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Trump Upended the Rules of Voter Turnout

June 26, 2025 at 12:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Cook Political Report: “For most of modern American political history, one thing about presidential elections was gospel: When more people vote, the Democratic Party benefits.”

“But in 2024, President Donald Trump’s dramatic gains among typically lower-propensity and Democratic-leaning voters — notably voters of color and young people — turned that truism upside-down.”

“A comprehensive new analysis of voter data from the Pew Research Center estimates that if every eligible voter in America had shown up to the polls in November, Trump still would have won the popular vote.”

“In fact, his overall margin of victory may even have been slightly higher.”

CNN: New research shows Trump’s 2024 support became more ethnically and racially diverse.

Trump’s Approval Rating Goes Negative in Texas

June 26, 2025 at 12:13 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll finds approval of President Trump’s job performance falling into net-negative territory for the first time in his second term, with 44% approving and 51% disapproving — tied for the highest negative job approval rating ever recorded for him.

The President’s Weapon

June 26, 2025 at 12:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Tom Nichols: “Why does the power to launch nuclear weapons rest with a single American?”


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Thune Says He Won’t Overrule Senate Parliamentarian

June 26, 2025 at 11:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) on Thursday said he will not overrule the parliamentarian after she rejected key Medicaid provisions in the GOP’s tax and spending megabill, dealing a blow to Republicans’ plan to pay for tax cuts in the package, The Hill reports.

Said Thune: “No. That would not be a good outcome for getting a bill done.”

Wall Street Journal: “The ruling affects several of the largest and most controversial cuts in President Trump’s ‘one, big, beautiful bill,’ and Republicans will likely be forced to drop or rewrite them. The changes could amount to hundreds of billions of dollars, making it harder for Republicans to hit their budget targets. A person familiar with Senate Republicans’ plans said they would aim to revise the proposal, working to find a solution that meets their goals.”

Measles Cases Soar in California

June 26, 2025 at 11:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“California has already reported more measles cases this year than in all of 2024, a worrisome development that comes as the nation is suffering its largest outbreak of the super-infectious disease in decades,” the Los Angeles Times reports.

“The extent of the national outbreak has rocketed measles from a back-of-mind issue — one rarely, if ever, encountered by a whole generation of Americans — to a pressing public health concern.”

Justices Allow States to Defund Planned Parenthood

June 26, 2025 at 11:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“States can remove Planned Parenthood from their Medicaid programs, the Supreme Court ruled on Thursday, saying that individuals on Medicaid cannot sue if a state denies them access to their chosen health care provider,” NOTUS reports.

“The 6-3 opinion paves the way for other Republican states to ban Planned Parenthood from their Medicaid programs without repercussion.”

Politico: Supreme Court clears way for states to kick Planned Parenthood out of Medicaid.

America’s New Language of Climate Denial

June 26, 2025 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration has moved from outright denying the science of global warming to simply dismissing it,” Bloomberg reports.

Summer Gas Prices at Four Year Low

June 26, 2025 at 10:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The price of regular gasoline as tracked by AAA was only a few cents higher than the national average a month ago, before Israel began its attacks on Iran in an attempt to set back that country’s nuclear program. And it is more than 20 cents lower than a year ago.”

“The last time the cost for drivers was lower in late June was in 2021, when the pandemic depressed demand for the fuel. Gas prices are usually higher during the summer months, when demand rises as many Americans get in their cars for vacations and to see family.”

The Middle East War Enters a New Phase

June 26, 2025 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Richard Haass: “It takes only one side to start a war, but it takes all parties involved to end one. In this latest crisis in the Middle East, initiative has passed from Israel to the US and now to Iran, which now must decide if the U.S. attack is the beginning of the end or the end of the beginning.”

Iran’s Unaccounted for Uranium Worries Nuclear Experts

June 26, 2025 at 9:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“For those concerned about Iran becoming a nuclear-armed state, it’s essential to understand not just what the attacks by the US and Israel did to the country’s capacity to enrich uranium, but also its existing inventory of atomic fuel,” Bloomberg reports.

“Prior to the airstrikes, Iran had accumulated a stockpile of highly enriched uranium that, if processed a bit further, could fuel 10 nuclear bombs. Where that stockpile is now is unknown to the international inspectors who had been keeping tabs on it.”

