Polymarket shows Zohran Mamdani and the slight favorite over Andrew Cuomo in the New York City Democratic mayoral primary.
Why Big Tech Turned Against Democrats
Paul Krugman: “One of the ironies of this great leap backward is that it was made possible in part by a hard turn toward Trump among technology billionaires — men who surely imagine that they are leading us into a glorious future, not into a latter-day Dark Age.”
“Silicon Valley used to support Democrats. For one thing, people in tech tend to be socially liberal. And at least some recognize that the modern Republican Party is hostile to science and education, the pillars on which the tech industry rests.”
“So what explains the turn away from Democrats and, given Trump’s obvious authoritarianism, democracy?”
“A major factor may have been a shift in attitude and policy on the part of Democrats, especially Biden administration officials, who moved away from uncritical tech boosterism and toward increased regulation.”
Bonus Quote of the Day
“We basically, we have two countries that have been fighting so long and so hard that they don’t know what the fuck they’re doing.”
— President Trump, quoted by The Hill, lamenting the breakdown in the ceasefire between Israel and Iran.
Pressure to Seal Trump Trade Deals Ramps Up
“Two weeks from President Donald Trump’s self-imposed deadline to reach deals with the US’s major trading partners, some of the most-watched talks aimed at clinching agreements to avoid higher tariffs are struggling to get over the finish line,” Bloomberg reports.
Parliamentarian Rejects Offshore Drilling Provisions
“Senate Parliamentarian Elizabeth MacDonough has ruled against provisions in the GOP megabill to enact President Trump’s agenda that would dramatically accelerate the approval of offshore oil and gas projects, handing Senate Republican Leader John Thune (R-SD) a setback and Democrats another procedural victory,” The Hill reports.
“The parliamentarian ruled against a provision in the legislation that would deem offshore oil and gas projects as automatically compliant with the National Environmental Policy Act, essentially nullifying the environmental review process for these projects.”
Democratic Power Struggle Fuels NYC Mayor’s Race
“New York City voters face a choice today: A 67-year-old scandal-stained insider or a 33-year-old democratic socialist scorned by the city’s elite,” Axios reports.
“It’s the first, difficult step on the road to redefining the Democratic Party.
At its core, the race can be boiled down to old-guard moderates running against younger, energetic candidates with ambitious — often expensive — ideas. It’s the same dynamic that will likely play out across the country over the next few years.”
Washington Post: What to know about New York City’s Democratic mayoral primary.
We likely won’t know the result — after many rounds of ranked-choice tabulation — for several days.
Cuomo Has Slight Edge in the Polls
Lakshya Jain says the polling average has Andrew Cuomo leading the Democratic mayoral primary in New York City by three percentage points — but that’s largely due to a late Yale Poll/YouGov survey that gave him a big 14-point lead.
“This is by no means an insurmountable or even an especially strong lead. It’s basically a coin-flip. Cuomo is weakest among high-information voters, which makes a lot of sense when you consider how his gubernatorial tenure ended. Low-information voters and minorities tend to favor him. If the primary electorate is whiter or more engaged than what pollsters have modeled, he would easily lose.”
Trump Says Ceasefire Already Violated
President Donald Trump says both Israel and Iran violated ceasefire terms with attacks following an early Tuesday deadline to cease hostilities, the AP reports.
Said Trump: “They violated it but Israel violated it too.”
He added: “I’m not happy with Israel.”
How Donald Trump Got NATO to Pay Up
“When Trump’s transition team first told European allies back before Christmas that the president-elect wanted NATO members to raise their defense spending from 2 percent of GDP to 5 percent, it came like a bolt from the blue,” Politico reports.
“But fast-forward six months, and Europe now has a long-term plan for its own self-defense, as mapped out by defense ministers last month.”
New Yorker: “The Administration is strong-arming European nations to do more on behalf of their own defense.”
Quote of the Day
“It’s just a more lonely position. And nobody likes being in a lonely position.”
— Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK), quoted by the Washington Post, on standing up to President Trump in the Republican-controlled Senate.
