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Epstein Saga May Test Trump’s Polling

July 22, 2025 at 6:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Carroll Doherty: “Compared with past presidents, Trump’s job approval ratings have, for the most part, moved within a narrow range. The reason is simple: He has always had a low ceiling, constrained by the single-digit approval he gets from Democrats and independents who lean Democratic. But he also has a high floor, thanks to the steady, 80 percent-plus support he invariably receives from the GOP base.”

“That’s what makes the firestorm surrounding the administration’s handling of the Jeffrey Epstein files such a potentially pivotal moment for the president. Coming on the heels of the U.S. bombing of Iran (not to mention passage of the so-called Big Beautiful Bill, faulted by some conservatives for its deficit-busting spending), the Epstein affair is about to reveal something important about the resilience of Trump’s bond with the GOP base. The suspicion Epstein is generating among Republicans is raising questions about whether Trump’s floor may finally crack — and, one way or another, become the ‘it’ moment his opponents have eagerly awaited for so long.”

Economy Powering Through a Historic Increase in Tariffs

July 22, 2025 at 6:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The global economy is sailing through this year’s historic increase in tariffs, displaying an unexpected trait: resilience,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Faced with extreme uncertainty, businesses and households have surprised economists with their ability to hedge, finding a short-term path through as they await clarity on where tariffs will end up.”

Quote of the Day

July 22, 2025 at 6:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Go fuck yourself.”

— Stephen Colbert, quoted by Axios, responding to President Trump’s post that celebrated the cancelation of his program.


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Trump Ties Epstein Files to Russia ‘Hoax’

July 22, 2025 at 6:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump is redirecting his fury over the Jeffrey Epstein files into one of MAGA’s oldest obsessions: punishing Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton and the officials involved in the 2016 Russia investigation,” Axios reports,

“In Trump’s view, any documents linking him to Epstein are a ‘hoax’ cooked up by the same forces behind the Russia probe. To him, it’s all one story — a years-long ‘witch hunt’ that plagued his presidency from Day 1.”

Schumer Prepares for Fall Funding Showdown

July 22, 2025 at 6:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Chuck Schumer is quietly turning his caucus toward a critical decision on how to handle a fall funding showdown, after he and Senate Democrats faced blistering criticism from the party’s base earlier this year,” Politico reports.

“As the chamber is set to vote Tuesday to tee up the first tranche of government funding bills, the Senate minority leader is holding discussions with his colleagues about what their strategy should be ahead of the Sept. 30 shutdown deadline.”

“Democrats are having behind-the-scenes conversations on this topic, including during a more than hour-long meeting last week. Schumer is expected to have more member-level discussions about the September roadmap over the next two weeks, and has been in close touch with Democrats on the Appropriations Committee. He is also meeting with House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries on Tuesday to discuss funding endgame strategy.”

Republicans Have Money Edge

July 22, 2025 at 6:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “We learned this week that the Republican National Committee is sitting on vastly more cash than its Democratic counterpart. The RNC has nearly $81 million in cash on hand. The DNC? Just $15 million. And while the Q2 sums raised by the NRCC and DCCC are roughly similar, there too, Republicans have the financial edge: $32 million to $29 million.”

“Democrats attribute that fundraising disparity to Trump’s brand strength — and the relative weakness of the Dems’ own.”

Hunter Biden Helps Trump Change the Subject

July 21, 2025 at 10:50 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Hunter Biden’s expletive-laced interview “caused a feeding frenzy on Fox News, where the network’s primetime hosts were thrilled to change the subject away from President Trump’s Epstein trainwreck,” Status reports.

Alone on Epstein Island

July 21, 2025 at 10:37 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Puck: “Inside the Epstein anxiety on Capitol Hill, where Republicans can’t begin their recess quickly enough as the fracas continues to intensify—and Trump keeps making it worse…”

“Democrats, meanwhile, have seemingly reached a near-unified consensus on how to navigate the issue: Use the drama as ammunition for midterm messaging by painting Trump as an out-of-touch, elitist promise-breaker unconcerned with vital cost-of-living issues.”

FEMA Search and Rescue Chief Resigns

July 21, 2025 at 10:34 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The head of FEMA’s Urban Search and Rescue branch, which runs a network of teams stationed across the country that can swiftly respond to natural disasters, resigned on Monday,” CNN reports.

“Ken Pagurek’s departure comes less than three weeks after a delayed FEMA response to catastrophic flooding in central Texas caused by bureaucratic hurdles put in place by the Department of Homeland Security, which oversees the disaster response agency.”

