“Kristi Noem was hospitalized for an allergic reaction one day after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. shared a photo alongside Noem visiting a biosafety lab that was temporarily shut down due to safety concerns,” the Daily Beast reports.
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Even Trump’s Base Opposes War with Iran
An Economist/YouGov poll found that only 16% of U.S. adults and less than a quarter of Republicans think the U.S. should get involved in the conflict between Iran and Israel.
Trump voters are even less enthusiastic than Republicans as a whole. Only 19% of 2024 Trump voters support U.S. involvement.
Businesses Plead for Relief from Mass Deportations
“Industry and business groups that depend on immigrant workers are scrambling to respond to President Donald Trump’s heightened deportation efforts, after winning a partial reprieve on raids last week that was reversed days later,” the Washington Post reports.
“The administration on Monday walked back a pause on immigration raids at farms, meatpacking plants, hotels and restaurants, sending renewed shock waves through the broader business community, parts of which are still pushing the White House for relief from workplace raids.”
For members: Trump Gets Rolled Again
‘Weird Stephen’
Author Michael Wolff told the Daily Beast that President Trump has a less-than-flattering nickname for Stephen Miller, his White House deputy chief of staff: “Weird Stephen.”
Said Wolff: “There is an awareness that Stephen Miller is a problem. And even Trump calls him ‘Weird Stephen.’ Because he is weird, by the way. I mean, you can’t spend a moment with him and not say, ‘Oh, something’s off here.’”
U.S. Seems Likely to Attack Iran
A Trump administration official to Playbook: “The movement right now is away from diplomacy and toward U.S. involvement. We are moving toward taking out Iranian nuclear facilities.”
“If confirmed, it would mark a seismic moment in Trump’s presidency.”
“The White House firmly believes U.S. involvement can be restricted to a series of tactical strikes against specific facilities, without descending into an extended war.”
For members: A Few Thoughts on Trump’s Saber Rattling
How Iran Could Fight Back
Playbook: “It’s important to remember Iran has ways of fighting back beyond weapons. A former Western intelligence official told me the spy community suspects the Islamist regime in Tehran has sleeper cells in various countries to carry out attacks if it feels an existential threat.”
“The regime also could round up Americans in Iran and effectively hold them hostage — as it has done in the past.”
The Byrd Bath
Punchbowl News: “Senate Republicans need to race through time-consuming reconciliation procedures that could throw a wrench into their plans. Behind the scenes, they’ll need to hash out all the complicated political challenges plaguing the bill. And they don’t have much room to lose votes in either chamber.”
“The main procedural hurdle for Senate Republicans to clear is wrapping up the ‘Byrd Bath.’ That’s when Democratic and GOP aides each argue their case to the Senate parliamentarian about whether provisions in the bill adhere to the chamber’s Byrd Rule, which governs the reconciliation process.”
“It’s Democrats’ big moment to try to force some policies out of the bill by arguing they violate the Byrd Rule. If Democrats succeed on major provisions, that could make things even harder for Senate Republican leaders as they struggle over their vote and deficit math.”
Judges Seem Likely to Allow National Guard Troops
“A federal appeals court appears poised to permit President Donald Trump’s deployment of National Guard troops in Los Angeles to continue uninterrupted, despite the protests of California Gov. Gavin Newsom,” Politico reports.
Medicaid Cuts Mean New Trouble for Trump Megabill
“Senate Republicans’ plan to extract more savings from Medicaid as part of their revised tax and spending package triggered a backlash within the party, raising concerns that leaders could miss their self-imposed deadline of getting the bill to President Trump’s desk by July 4,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“Republicans remain divided on a series of issues, ranging from healthcare spending, to deficit reduction, to clean energy tax credits to state and local tax deductions. A significant GOP revolt on any of these could prove fatal for the legislation, which must clear the 53-47 GOP-controlled Senate and then be approved again in the narrowly divided Republican-run House.”
Politico: Megabill changes have Republicans doubting July 4 timeline.
Trump to Install Two Huge Flag Poles at White House
Donald Trump announced the installation of two giant flag poles on the White House grounds—a “gift” from the president that he said “was always missing,” the Daily Beast reports.
