The Atlantic: “The best available evidence suggests that the youth-vote shift in 2024 was more a one-off event than an ideological realignment.”
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Moderate Democrats Sweat New York City’s Mayoral Race
Playbook: “Centrist Democrats are sounding the alarm that a surging democratic socialist mayoral candidate in New York City’s Tuesday primary could further set back the party’s already beleaguered national brand.”
“Third Way, the center-left Democratic think tank, wrote in a memo Friday that they are ‘deeply alarmed’ by Zohran Mamdani, whom they argue holds positions ‘that border on anti-semitism’ and scan as if they were ‘cooked up in the offices of a Trump-aligned ad maker.’”
“At a time when the Democrats are searching for a way out of the wilderness, moderates in the party say that given New York City mayors’ outsized role in national politics — three of the last four have run for president — Republicans could exploit Mamdani’s positions for their gain up and down the ballot.”
Axios: Zohran Mamdani taps progressive playbook for electrifying Gen Z.
Quote of the Day
“I was hoping Jose Padilla would be here to ask a question.”
— Vice President J.D. Vance, quoted by The Hill, referring to Sen. Alex Padilla (R-CA) as “Jose.”
Pakistan to Nominate Trump for Nobel Peace Prize
“Pakistan said on Saturday it would recommend U.S. President Donald Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize, an accolade that he has said he craves, for his work in helping to resolve the recent conflict between India and Pakistan,” Reuters reports.
“Some analysts in Pakistan said the move might persuade Trump to think again about potentially joining Israel in striking Iran’s nuclear facilities. Pakistan has condemned Israel’s action as a violation of international law and a threat to regional stability.”
Trump Throws Gabbard Under the Bus — Again
“For the second time this week, President Donald Trump publicly undermined Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, disregarding her assessment of Iran’s nuclear capabilities,” Politico reports.
“Speaking to reporters on the tarmac after landing in Morristown, New Jersey, on Friday afternoon, Trump repeated his belief that Iran is building a nuclear weapon — and his disregard for the conclusions of Gabbard, who testified in March that Iran’s nuclear development program was not close to a bomb.”
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Gen Z’s Stunning Partisan Split
“America’s youngest voters are far likelier to vote Republican than their older siblings,” Axios reports.
“Generation Z may be better understood as two distinct sub-generations — divided, in large part, by how they experienced the shock of Covid-19.”
“Stunning stat: The latest iteration of the Yale Youth Poll found extraordinary 18-point partisan gap between younger and older members of Generation Z. When asked whether they’d pick a Democratic or Republican candidate in the midterm elections, voters age 22–29 favored Democrats by 6.4 points, while those age 18–21 favored Republicans by 11.7 points.”

Iran’s Supreme Leader Names Potential Successors
“Wary of assassination, Iran’s supreme leader mostly speaks with his commanders through a trusted aide now, suspending electronic communications to make it harder to find him,“ the New York Times reports.
“Ensconced in a bunker, the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has picked an array of replacements down his chain of miliary command in case more of his valued lieutenants are killed.”
“And in a remarkable move, the officials add, Ayatollah Khamenei has even named three senior clerics as candidates to succeed him should he be killed, as well — perhaps the most telling illustration of the precarious moment he and his three-decade rule are facing.”
Harvard and Trump Restart Talks
“Harvard University and the Trump administration have restarted talks to potentially settle the acrimonious dispute that led President Trump to wage a far-reaching attack on the school and raised stark questions about the federal government’s place in higher education,“ the New York Times reports.
“The discussions began again this week at a meeting in the White House. At the meeting, Harvard representatives showed White House officials a PowerPoint presentation that laid out measures the school has taken on antisemitism, viewpoint diversity and admissions.”
“In turn, the White House signaled other steps it would like for Harvard to take on those subjects and later sent a letter laying out conditions that could resolve the conflict.”
Wall Street Journal: Trump says he’s nearing a possible deal with Harvard.
Postcard from Umbria
Our family’s long love affair with Italy began when Sara was pregnant with our first child. That trip set a tradition — renting a villa, wandering through ancient hill towns, and savoring food that never fails to amaze.
We’ve returned many times since, but this visit marked a milestone: our youngest son had just graduated from college. It felt like the right moment to return — a full-circle celebration in one of our family’s favorite places.
We spent a week in Cortona, another in Assisi, and filled the days with side trips to Montepulciano, Spello, Gubbio, Lake Trasimeno, and other hidden gems. It was truly wonderful.
Thanks for your patience with the odd posting times while I was away. Political Wire is back to normal next week.
How Trump Treats Black History Differently
New York Times: “The president’s decision to snub Juneteenth — a day that has been cherished by generations of Black Americans before it was named a federal holiday in 2021 — is part of a pattern of words and actions by Mr. Trump that minimize, ignore or even erase some of the experiences and history of Black people in the United States.”
“Since taking office in January, he has tried to reframe the country’s past involving racism and discrimination by de-emphasizing that history or at times denying that it happened.”
Trump’s Two-Week Pause Is a Big Gamble
“After moving to the precipice of military action against Iran, President Trump finds himself caught between negotiations that show few signs of yielding a nuclear deal and a war he is reluctant to join,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“By deferring a decision on a military strike, Trump’s calculation is that Israel’s continued blows against Iran’s nuclear infrastructure or Tehran’s capitulation at the negotiating table might deliver the outcome he has long sought: an end to Iran’s uranium enrichment.”
“The risk is that Iran concludes that Trump is bluffing, opts to endure Israel’s bombs and clings to its longstanding position that it has the right to an enrichment program.”
Stephen Miller’s Fingerprints Are on Everything
Wall Street Journal: “Miller had considerable sway in Trump’s first term. But when aides at the time suggested promoting Miller to a leadership role at the Department of Homeland Security, Trump declined, according to a former administration official, telling aides he thought Miller wasn’t leader material.”
“His influence has expanded sharply since, thanks largely to his steadfast loyalty to Trump.”
A Deep Dive Into Two Senate Races
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Israel Signals Protracted War With Iran
“Israel’s top general warned on Friday that the war with Iran could be lengthy, calling it the most complex military campaign in the country’s history,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“He spoke as European foreign ministers met Iranian officials in Geneva on Friday to press them to de-escalate and limit Tehran’s nuclear activities. Iran’s foreign minister said as the talks began that Israel’s attacks he described as ‘merciless acts of aggression’ had undermined constructive negotiations.”
Quote of the Day
“It is dangerous to me that politicians are being rewarded for spewing absolute bullshit when it comes to vaccines. What they’re doing is incredibly dangerous for public health. I think we have a responsibility to not reward them politically and to stand up against what they are pushing out there.”
— Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro (D), quoted by Rolling Stone.
Israel Faces Strategic Dilemma in Iran
New York Times: “The longer Israel waits for Mr. Trump, the greater the strain on its air defense system. To keep out Iran’s ballistic missile barrages, Israel is burning through its stocks of missile interceptors, forcing it to prioritize the protection of some areas over others. As time goes on, that raises the risk of more missiles hitting both civilian neighborhoods and strategic security sites.”
“With Israel’s airspace closed and much of its economic life suspended, the war’s protraction will also come at an economic cost. The sooner the war ends, the faster commercial flights will return and businesses can resume full operations.”
“Rather than wait for American help, Israel could decide to attack Fordo alone — taking a chance with the planes and munitions it has at its disposal. Some analysts say that Israel could even send commandos to enter and sabotage the site.”
Democratic Anxiety Grows Over Party’s Cash Crunch
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