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Massie Primary Tests Trump’s Power Over Republicans

May 16, 2026 at 12:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s quest to unseat Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY) will come to a head Tuesday, as primary voters weigh whether there is room in the Republican Party for a lawmaker willing to openly defy the president,” The Hill reports.

“The race has become the most expensive House primary battle in U.S. history, according to AdImpact, drawing $25.6 million in television, radio and digital advertising, as outside groups and national Republicans flood Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District with bitter attack ads.”

Lawmaker Charged with Assault Is Pregnant

May 16, 2026 at 12:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. LaMonica McIver (D-N.J.), who is charged with assaulting federal officers outside a New Jersey immigration detention facility and could face up to 17 years in prison, told People she is pregnant.

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May 16, 2026 at 8:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

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Political Money Is Flowing to Influencers

May 16, 2026 at 7:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The New York Times provides “a rare glimpse into the world of pay-for-play social media, where content creators and marketing firms are increasingly compensated to promote candidates or points of view and where there are few requirements for disclosure.”

“The paid advocacy exists outside the realm of traditional lobbying and campaigning, reaching younger, more online audiences unlikely to be swayed by television advertisements or glossy mailers.”

Pardoned Capitol Rioter Accused of New Crime

May 16, 2026 at 7:25 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ryan Nichols, who plead guilty in connection with the January 6 insurrection at the Capitol and was later pardoned by President Trump, was charged with threateningly displaying a handgun to a person with whom he was arguing in a church parking lot, The Guardian reports.

Bill Cassidy Faces GOP Primary Voters

May 16, 2026 at 7:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Sen. Bill Cassidy’s political career is at stake on Saturday as Louisiana voters weigh in on the Republican for the first time since he voted to convict President Donald Trump in his 2021 impeachment trial,” NBC News reports.

“Cassidy, a two-term senator, faces a primary challenge from Trump-backed Rep. Julia Letlow and state Treasurer John Fleming, who have both pitched themselves as more Trump-aligned alternatives. If no candidate gets majority support Saturday, the top two finishers will head to a runoff on June 27.”

Washington Post: GOP senator who defied Trump on impeachment faces voters, five years later.

Trump Faces No Good Options on Beef Prices

May 16, 2026 at 6:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump returned home from China to a politically-fraught domestic policy challenge that has vexed top aides for months: sky-high beef prices,” Politico reports.

“The White House must now decide how to proceed with an executive order to temporarily ease tariffs on imported beef — a move that was delayed earlier this week amid intense backlash from farm-state lawmakers and industry allies.”

“The executive order could help lower prices for consumers, though by how much remains uncertain. Doing so would simultaneously drive up competition for American ranchers as they face a host of higher costs brought on, in part, by the Iran war.”

Trump Returns from China with No Breakthrough

May 16, 2026 at 6:52 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“As Donald Trump grew increasingly frustrated with diplomatic efforts to end the war with Iran, administration officials were closely watching whether the president’s trip to China — a nation with close ties to Tehran — would yield a significant breakthrough,” CNN reports.

“But Trump landed stateside Friday with seemingly no progress to report.”

Washington Post: Trump’s China summit shows toll of a difficult year for the president.

U.S. Prosecutors Zero In on Cuba’s Raúl Castro

May 16, 2026 at 6:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Raúl Castro holds no formal office in Cuba’s government and is rarely seen in public. Yet at nearly 95 years old, the younger of the two brothers who led the Cuban revolution continues to be the man who has the final say on the country’s most important matters,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Now, the Trump administration intends to prosecute the frail patriarch and former president on criminal charges, shifting the pressure campaign from broad sanctions against Cuba’s government toward accountability for a man who symbolizes the Communist regime’s power structure.”

Associated Press: Trump administration prepares to seek Raúl Castro indictment as it pressures Cuba.

Trump Turns Taiwan Arms Sales Into Bargaining Chip

May 16, 2026 at 6:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump has described a potential multibillion-dollar weapons sale to Taiwan as a ‘negotiating chip’ with China, raising new doubts about the pace and scale of American military support for the island democracy,” the New York Times reports.

Axios: Trump waffles on Taiwan arms deal after Xi talks.