Trump claimed they are “paid for by Trump.”
Exchange of the Day
Tucker Carlson embarrassed Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) in a wild exchange during an interview:
CARLSON: How many people are living in Iran, by the way?
CRUZ: I don’t know the population.
CARLSON: At all?
CRUZ: No, I don’t know the population.
CARLSON: You don’t know the population of the country you seek to topple?
CRUZ: How many people live in Iran?
CARLSON: Ninety-two million.
CRUZ: Ok. Yeah, I–
CARLSON: How could you not know that?
CRUZ: I don’t sit around memorizing population tables.
CARLSON: Well, it’s kind of relevant because you’re calling for the overthrow of the government.
CRUZ: Why is it relevant, whether it’s 90 million or 80 million or 100 million? Why is that relevant?
CARLSON: Well, because if you don’t know anything about the country–
CRUZ: I didn’t say I don’t know anything about the country.
CARLSON: Ok, what’s the ethnic mix of Iran?
CRUZ: They are Persians and predominantly Shia–
CARLSON: What percent?
CRUZ: Ok, this is cute. Ok–
CARLSON: You don’t know anything about Iran. So, actually, the country–
CRUZ: Ok, I am not the Tucker Carlson expert on Iran, who says–
CARLSON: You’re a senator who’s calling for the overthrow of the government and you don’t know anything about the country!
Trump’s Tariff Clock Is Ticking
“Leaders from some of America’s biggest trading partners traveled to the Group of Seven industrial nations summit in Canada this week hoping for deals with President Trump. They left empty-handed,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“A meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ended with a pledge for more talks. After discussing trade with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, Trump said he didn’t think the bloc was offering a fair deal. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney set a new 30-day timeline for a trade deal but couldn’t ink an agreement.”
Ex-Argentine President Handed House Arrest
“An Argentine judge on Tuesday put former President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner under house arrest to serve out a six-year sentence for corruption in a case that has effectively brought down the country’s most prominent politician in recent decades,” Reuters reports.
A Few Thoughts on Trump’s Saber-Rattling
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Russia’s Top Security Officials Visits North Korea
“North Korean leader Kim Jong Un met Russia’s top presidential security adviser Sergei Shoigu in Pyongyang on Tuesday and discussed a “special military operation” in the Kursk region bordering Ukraine,” Reuters reports.
‘Bunker Buster’ Could Cripple Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions
“The best shot at knocking out the most fortified part of Iran’s nuclear program comes down to a giant U.S. bomb that has never been used in war,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“The GBU-57—also called the Massive Ordnance Penetrator—is a 30,000-pound behemoth encased in a high-density steel alloy designed to plummet through 200 feet of mountain rock before exploding.”
“Military analysts said the large bunker buster has the best chance of getting through to targets like the Fordow uranium-enrichment facility, which Iran buried under a mountain. Its existence has driven speculation that the U.S. could get involved in Israel’s attack.”
Washington Post: Trump debates bombing Iran in pivotal moment for presidency.
Obama Offers Careful Warning of a Democratic Slide
Former President Barack Obama warned on Tuesday night that the country was “dangerously close” to allowing its government officials to act in a way “consistent with autocracies,” offering a veiled rebuke of the Trump administration that was delivered with trademark caution, the New York Times reports.
Said Obama: “If you follow regularly what is said by those who are in charge of the federal government right now, there is a weak commitment to what we understood — and not just my generation, at least since World War II — our understanding of how a liberal democracy is supposed to work.”
He went on: “We’re not there yet completely, but I think that we are dangerously close to normalizing behavior like that. And we need people both outside government and inside government saying, ‘Let’s not go over that cliff because it’s hard to recover.’”
Texas Quietly Defunds Its Border Wall Program
“Four years after Gov. Greg Abbott announced Texas would be the first state to build its own border wall, lawmakers have quietly stopped funding the project, leaving only scattered segments covering a small fraction of the border,” the Texas Tribune reports.
“That decision, made in the waning hours of this year’s legislative session, leaves the future of the state wall unclear. Just 8% of the 805 miles the state identified for construction is complete, which has cost taxpayers more than $3 billion to date.”
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