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Iran Eyes Second Strait

March 27, 2026 at 10:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “It’s not just Hormuz. There’s a second strait in the Middle East vital to global energy markets that Iran is threatening to close if President Donald Trump fails to wind down the Iran war.”

“The world is already experiencing the worst disruption to global energy markets in history following U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran. But if Iranian proxies close the Bab el-Mandeb strait — a busy Red Sea choke point — it would compound global financial woes and likely push oil prices to $150 a barrel, experts said.”

Iran Is Seeking to Cash in on Strait of Hormuz

March 27, 2026 at 10:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Financial Times: “Iran is working to establish a system of approved passage for ships through the Strait of Hormuz, a tightening of control over the crucial waterway that Tehran suggests could extend beyond its war with the US and Israel.”

Oil Shock Ripples Through Other Industries

March 27, 2026 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Energy Common Sense: “Ethylene, methanol, and petrochemical feedstocks, the inputs that underpin manufacturing, agriculture, and industrial systems, are tightening. More than half of global refining capacity has been impacted, along with significant shares of ethylene and methanol production, and those constraints are already showing up in prices, particularly across Asia, where the effects are most acute.”

“Energy disruption does not stay in energy; it moves through everything energy touches.”

Democratic Lawmaker Guilty of Ethics Violations

March 27, 2026 at 9:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A special panel of the House Ethics Committee has found that Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) was guilty of more than two dozen ethics violations, Punchbowl News reports.

The full Ethics Committee will meet next month to decide what sanctions to recommend to the House. Expulsion is a real possibility.

Trump’s Net Worth Grew by $1.4 Billion

March 27, 2026 at 9:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Forbes says Donald Trump is now worth $6.5 billion, which is roughly $1.4 billion more than he was worth last year. 

A Third of Iran’s Missiles May Still Be Operative

March 27, 2026 at 9:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Reuters: “The United States can only determine with certainty that it has destroyed about a third ​of Iran’s vast missile arsenal as the U.S. and Israeli war on the country nears its one-month mark, according to five people familiar with the U.S. intelligence.”

“The status of around another third ‌is less clear but bombings likely damaged, destroyed or buried those missiles in underground tunnels and bunkers.”

Trump Is ‘Getting a Little Bored’ with the Iran War

March 27, 2026 at 9:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Nearly one month after the U.S. began strikes on Iran, President Donald Trump is sending thousands of troops to the Middle East to potentially fight in a war he said he has ‘already won,'” MS NOW reports.

“That contradiction has frustrated some senior White House aides and outside allies… They described it as confusing, internally inconsistent and increasingly detached from battlefield reality.”

“Trump calling the war already won is ‘mostly hyperbole,’ said a senior White House official granted anonymity to speak candidly about the administration’s thinking. ‘It’s part of Trump just wanting to declare victory and move on.'”

Said the official: “Trump is getting a little bored with Iran. Not that he regrets it or something — he’s just bored and wants to move on.”

Democrats Flipped the Shutdown Playbook

March 27, 2026 at 8:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Republicans blinked.

In a rare overnight session, the chamber voted to reopen most of the Department of Homeland Security — but carved out immigration enforcement, leaving ICE and Border Patrol unfunded for now.

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GOP Effort to Repeal Redistricting Law Fails

March 27, 2026 at 8:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Republican-led effort to put Utah’s redistricting law back on the ballot fell below the required threshold in one state Senate district on Wednesday after a signature removal campaign by supporters of Proposition 4,” the Deseret News reports.

“This means that the repeal of Prop 4 will not appear on the ballot despite $4.35 million spent on professional signature gathering, involvement from Turning Point Action and an endorsement from President Donald Trump and his son, Donald Trump Jr.”

One in Eight Trump Voters Have Buyer’s Remorse

March 27, 2026 at 7:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds 13% of Americans who cast ballots for Donald Trump in 2024 say they regret how they voted in the last election.

Among Kamala Harris voters, just 6% say the same.

