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The Trump Coalition Is Cracking

December 11, 2018 at 4:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ron Brownstein: “Cracks have emerged in Donald Trump’s hold on his core constituency of white working class voters, new data from the 2018 election reveal.”

“Though Republican candidates almost everywhere registered large margins among white voters without a college degree, Democrats ran much more competitively among the roughly half of that group who are not evangelical Christians.”

“Democrats, the analysis found, ran particularly well this year among white working-class women who are not evangelicals, a group that also displayed substantial disenchantment in the exit poll with Trump’s performance. Those women could be a key constituency for Democrats in 2020 in pivotal Rust Belt states such as Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, where relatively fewer blue-collar whites are also evangelical Christians.”

Manafort Might Not Fight Claims He Lied to Mueller

December 11, 2018 at 4:17 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Defense attorneys for Paul Manafort indicated Tuesday they might not contest special counsel Robert Mueller’s allegations that President Trump’s one-time campaign chairman lied to federal prosecutors,” The Hill reports.

Politico: “Manafort’s lawyers last week argued in a court filing that their client had done his best to provide useful and truthful answers to prosecutors’ questions over a dozen debriefing sessions held after the former lobbyist pleaded guilty in mid-September. But Manafort’s lead attorney said his team is now reviewing materials that the special counsel has shared spelling out its evidence, adding that his team would spend time talking with Manafort before determining its next move.”

North Carolina Republicans Call for New Election

December 11, 2018 at 3:46 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The North Carolina Republican Party said Tuesday that a new election should be held in North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District if a new allegation regarding the leak of early-voting results before Election Day is proven,” Politico reports.

The Charlotte Observer reported that early voting totals from Bladen County may have been leaked. A witness who signed that vote tabulation wrote in a sworn affidavit that the totals were “viewed by officials at the one-stop site who were not judges.”


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Pelosi Disses Trump’s ‘Manhood’

December 11, 2018 at 3:01 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Minutes after a very public showdown with President Trump over his border wall with Mexico, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi returned to the Capitol and railed against the president in a private meeting with House Democrats, Politico reports.

Said Pelosi: “It goes to show you: you get into a tinkle contest with a skunk, you get tinkle all over you.”

And then, Pelosi went for the most sensitive part of Trump’s ego: “It’s like a manhood thing with him — as if manhood can be associated with him. This wall thing.”

She used a similar line in October during an event at Harvard, where she said the border wall “happens to be like a manhood issue for the president, and I’m not interested in that.”

Gap Widens Between Trump and Intelligence Agencies

December 11, 2018 at 2:55 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump continues to reject the judgments of U.S. spy agencies on major foreign policy fronts, creating a dynamic in which intelligence analysts frequently see troubling gaps between the president’s public statements and the facts laid out for him in daily briefings on world events,” the Washington Post reports.

“The pattern has become a source of mounting concern to senior U.S. intelligence officials who had hoped that Trump would become less hostile to their work as he settled into office and more receptive to the information that spy agencies spend billions of dollars and sometimes put lives at risk gathering.”

Ashcroft Enlists Auditor to Investigate Hawley

December 11, 2018 at 1:56 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Missouri Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft (R) has asked state Auditor Nicole Galloway (D) to begin investigating whether Sen.-elect Josh Hawley (R) “used public resources to support his Senate bid,” the Kansas City Star reports.

The auditor’s office has subpoena power.

Inside Trump’s Bungled Effort to Fire His Chief of Staff

December 11, 2018 at 1:54 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gabriel Sherman: “On Friday night, members of Donald Trump’s West Wing gathered for drinks at the Trump International Hotel following a holiday dinner at the White House. As they mingled in the lobby, Bill Shine, Stephen Miller, Kellyanne Conway, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, and others grappled with the latest West Wing upheaval: Trump had changed the plan and fired Chief of Staff John Kelly earlier that afternoon.”

Said one attendee: “It got back to Trump that Kelly was bad-mouthing him and Trump had decided he’d had enough. His attitude was, ‘fuck him.'”

“Trump’s impulsive announcement quickly became an even bigger problem when it turned out that Kelly’s replacement was not sewn up; Ayers surprised Trump later that day by insisting that he only wanted the job short term…. A senior White House official told me, in a sign of the depth of the current difficulties, that even former chief of staff Reince Priebus has been brought up as a possible replacement for Kelly.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

December 11, 2018 at 1:39 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I know that I’m not done to elected office. There’s something in me that still says I have a role to play going forward as a policy maker.”

— Failed Florida gubernatorial candidate Andrew Gillum (D), in an interview with McClatchy.