Trump’s Flavored Vape Push Sparks Backlash

May 16, 2026 at 6:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration’s recent moves to make flavored e-cigarettes and vapes more widely available have caused a splintering among prominent voices in the MAHA movement and even some federal health officials,” NBC News reports.

Israel Says It Killed Leader of Hamas Military Wing

May 16, 2026 at 6:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Israel says it has killed the leader of Hamas’ military wing, one of the architects of the Oct, 7, 2023, attacks that triggered the war in Gaza,” the AP reports.

“Izz al-Din al-Haddad was killed in a strike in Gaza City on Friday, Israel’s army said. He was one of the last senior commanders in Hamas’ military who had directed the planning and execution of the Oct. 7. Hamas-led attacks on Israel.”

Republicans Skewer Pentagon Over Poland Move

May 16, 2026 at 6:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Top Republicans on Friday condemned the Pentagon for canceling a U.S. troop deployment to Poland, an abrupt move that also appeared to catch Army leaders by surprise,” Politico reports.

“The decision, House Armed Service Committee members said, amounted to a gut punch to the NATO ally and to a Congress that has sought to beef up the U.S. presence in Europe. They made those frustrations clear at a hearing with Army officials, where the service’s top civilian and uniform leaders had few answers about the rationale for the move and confirmed its last-minute timing.”

Inside Trump’s Midterm Strategy

May 15, 2026 at 9:50 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “With under six months to go before the midterm elections, Republicans are staring down a litany of challenges: historic trends against the party controlling the White House, fresh economic troubles fed by an unpopular war with Iran and a president who has been dismissive of voter anxieties over rising prices.”

“To overcome those obstacles, President Trump’s allies are counting on massive financial resources—including an unprecedented $347 million from a Trump-aligned political committee—and closer coordination on a strategy to flip the economy on Democrats.”

“The message: Putting Democrats in power will only lead to gridlock.”

“The goal is to prevent the election from becoming a referendum on Trump and to capitalize on Democrats’ bruised public image, people involved in the effort said.”

The Next James Bond?

May 15, 2026 at 9:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

I had a nice conversation with the great Julie Mason about Donald Trump’s trip to China, what might happen next in Cuba and who should be the next James Bond.

You can listen here.

Justices Won’t Restore Virginia’s Gerrymander

May 15, 2026 at 6:50 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court on Friday rejected Virginia’s bid to restore a congressional map that would have given Democrats a chance to pick up four seats in the closely divided House of Representatives,” the AP reports.

“The court’s order is the latest twist in the nation’s mid-decade redistricting competition.”

Colorado Governor Grants Clemency to Tina Peters

May 15, 2026 at 4:52 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Colorado Gov. Jared Polis (D) “will reduce Tina Peters’ sentence by half, he confirmed Friday, appearing to bend to demands from President Donald Trump — while ignoring the pleas of many other Colorado elected officials and the prosecutor who won the former county clerk’s conviction in an election data-breach scheme,” the Denver Post reports.

“The commutation will reduce Peters’ original sentence of nearly nine years, which was thrown out last month, to about 4.5 years, Polis said in an interview Friday. His decision will make her parole-eligible for release from prison beginning June 1.”

New York Times: “Mr. Polis said he believed that Ms. Peters, a nonviolent first-time offender, had received too harsh a sentence because of her embrace of conspiracy theories about Mr. Trump’s 2020 election loss.”

Oil Prices Could Soon Rise Convulsively

May 15, 2026 at 4:20 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Economist: “The largest supply shock in petroleum history is getting larger fast. Some 2 billion barrels, or 5% of the world’s yearly oil supply, have already been lost because the Strait of Hormuz is shut. Every day it remains closed the deficit grows by 14 million barrels. Since peace talks between America and Iran have stalled, a reopening still seems many days away.”

“Yet oil markets look strangely calm. Brent crude futures, at $105 a barrel, have fallen from April highs of nearly $120. They remain below the peak of $129 in 2022, after Russia invaded Ukraine. Spot prices have slid even more, implying that crude oil is more plentiful than it was earlier in the war. The surprising mini-glut is real—but do not take too much comfort from it. A full-blown energy disaster may be weeks away.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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