“Pagurek told colleagues at FEMA that the delay was the tipping point that led to his voluntary departure after months of frustration with the Trump administration’s efforts to dismantle the agency.”

Commanders Mum on Trump’s Name Change Demand

July 21, 2025 at 8:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NBC Sports: “Twice on Sunday, President Donald Trump took to his social-media account on his social-media platform to insist that two professional sports teams restore Native American-based names they’d previously abandoned.”

“Both the Washington Commanders and the Cleveland Guardians became the targets for an all-caps tirade… He eventually threatened the Commanders with the possibility that the Commander-in-Chief won’t help them get a D.C. stadium deal done if they don’t re-embrace the nickname that is widely regarded as a racial slur.”

“And while the Guardians stood up and responded to Trump, the Commanders are hiding under the bed. With the NFL right next to them.”

‘Top of His Game’

July 21, 2025 at 8:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Speaker Mike Johnson marked the one-year anniversary of former President Joe Biden dropping out of the 2024 presidential campaign on Monday by sharing a 14 minute-long video of Democrats praising the former president’s mental acuity.

Epstein Crisis Forces House GOP to Scrap Votes

July 21, 2025 at 8:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“House Republicans will scrap several floor votes this week as internal party drama over the release of Jeffrey Epstein files derailed the work of the Rules Committee,” Politico reports.

“The panel came to a standstill Monday night as GOP leaders struggled to contain rank-and-file Republicans and their Democratic allies clamoring for a floor vote to compel the publication of materials related to the late disgraced financier and convicted sex offender.”

The Hill: Epstein furor upends House for second week in row.

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

July 21, 2025 at 7:57 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Never have the words ‘no comment’ been more appropriate.”

— David Axelrod, quoted by the New York Times, when asked about Hunter Biden’s tirade against him.

Trump Sharpens Attacks on the News Media

July 21, 2025 at 7:55 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“In declaring war on The Wall Street Journal over its coverage of his yearslong friendship with the convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, President Trump tapped his supporters’ distrust of his favorite foe — the news media — in an effort to put down a mutiny within his base,“ the New York Times reports.

“It was a familiar move that might have been lifted straight from his playbook in the 2016 presidential campaign.”

“But this is a very different moment. If Trump’s complaints about the media feel like a throwback to his first term, his actions toward the industry have gone much further than that.”

The Democratic Party Is In Shambles

July 21, 2025 at 5:35 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

James Carville: “Zohran Mamdani’s victory in New York City’s Democratic mayoral primary wasn’t an isolated event. It represents an undeniable fissure in our political soul. We are divided along generational lines: Candidates like Mr. Mamdani are impatient for an economic future that folks my age are skeptical can be delivered.”

“We are divided along ideological lines: A party that is historically allegiant to the state of Israel is at odds with a growing faction that will not look past the abuses in Gaza and the West Bank. From Medicare for All purists to Affordable Care Act reformists, the list goes on and on.”

“The Democratic Party is steamrolling toward a civilized civil war. It’s necessary to have it. It’s even more necessary to delay it. The only thing that can save us now is an actual savior, because a new party can be delivered only by a person — see Barack Obama in 2008 and Bill Clinton in 1992.”

Trump Objected to Israeli Strikes in Syria

July 21, 2025 at 5:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed that President Trump was unhappy with Israel’s airstrikes in Syria last week and called Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to “rectify” the situation, Axios reports.

Venezuela to Investigate Torture in El Salvador Jail

July 21, 2025 at 4:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Venezuela’s attorney general, Tarek Saab, said on Monday that his office would investigate El Salvador’s president, Nayib Bukele, and two other officials for the alleged abuse of Venezuelans detained in the country,” The Guardian reports.

“More than 250 Venezuelans held in El Salvador’s notorious Cecot prison returned to Venezuela on Friday under the terms of a prisoner exchange agreed with the U.S.”

Trump Releases MLK Jr. Records

July 21, 2025 at 4:04 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration has released records of the FBI’s surveillance of Martin Luther King Jr., despite opposition from the slain Nobel laureate’s family and the civil rights group that he led until his 1968 assassination,” the AP reports.

“The release involves an estimated 200,000 pages of records that had been under a court-imposed seal since 1977, when the FBI first gathered the records and turned them over to the National Archives and Records Administration.”

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CREEP: The acronym CREEP is short for The Committee for the Re-election of the President, which in 1972 was the fundraising organization of then-president Richard Nixon’s ….

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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