Can Harris Wrest Alaska Away From Trump?
Bloomberg: “Now the state has also become an unlikely talking point for Democratic fundraisers and strategists as a small but tantalizing presidential election prize after a poll last month showed Harris trailing former President Donald Trump by just 5 percentage points.”
“Polling there has been more sparse than in traditional swing states. But in an election year in which crazier things have already happened — it suddenly seemed not impossible for the Harris campaign to scoop up Alaska’s three electoral votes, offering an alternative path to the 270 electoral votes needed for the presidency.”
Comedian Laughs When Trump Says He’s ‘Truthful’
Comedian Andrew Schulz laughed in Donald Trump’s face when the former president joined him on his podcast and claimed he “is basically a truthful person,” The Independent reports.
Inflation Likely Cooled Again Last Month
“U.S. inflation last month likely reached its lowest point since February 2021, clearing the way for another Federal Reserve rate cut and adding to the stream of encouraging economic data that has emerged in the final weeks of the presidential campaign,” the AP reports.
“The consumer price index is expected to have risen just 2.3% in September from 12 months earlier… A reading that low, likely reflecting lower gas prices and only a slight rise in food costs, would barely exceed the Fed’s 2% inflation target. A little over two years ago, inflation had reached a peak of 9.1%.”
Wall Street Journal: “The consumer-price index rose 2.4% from a year earlier, the Labor Department said Thursday, after rising 2.5% in August.”
Trump Didn’t Read Melania’s Book
The only text on the jacket of Melania Trump’s new memoir, aside from the title, is an endorsement from Donald Trump, New York Magazine reports.
Yet at a September 19 rally, the former president said he hadn’t read his wife’s forthcoming memoir because he’s “so busy.”
“Considering this admission and the way the cover blurb sounds nothing like Trump, it seems safe to say he did not write the endorsement.”
How Trump’s Lies Undermine Democracy
Jonathan Bernstein: “To the extent a party just makes up stuff, it tends to undermine the most minimal claims about democracy.”
“There are lots of answers to the question of how democracy works, and some of them are very complicated. But the simplest one, and in a way the most basic, is that democracy “works” by giving the in-party strong incentives to produce good policy outcomes and the out-party strong incentives to find and exploit bad policy outcomes, and even to formulate alternative policies.”
“That doesn’t work if one of the parties flat-out lies about things. It’s less about what voters believe than what politicians believe. Trump when he was in the White House acted as if it didn’t matter what he did because he would just say everything was perfect; when Trump has been out of office, he has rarely bothered to make reality-based criticisms, and as the campaign goes on he seems less and less anchored by actual events.”
Trump’s Small Donor Fundraising Plummets
“Donald Trump’s contributions from small-dollar donors have plummeted since his last White House campaign, presenting the former president with a financial challenge as he tries to keep pace with the Democrats’ fundraising machine,” the AP reports.
“Fewer than a third of the Republican’s campaign contributions have come from donors who gave less than $200 — down from nearly half of all donations in his 2020 race.”
“The dip has forced Trump to rely more on wealthy donors and groups backed by them, a shift that cuts into the populist message that first propelled him to the White House. The decline in donations could not come at a worse time for Trump. Democrats have raised massive sums from small-dollar donors this cycle.”
The Case for Kamala Harris
The Atlantic endorses Kamala Harris for president.
“For the third time in eight years, Americans have to decide whether they want Donald Trump to be their president. No voter could be ignorant by now of who he is. Opinions about Trump aren’t just hardened—they’re dried out and exhausted. The man’s character has been in our faces for so long, blatant and unchanging, that it kills the possibility of new thoughts, which explains the strange mix of boredom and dread in our politics.”
“Whenever Trump senses any waning of public attention, he’ll call his opponent a disgusting name, or dishonor the memory of fallen soldiers, or threaten to overturn the election if he loses, or vow to rule like a dictator if he wins. He knows that nothing he says is likely to change anyone’s views.”
Everyone Is Betting on the U.S. Election
Wired: “Polymarket has had a lot of success this year. The pro-Trump billionaire Peter Thiel and ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin announced they had raised around $70 million in funding for the company this past May. The site’s monthly traffic has grown to around 20 times more than what it was at the time of the investment.”