Why Trump Minimizes His Time at Global Meetings
Washington Post: “Trump is a man of contradictions, and so is his attitude toward international summits. They provide him a world stage from which to perform. They contain trappings of power that he prefers, including opulent settings with majestic views.”
“Yet he has to share the stage with other world leaders. The meetings themselves are venues for disagreement and debate, and there are aspects that are outside of his control. And he prefers bilateral meetings, not those where he might be ganged up on by a Group of Seven, a Group of 20, or the NATO alliance.”
Garcia Wins Top Spot on Powerful Oversight Committee
“Rep. Robert Garcia won the approval of a key panel Monday to become the next top House Democrat on the Oversight Committee,“ Politico reports.
“The 47-year-old Californian is in just his second term in Congress. But he pitched himself as a consensus candidate who could bridge the divides between Democrats seeking confrontation with President Donald Trump and the sensibilities of party elders.”
Trump Takes a Victory Lap
Playbook: “Donald Trump departs for the NATO summit in a triumphant mood this morning after brokering a stunning end to the Iran-Israeli conflict.”
“Expect plenty of grandstanding from the president as he lauds last night’s dramatic Middle East ceasefire deal — and a display of U.S. military aggression he can now sell as an unequivocal success.”
“The president believes — with some justification — that he has proved his critics wrong. America has asserted its military dominance in the region. Iran’s nuclear program has taken a severe blow. The pushback has been almost nonexistent. And that much-feared ‘forever war’ lasted less than 12 days. Trump is chalking this up as a comprehensive win.”
Axios: Trump declares victory as Iran, Israel acknowledge shaky ceasefire.
Majority Disapproves of Trump’s Iran Airstrikes
“President Donald Trump’s decision to launch airstrikes against Iran is broadly unpopular with Americans,” according to a new CNN poll.
“Americans disapprove of the strikes, 56% to 44%, according to the survey, with strong disapproval outpacing the share who strongly approve. Most distrust Trump’s decision-making on the use of force in Iran, with about 6 in 10 worried that the strikes will increase the Iranian threat to the US.”
GOP Probes Aim to Keep Spotlight on Biden
“Republicans have now launched four separate investigations into former President Biden and whether his declining health affected his abilities in the White House,” Axios reports.
“Democrats don’t want to talk about Biden after last year’s elections. Republicans are trying to force them to — even as the GOP has shown little willingness to conduct oversight of the Trump administration’s norm-busting first months.”
“The GOP probes reflect how questioning Biden’s legitimacy has become a focus of Trump’s presidency — and how in the face of any bad news, Trump frequently blames Biden, 82, as an excuse or a deflection.”
Senate Gears Up to Jam the House
Punchbowl News: “This is what it looks like when the Senate is about to jam the House — and many GOP senators are cheering it on.”
“During Monday night’s Senate GOP Conference meeting, Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-LA) stood up for his fellow Louisiana Republican, Speaker Mike Johnson, and insisted that the House won’t be able to pass what Senate Republicans have been cobbling together, citing the Senate’s stricter crackdown on Medicaid provider taxes.”
“Thune responded by saying the House will ultimately accept what the Senate passes, according to three senators in the room.”
“Several GOP senators told us they came away from the meeting — and this interaction in particular — with the impression that Thune is angling to use his substantial leverage to dare the House to reject any Senate-passed bill, especially with President Donald Trump eager to sign the measure by July 4.”
Trump’s Push to Boost Manufacturing Hits Reality
“President Trump’s pledge to revive American manufacturing is running into the stubborn obstacle of demographic reality. The pool of blue-collar workers who are able and willing to perform tasks on a factory floor in the United States is shrinking,” the New York Times reports.
“As baby boomers retire, few young people are lining up to take their place. About 400,000 manufacturing jobs are currently unfilled, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics — a shortfall that will surely grow if companies are forced to rely less on manufacturing overseas and build more factories in the United States.”
Israel Says Missiles Fired From Iran
The Israeli military said the country will “respond with force” after it said Iran fired missiles toward Israel’s north shortly after a cease-fire was announced, the Wall Street Journal reports.
CNN: “The Israeli military intercepted two missiles launched from Iran at Israel.”
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