESSENT: It’s either me or him. You tell me who’s getting the fuck out of here. Or, we could go outside.

PULTE: To do what? To talk?

BESSENT: No, I’m going to fucking beat your ass.

There’s a Deep Gender Divide Among Gen Z

September 8, 2025 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NBC News Poll: “Among Gen Z overall, 64% disapprove of Trump’s job performance versus 36% who approve. But young men are more evenly split (53% disapprove, 47% approve) than young women (74% disapprove, 26% approve). The 21-point difference in Trump’s approval rating is unchanged from April.”

“That split continues when it comes to Trump’s handling of issues. On two issues — inflation and the cost of living, and trade and tariffs — young men approve of the president by about 20 points more than young women do. The biggest Gen Z gender split on the issues is on immigration, where 45% of young men approve of the way Trump is handling deportation and immigration, compared to just 21% of young women.”

How Democrats Pressured Lloyd Doggett to Step Aside

September 8, 2025 at 10:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“When Republicans unveiled a new congressional map shrinking the number of Democratic districts in Texas, Democratic Rep. Lloyd Doggett was quick to announce he would run in the sole Austin-based district,” the Texas Tribune reports.

“Doggett, a formidable incumbent with three decades in Congress, was planting a flag with the hope that his Austin counterpart Rep. Greg Casar would stay in his current district despite its new boundaries favoring Republicans. But Doggett’s move unexpectedly set off a powerful coalition that worked publicly and privately to support the younger congressman.”

Bolsonaro Supporters Flood the Streets

September 8, 2025 at 10:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Thousands of Brazilians took to the streets on the nation’s Independence Day on Sunday in dueling political protests, opening a tense week that is expected to conclude with the conviction of former President Jair Bolsonaro,” the New York Times reports.

Milei Sticks to Plan After Landslide Defeat

September 8, 2025 at 10:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Argentina’s President Javier Milei vowed no changes to his free-market economic program after a resounding defeat on Sunday to the center-left Peronist opposition in the province of Buenos Aires,” Bloomberg reports.

“The Peronist opposition came in first in the provincial election, winning about 47% of the ballots compared with 34% for Milei’s La Libertad Avanza party, with 91% of votes counted.”

Trump Loses Appeal of $83.3 Million Defamation Verdict

September 8, 2025 at 10:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A federal appeals court on Monday rejected President Donald Trump’s bid to overturn a jury verdict ordering him to pay $83.3 million for defaming writer E. Jean Carroll,” CNBC reports.

New York Times: “The court also rejected Mr. Trump’s argument that the Supreme Court’s decision last year affording presidential immunity for official acts barred a finding of liability in Ms. Carroll’s lawsuit.”

Putin Bets Ukraine’s Army Will Break Before His Economy

September 8, 2025 at 10:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The war in Ukraine has become a contest between two hourglasses: one measuring how long Ukraine’s thinly stretched army can keep up the fight, and the other how long Russia’s economy can sustain the invasion without hurting the stability of Vladimir Putin’s regime,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The problem for President Trump’s push for peace is that Putin is betting Ukraine’s hourglass will run out first, allowing him to impose a victor’s terms and win a place in Russian history alongside conquering czars.”

“That is why the Russian president has for months sidestepped Trump’s proposals to freeze the fighting with a territorial compromise that the U.S. thought would be attractive for Moscow. Instead, the Kremlin is sticking to its maximalist demands, which would effectively make Ukraine its vassal and change the balance of power in Europe.”

Most Americans Still Favor Capitalism

September 8, 2025 at 10:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gallup: “Americans are more positive toward capitalism than socialism, but the 54% viewing capitalism favorably is down from 60% in 2021 and near that level in most prior years.”

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Blue Dog Democrats: The Blue Dog Democrats are a coalition of moderate House Democrats.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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