Trump Is Poised to Force Shutdown

December 11, 2018 at 1:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “The two sides are absolutely nowhere… Absent a massive reversal by Trump, it looks like government is headed for a shutdown late this month. There seems to be a recognition in the Capitol that this shutdown could last from Dec. 21 through to Jan. 3, when the new Congress is seated.”

Also: “This probably helps Pelosi internally… She went toe to toe with the president on live television.”

Kelly May Stay On Longer

December 11, 2018 at 1:15 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

White House Chief of Staff John Kelly will remain in the job through at least Jan. 2 to ensure “a very peaceful and pragmatic transition” for his successor, the Washington Post reports.

“President Trump had announced Saturday that Kelly would exit his post by the end of the year… The process of selecting a successor was thrown wide open Sunday after Nick Ayers, Trump’s leading pick to take over the job, decided instead to depart the White House.”

Trump Would Be ‘Proud’ to Shut Down Government

December 11, 2018 at 12:34 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Prior to his meeting with Rep. Nancy Pelosi and Sen. Chuck Schumer, President Trump brought reporters into the Oval Office and — in an extended, heated exchange before the cameras — clashed with the two Democratic leaders over congressional support for funding for his border wall, declaring that he is “proud to shut down the government for border security,” Axios reports.

The Washington Post called it “an explosive and acrimonious Oval Office encounter played out live with cameras rolling.”

Trump Suggests Military Will Build Border Wall

December 11, 2018 at 12:24 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump suggested the U.S. military would construct a wall at the U.S. border with Mexico if Democrats refused to agree to provide funding for one, hours ahead of a critical meeting at the White House with Democratic leaders to negotiate a year-end spending bill, the Wall Street Journal reports.

Said Trump on Twitter: “I look forward to my meeting with Chuck Schumer & Nancy Pelosi. In 2006, Democrats voted for a Wall, and they were right to do so. Today, they no longer want Border Security. They will fight it at all cost, and Nancy must get votes for Speaker. But the Wall will get built.”

Quote of the Day

December 11, 2018 at 11:59 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Jesus loves Michael Cohen, but everybody else thinks he’s an idiot. He’s obviously a sleaze-oid grifter. And if I were a prosecutor, I wouldn’t base a prosecution on evidence given to me by Mr. Cohen.”

— Sen. John Kennedy (R-LA), quoted by CNN.

O’Rourke Tops MoveOn Straw Poll

December 11, 2018 at 11:49 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

An early straw poll of members of the progressive group MoveOn.org shows a wide-open competition for liberal voters in the forthcoming 2020 Democratic presidential contest, with Beto O’Rourke narrowly beating out Joe Biden, NBC News reports.

The most popular potential candidate was O’Rourke at 15.6%, followed by Biden at 14.9%, and then Sen. Bernie Sanders with 13.1%.

McConnell Agrees to Vote on Criminal Justice Reform

December 11, 2018 at 11:45 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) said that the Senate will vote this month on a sweeping overhaul of the criminal justice system that has proven deeply controversial within the Senate Republican ranks, the Washington Post reports.

McConnell said the decision to put the bill — which eases some mandatory minimum sentences for nonviolent offenders while implementing initiatives aimed at lowering recidivism rates — comes “at the request of the president and following improvements to the legislation” secured by several senators.

McConnell Warns Senate Could Work Through Christmas

December 11, 2018 at 11:43 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) warned that the Senate will be in session between Christmas and New Years to finish their work for the year unless senators agree to fast-track some items on their to-do list, The Hill reports.

Trump Denies Troubles Finding Chief of Staff

December 11, 2018 at 9:41 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump insisted on Tuesday that he’s having no trouble finding a new chief of staff, despite having already burned through two such top aides and being turned down by his reported first choice,” Politico reports.

Said Trump: “Fake News has it purposely wrong. Many, over ten, are vying for and wanting the White House Chief of Staff position. Why wouldn’t someone want one of the truly great and meaningful jobs in Washington. Please report news correctly. Thank you!”

Top Warren Operative Talking to O’Rourke

December 11, 2018 at 9:39 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Mindy Myers, who was one of the primary architects of Warren’s political rise and has remained one of her close advisers, had been expected to play a senior role in the senator’s campaign. But she has been in talks with several rival campaigns and is planning to meet soon with Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-TX), who is considering a presidential run.”

“Myers ran Warren’s 2012 U.S. Senate campaign and then served as her senate chief of staff, giving her a deep understanding of Warren’s strengths and weaknesses.”

First Read: “So yeah, Beto is starting to look very real for 2020. And maybe more than that, whether he runs or not appears to have frozen the Dem field. Think about that: His decision might be the biggest shoe to drop in the 2020 Democratic race.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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