“Betting markets also secured a big win earlier this month when a US appeals court gave Kalshi, a predictions startup, the green light to offer markets on which party would take over Congress next year. While the case hasn’t been completely resolved, it likely won’t be decided before election day. This means election markets are here to stay, much to the joy of political influencers and elites like Musk online.”
‘Blue Wall’ Blues
“Top Democratic politicians and operatives tell us the vital states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania are getting tougher for Vice President Harris and the party’s Senate candidates,” Axios reports.
“Harris is depending on that Blue Wall to win the White House, even if she struggles in the Sunbelt. On private calls, some top Harris allies are saying they believe the race will come down to Pennsylvania and Michigan.”
“There’s growing worry among Democrats that Harris seems stuck, even sliding a bit, after a strong start to her young presidential campaign. Her media blitz, heavy spending and largely favorable coverage don’t seem to be moving the needle much, if at all, these Democrats say.”
Quote of the Day
“When you fear God, you have nothing else to fear. I don’t answer to the Republican Party. I answer to the people of this district.”
— Rep. Scott Perry (R-PA), quoted by Punchbowl News, dismissing polls showing him losing his re-election bid.
Harris Seen as More Likable, Trump as Stronger
Gallup: “Recent ratings of the 2024 presidential candidates’ personal qualities show Vice President Kamala Harris with a strong advantage over former President Donald Trump in U.S. voter perceptions of being likable, while holding smaller leads for having strong moral character and being honest and trustworthy.”
“Trump outpaces Harris in perceptions of being a strong and decisive leader and being able to get things done.”
Harris Still Worried She Won’t Have Enough Money
“The coordinated campaign of Vice President Kamala Harris made history this week when it became the first to raise $1 billion in less than 80 days since she entered the race,“ the Washington Post reports.
“But her campaign leadership is worried that they still might not have enough to win — and that news of the windfall could hurt the campaign by dampening fundraising in the final weeks.”
“People familiar with the campaign strategy, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss plans, said Wednesday that the campaign continues to face significant headwinds that will require more money over the coming weeks. They said each of the seven targeted swing states remains within the margin of error, requiring costly spending plans.”
Trump Won’t Even Debate on Fox News
Politico: “His refusal to debate, even on the friendly territory of Fox News, suggests he is unwilling to risk the unpredictability of a head-to-head contest with the vice president in the final weeks of the campaign.”
“Harris has said she’s open to another matchup.”
What Harris Must Do to Seal the Deal
Jonathan Martin: “This is an extraordinarily close race and Harris must do more to signal that she’ll govern from the political center…”
“Harris should say she’ll work with Republicans on behalf of all Americans and stand up to the extremes in both parties because, America, she knows the dirty little secret is many GOP lawmakers she served with are as exhausted with extremism and extremists like Donald Trump as she is.”
New Swing State Polls Show Dead Heat
New Emerson College polls of key swing states:
- Arizona: Trump 49%, Harris 47%
- Georgia: Trump 49%, Harris 48%
- North Carolina: Trump 49%, Harris 48%
- Pennsylvania: Trump 49%, Harris 48%
- Michigan: Harris 49%, Trump 49%
- Wisconsin: Harris 49%, Trump 49%
- Nevada: Harris 48%, Trump 47%
Trump Even Snubbed the Weather Channel
“Kamala Harris called into The Weather Channel on Wednesday to speak about Hurricane Milton ahead of its evening landfall—an appearance the network said was also offered to Donald Trump, but he ignored it,” the Daily Beast reports.
Harris Reluctant to Explain How She’s ‘Not Joe Biden’
“Vice President Kamala Harris frequently tries to distance herself from her unpopular boss with one clear sentence: ‘I am not Joe Biden,’” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“But when pressed for specifics on how she would be different as president, Harris has refrained from detailing a contrast with Biden, as she navigates the complexity of running as a change candidate—with the slogan ‘A New Way Forward’—while also serving as vice president.”
“Harris prioritized loyalty to Biden over the last 3½ years—at times over her own political capital. As a candidate to succeed him, she is wary of being critical of the president and an administration she is still a part of, Harris allies say.”
New York Times: Harris continues to bib and weave in interviews.
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