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Johnson Says He’ll Stand by Deal to Avert Shutdown

January 12, 2024 at 1:05 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Speaker Mike Johnson said on Friday that he stood by the spending deal he negotiated with Democrats to avert a government shutdown, spurning demands from ultraconservatives who have pressured him to jettison the agreement,” the New York Times reports.

“The announcement, after days of public silence about what he would do, all but guaranteed that Mr. Johnson will have to work with Democrats in the coming days to pass a short-term bill to keep the government funded past a pair of deadlines on Jan. 19 and Feb. 2, going back on his promise to never bring up another temporary spending measure.”

Early State Voters Have Seen $300 Million in Ads

January 12, 2024 at 1:02 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Almost $300 million has been spent to try to win the Republican presidential nomination so far, two-thirds of it in the first two nominating states, Iowa and New Hampshire,” NPR reports.

“Most of that money is coming from super PACs and outside groups.”

Hunter Biden Agrees to Closed-Door Testimony

January 12, 2024 at 1:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Hunter Biden on Friday reversed course and said he would agree to give closed-door testimony to Congress if the House Oversight and Judiciary committees issue new subpoenas,” The Hill reports.

“President Biden’s son had previously offered only to testify in a public setting, and defied a subpoena to appear for a closed-door deposition last month.”

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Oregon Won’t Remove Trump for Now

January 12, 2024 at 12:55 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

 The Oregon Supreme Court on Friday declined to hear a bid to remove Donald Trump from the 2024 ballot based on the 14th Amendment’s “insurrectionist ban,” saying it’s waiting for the U.S. Supreme Court to rule on the issue, CNN reports.

Iowa Blizzard Threatens Caucus Turnout

January 12, 2024 at 12:53 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Every campaign takes a certain number of precautions heading into the critical stretch run of a primary. But no one was prepared for the winter hellscape that Mother Nature was about to throw at them in Iowa this week,” Politico reports.

“Republican presidential candidates braced for a once-in-a-decade blizzard on Friday, a bitter forecast that derailed their campaign plans three days before the Iowa caucus — and threatened to drive down turnout on Monday.”

“The forecasted blizzard conditions and nearly a foot of snow on Friday prompted event cancellations for Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis, the two contenders fighting for a second-place finish in Iowa. A Donald Trump campaign event featuring Kari Lake as a surrogate was also called off.”

For members: Ice Cold Iowa

Nikki Haley Is About to Run Straight Into Trump’s Firewall

January 12, 2024 at 12:08 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Even if Nikki Haley’s dream scenario comes true—a strong finish in Iowa’s caucuses and an upset win in New Hampshire—she’s going to run headfirst into a lethal obstacle,” the Daily Beast reports.

“Call it the great Trump firewall.”

“After the early primary states, contests loom in late February and early March across a slate of states where the former president has a dominant upper hand—and where anyone else would have to work fast to establish any organization.”

“Donald Trump’s strength in delegate-rich states like Texas, North Carolina, and California—all of which vote on Super Tuesday, March 5—has GOP operatives foreseeing a swift end to this anticlimactic primary campaign, even if Haley, or potentially Ron DeSantis, manage to beat expectations.”

Lordy, There Are Tapes

January 12, 2024 at 11:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Roger Stone contested reporting this week that he wanted to assassinate two members of Congress — so Mediaite released the audio.

IRS Chief Says Shutdown Would Disrupt Tax Season

January 12, 2024 at 11:54 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

IRS Commissioner Danny Werfel  said a federal government shutdown in coming weeks would likely disrupt the soon-to-start tax filing season for 2023 income, Reuters reports.

Said Werfel: “We have experienced shutdowns before. We have not experienced shutdowns in the middle of filing season. So there’s some uncertainty there.”

Trump’s Lofty Iowa Expectations Set High Bar

January 12, 2024 at 10:59 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The only problem with being the Republican presidential frontrunner in 2024 is that voters expect a blowout victory,” Bloomberg reports.

“The outcome of Monday’s Iowa caucuses, the first fight in the quest for the GOP nomination, looks to be in little doubt. Recent polls show former President Donald Trump’s support among Iowans at 51%, dwarfing the backing of his chief rivals, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley, Trump’s onetime ambassador to the United Nations.”