Scott Brown Isn’t Leaving New Hampshire’s Senate Race

March 27, 2026 at 7:38 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Scott Brown (R) told Semafor “he’s not dropping his Senate campaign in New Hampshire, despite the National Republican Senatorial Committee, Senate Leadership Fund, and President Donald Trump endorsing his opponent, John E. Sununu.”

“Republicans hoped that Brown would bail, perhaps enticed by a job in the Trump administration or a deal with the president.”

“But Brown is soldiering on, despite polls showing him as a serious underdog in the September primary. He said that Sununu has alienated the Republican base, that he can run as an ‘independent’ candidate — and, most importantly, that he doesn’t care what the national party wants.”

Powerful House Republican Joins Retirement Wave

March 27, 2026 at 7:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Sam Graves (R-MO), the chairman of the House Committee on Transportation, is pulling his plans to seek re-election for his Missouri seat, joining dozens of other lawmakers who are retiring from Congress at the end of this term, the Wall Street Journal reports.

Trump’s Deadlines Aren’t Really Deadlines

March 27, 2026 at 7:32 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Today was supposed to be the last day of President Trump’s pause on planned U.S. military strikes on Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure. On Thursday, Trump kicked that deadline back again, to April 6, saying that peace talks were going well.”

“If there is one constant in Trump’s Washington, it’s that his deadlines often don’t stick.”

GOP Unity on Iran War Is Starting to Crack

March 27, 2026 at 7:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Bloomberg: “The fissures are still relatively isolated, at least publicly, but include some critical GOP figures on the Hill, suggesting there’s growing unease about the length of the war, Donald Trump’s endgame, the possibility of sending ground troops, and results Republicans will own.”

“If ground troops go in, the party could lose 60 to 70 House seats, one House Republican who requested anonymity said… That would be among the worst midterm losses in a century.”

Iran’s Missiles Keep Flying

March 27, 2026 at 7:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The U.S. and Israel are pounding Iran’s missile-launching sites, hitting some over and over across almost a month of war. But Tehran’s missiles keep flying,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Iran has shifted to firing from deeper inside its territory with longer-range missiles, military analysts and former U.S. officers said, after airstrikes early in the war inflicted a heavy toll on Iranian bases and truck launchers near the Persian Gulf coastline. Iran is firing far fewer missiles now—down to around a dozen a day—but they have turned them against less-defended targets in Israel and Gulf Arab states, causing greater damage in some cases.”

“Even in small numbers, the weapons have helped Tehran achieve its goals—prolong the conflict, raise the economic costs on oil-exporting Gulf countries and in the U.S., and survive to fight another day.”

No Winners in the Homeland Security Shutdown

March 27, 2026 at 7:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “Who won the Senate standoff? No one, in truth. Nothing really changed. Both sides wanted to have this fight, so it happened. It was another example of how little moderation is left in the Trump era, where the first instinct is to go to war.”

“But at some point, everyone just exhausts themselves. And that’s exactly what happened late Thursday night as senators were staring down a two-week recess.”

“The result is that there are few, if any, changes to ICE’s enforcement operations or Trump’s broader immigration crackdown, the reason Democrats began this confrontation. There’s new leadership at DHS and ICE is out of Minneapolis. But Trump’s detention and deportation agenda is continuing full steam ahead.”

Trump’s Support on Immigration Plummets

March 27, 2026 at 6:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new PRRI poll shows that public support for President Trump’s anti-immigration agenda has cratered.

Just over one-third of Americans — 35% — rate Trump’s handling of immigration favorably, compared with 61% who rate his actions unfavorably.

And nearly half — 48% — of Americans hold very unfavorable views of his handling of immigration.

Oil Prices Climb to $110 a Barrel

March 27, 2026 at 6:46 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Oil prices were higher on Friday as President Donald Trump’s move to give Iran a 10-day extension to open the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz failed to soothe supply concerns,” CNBC reports.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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