“If Iran still has the ability to enrich uranium, it could use that inventory to produce nuclear weapons in an effort to deter future military assaults.”

Trump Pivots to Tax Cuts to Combat Voter Anxiety

June 26, 2025 at 9:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump is pivoting his attention to passing the cornerstone of his legislative agenda, pressuring Congress to quickly approve a massive tax bill that Republicans believe will seal their political fortunes in the midterm elections,” Bloomberg reports.

“Trump has spent recent days focused on foreign affairs — the Iranian conflict, the Group of 7 in Canada and his most recent trip to a NATO summit in the Netherlands. Now, he’s shifting to a domestic matter: strong-arming fractious Republican lawmakers to cut a deal on a multi-trillion dollar tax bill by an ambitious July 4 deadline.”

NPR: Under pressure, Trump continues to push his agenda.

RFK Jr. Appoints Longtime Anti-Vaccine Ally

June 26, 2025 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has hired an anti-vaccine advocate and longtime ally to a position at the Health and Human Services Department,” ABC News reports.

“Lyn Redwood served for years as president of Children’s Health Defense, the anti-vaccine organization founded by Kennedy. Her exact role at HHS is unclear.”

Elissa Slotkin to Unveil Economic ‘War Plan’

June 26, 2025 at 8:42 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI), who won competitive races twice with Donald Trump on the ballot, is pitching an economic “war plan” for her party today, focused on delivering results and abandoning purity tests, the Washington Post reports.

How Mamdani Used Social Media to Build a Movement

June 26, 2025 at 8:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Mamdani’s underdog campaign, which pulled off an upset victory over former governor Andrew Cuomo, was powered by trending videos and collaborations with creators across the political spectrum. His digital presence felt savvy and authentic, Democrats strategists and voters say, with a message that resonated with young New Yorkers and blue voters tired of milquetoast platforms and personas.”

“National Democrats eager for an edge in the internet era are taking cues from Mamdani as they approach the midterm elections. His internet-fluent posting set him apart from competitors including Cuomo, whose $25 million campaign invested in TV ads and mailers while maintaining a relatively buttoned-up presence on social media.”

New York Times: Can Mamdani’s energetic campaign be a blueprint for Democrats? 

Mamdani Shock Gives Eric Adams a Shot

June 26, 2025 at 8:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Andrew Cuomo’s loss is Eric Adams’ gain,” Bloomberg reports.

“Just days ago, the New York City mayor faced steep reelection odds. His job-approval ratings had plunged to record lows after a federal corruption indictment. Support among Democrats fell even further when the Trump administration dropped the charges, raising questions about Adams’ indebtedness to the White House.”

“But Adams, who dropped out of the campaign as a Democrat to run as an independent, is suddenly looking less toxic to a class of moderate voters. The reason: The surprise ascendancy of democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani, a 33-year-old state assemblyman who crushed Cuomo in Tuesday’s primary election to become the all-but-certain Democratic nominee.”

Washington Post: GOP quickly seeks to make Zohran Mamdani the face of the Democratic Party.

Another Poll Shows John Cornyn Getting Trounced

June 26, 2025 at 8:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “It’s getting late early for John Cornyn. Yet another poll shows the four-term incumbent lagging well behind his hard-right challenger, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, in next year’s primary.”

“The poll, conducted on behalf of a Paxton-allied super PAC, shows the Texas attorney general with a commanding 19-point lead over the incumbent — 57% to 38% — in a head-to-head matchup of Texas Republican primary voters.”

Parliamentarian Rejects GOP Ban on Subsidies for Abortion

June 26, 2025 at 8:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Senate parliamentarian ruled on Wednesday to reject Republican language in the Senate megabill that would prohibit federal subsidies under the Affordable Care Act from going to qualified health plans that cover abortion services,” The Hill reports.

Mediator Proposes $20 Million Settlement in CBS Lawsuit

June 26, 2025 at 7:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A mediator has proposed that President Trump and Paramount Global settle his lawsuit over a CBS News “60 Minutes” interview with former Vice President Kamala Harris for $20 million,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The proposal would include a $17 million donation to Trump’s presidential foundation or museum… It would also include millions more in legal fees and public service announcements on Paramount-owned networks to fight antisemitism.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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