Top Democrats Demands Trump Return Foreign Payments

January 12, 2024 at 10:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD) is calling on Donald Trump to return the nearly $8 million he collected from foreign governments while he was president, The Messenger reports.

Raskin said his acceptance of the money was a “stunning violation of the U.S. Constitution.”

Trump Is About to Lose Big

January 12, 2024 at 10:13 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A few thoughts for the end of the week over at Politics Extra.

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Biden Is Heeding Calls to Loosen Up

January 12, 2024 at 9:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Through decades of political life before he entered the White House, Joe Biden rarely shied from leaning into his public persona as an affable everyman more comfortable in a Dairy Queen than the Situation Room. Now a buttoned-up president who often appears behind a lectern in a suit and tie, Biden is heeding pleas from top advisers to return to his original form,” NBC News reports.

“Biden, these people said, is taking advice from confidants who’ve suggested he try a more casual approach in public to try to ease one of voters’ chief concerns about his 2024 candidacy: his age.”

“That means more informal remarks, unannounced stops at diners and appearances in social media posts and on podcasts, as well as fewer ties and Rose Garden ceremonies. The series of subtle shifts, which aides say they’ve proposed to him in multiple conversations over the past few months, are meant to signal that Biden is more youthful than his 81 years might suggest.”

No Labels Has 13 Possible Candidates

January 12, 2024 at 9:28 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“No Labels, the centrist organization plotting a potential 2024 presidential ticket, has 13 possible candidates to challenge a rematch of President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump,” the Washington Examiner reports.

“The group is expected to determine sometime after March 15 whether to put forward a unity ticket. If Trump appears to be the likely Republican nominee, No Labels is most inclined to announce its choice for a president and vice president alternative.”

Republicans Stop Talking About Abortion

January 12, 2024 at 9:27 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Associated Press: “Abortion has largely been absent as an issue in the lead-up to this year’s Iowa Republican caucuses, a remarkable change in a state that has long backed religious conservatives vowing to restrict the procedure. Part of the change is because Republicans achieved a generational goal when the Supreme Court overturned a federally guaranteed right to abortion.”

“But it also underscores a pervasive fear among Republican candidates and voters alike that vocalizing their desire to further restrict abortion rights in 2024 has become politically dangerous.”

Stefanik’s ‘Hostages’ Barb Points to GOP Mayhem Ahead

January 12, 2024 at 9:25 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Greg Sargent: “Rep. Elise Stefanik no doubt thought it was shrewd to describe the rioters who attacked the Capitol as ‘January 6 hostages.’ This sort of talk hits a sweet trifecta for a GOP leader with seemingly limitless ambition. It reassures the right-wing media that the GOP leadership is fully behind Donald Trump. It fires up the MAGA base’s small-dollar donors. And it infuriates the libs, which excites the right-wing media and MAGA voters all over again.”

“But it turns out vulnerable House Republicans aren’t too thrilled about Stefanik’s barb. The Washington Post reports that many are distancing themselves from it, a sign that being associated with pro-insurrection sentiments is politically dangerous in swing districts across the country.”

“News flash, vulnerable Republicans: This will almost certainly get much worse. If you think some throwaway sound bite designed to pump up Sean Hannity creates political problems for you, what will it mean for you if Trump goes to trial this year or even earns a criminal conviction?”

Young Voters Overwhelmingly Back Ceasefire in Israel

January 12, 2024 at 9:24 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new by UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times poll finds that by 55% to 18%, voters younger than 30 say Israel should agree to a cease-fire even if that would mean Hamas remains a force in Gaza.

Sherrod Brown Builds Massive War Chest

January 12, 2024 at 9:23 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) raised $6.6 million in the last three months, “a huge sum which will be critical in his challenging reelection campaign,” Politico reports.

“And the three-term Democrat has $14.6 million on hand heading into what’s likely to be the toughest race of his career. He’s a top target in the battle for the Senate majority, as his state has drifted right over the past decade and left him as the only statewide elected Democrat.”

IRS Collects $500 Million from Delinquent Millionaires

January 12, 2024 at 9:22 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Millionaires who were behind on their taxes have already paid half-a-billion dollars to get current with the IRS as the agency ratchets up high-level tax compliance,” MarketWatch reports.

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Akinize: To “Akinize” is to try to diminish a political foe by likening his or her words to remarks on “legitimate rape” made by ….

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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