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Trump’s Best Day Yet?

July 2, 2025 at 9:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump began Tuesday by stoking his on-again feud with Elon Musk and joking about alligators chasing immigrant detainees,” Axios reports.

“He later basked in the Senate’s passage of his signature tax and spending bill — and enthusiastically lobbed threats toward an array of perceived enemies, from immigrants to the media to Zohran Mamdani, New York City’s Democratic nominee for mayor.”

“Trump and his team seemed to view it as his best day as president — a day when his brash, norm-crushing style was paying off in a series of ‘wins’ in D.C. and Florida.”

Immigration Crackdown Ripples Through the Economy

July 2, 2025 at 9:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s immigration crackdown is hitting key pockets of the economy, disrupting workplaces and communities around the country,” Axios reports.

“The sharp fall in immigration this year threatens to slow down economic growth, particularly in the sectors and cities that relied on newcomers to the U.S. in recent years.”

Opposition to GOP Megabill Grows in the House

July 2, 2025 at 9:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

As members of the House GOP whip team take the temperature of members on the Senate-passed megabill, they’re “racking up no’s from lawmakers who they didn’t expect would be opposed to the bill,” Punchbowl News reports.


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GOP Hardliners Warn of a Delay to Tax Vote

July 2, 2025 at 9:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The leader of a hardline conservative caucus in the House on Wednesday cast doubt on the prospect President Donald Trump’s sprawling tax and spending legislation will be completed by July 4,” Bloomberg reports.

Said House Freedom Caucus Chairman Andy Harris (R-MD): “We could take another week to get this thing right. We’re willing to stay until we resolve this.”

He added: “I don’t think it’s going to be ready by July 4.”

Colorado Capitol Has New Trump Portrait

July 2, 2025 at 9:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A new presidential portrait sits in the Colorado Capitol, after one that had hung in the building for six years drew the ire of Donald Trump, who claimed that it ‘purposefully distorted’ his image,” the Washington Post reports.

“The original portrait was swiftly removed, and this week a noticeably sterner portrait appeared in its place — and the president appears much happier with the result.”

“The White House donated the portrait about a month ago, and it was put up this week… The image is much closer to Trump’s latest presidential portrait, which in turn bears a resemblance to his famous mug shot.”

House Republicans Subpoena Brown and Penn

July 2, 2025 at 9:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The House Judiciary Committee issued subpoenas Tuesday to Brown University and the University of Pennsylvania, demanding additional documents from the schools as part of an ongoing probe into alleged antitrust violations in Ivy League tuition and financial aid policies,” CNBC reports.

“The two subpoenas mirrored one that was issued by the committee last week to Harvard University.”

Trump Faces the Biggest Test Yet of His Second-Term 

July 2, 2025 at 8:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump has gotten almost everything he has wanted from the Republican-controlled Congress since he took office in January,” the New York Times reports.

“GOP lawmakers approved his nominees, sometimes despite their doubts. They ceded their power over how federal dollars are distributed, impinging on constitutional authority. And they have cheered his overhaul of the federal bureaucracy, even as he has bypassed the legislative body’s oversight of federal agencies.”

“But now, Mr. Trump is pressuring Republicans to fall in line behind his sprawling domestic policy bill, even though it has elements that could put their party’s hold on Congress in greater peril in next year’s midterm elections. Fiscal hawks are appalled by estimates that the bill would add at least $3.3 trillion to the country’s ballooning debt, while moderate Republicans are concerned about the steep cuts to the safety net.”

Trump’s Business Empire Isn’t What He Claims

July 2, 2025 at 7:18 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The version of Mr. Trump’s business that he projects — a real estate development company that executes large, complex tasks — hasn’t existed for a nearly a decade, since the Trumps’ last two major construction projects failed to make money.”

“Instead, Mr. Trump’s wealth is now built on monetizing the family name in new ways and, intentionally or not, the office of the presidency. It is an enterprise in pursuit of multimillion-dollar checks — from actual real estate developers, from cryptocurrency and social media enterprises run by others. It is also a business that hawks Trump-branded trinkets like watches and gold-toned mobile phones to the president’s passionate supporters.”

“Many of the deals open multiple channels for anyone to funnel cash to a sitting president, often in ways that are untraceable under current disclosure requirements. And because some of what is being sold is use of the president’s name, there are no clear metrics to gauge whether he has received market rate, a premium because of his office or, in effect, a hopeful bribe.”

House Republicans Threaten to Sink Trump’s Megabill

July 2, 2025 at 7:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “At the moment, the number of House Republicans vowing to oppose the Senate version is enough to block the bill’s passage, unless there is again a last-minute scramble to negotiate with holdouts along with a successful pressure campaign by the president. Only three House Republicans need to oppose the bill to sink it.”

When an Oligarch Confronts an Autocrat

July 2, 2025 at 7:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Krugman: “Does taking some satisfaction in Musk’s demise make me a bad person? Maybe, but I’m only human. Should I go easy on Musk because he came out against the terrible bill that just passed? No.”

“For one thing, Musk’s opposition predictably made no difference. Musk and other oligarchs will soon learn just how little political power their wealth gives them in the political environment they helped create…”

“Beyond that, Musk was against the bill for all the wrong reasons.”

Quote of the Day

July 2, 2025 at 6:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“No one really cares what he says anymore.”

— A senior White House official, quoted by CNN, on Elon Musk.

Will the House Pass Trump’s Bill?

July 2, 2025 at 6:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “Given the way this Congress has behaved since Jan. 20, it seems far-fetched to imagine the Republican Party actually going ahead and blocking Trump’s flagship piece of legislation — especially when the president seems relatively uninterested in the actual detailed content of the bill.”

“But if you do fancy whiling away the day playing will-they-won’t-they games, then it’s the GOP deficit hawks you’ll want to be monitoring — people like Reps. Ralph Norman (S.C.), Chip Roy (Texas), Andy Harris (Md.), Marlin Stutzman (Ind.) and Andy Ogles (Tenn.), who have all been mouthing off about the Senate’s tweaks.”

“In theory, there are also plenty of ‘Medicaid moderates’ — like California Rep. David Valadao — who could take a stand against the deeper cuts pushed through by the Senate, although frankly, I wouldn’t hold my breath.”

Trump’s Agenda Faces a Wary House GOP

July 2, 2025 at 6:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “The schedule — as it stands now — is to bring the House back at 9 a.m. today and vote as soon as possible.”

“Remember that the House Republican leadership team – Johnson, House Majority Leader Steve Scalise and House Majority Whip Tom Emmer – are whipping this bill on an incredibly condensed timeline against lots of opposition. Can they even pass a rule? There’s some skepticism in the GOP leadership that they will.”

Politico: “Johnson has 24-to-48 hours to convince reluctant fiscal hawks and Medicaid moderates to swallow the Senate’s bill. He spent Monday on calls with concerned lawmakers and caucuses, scrambling to figure out how to pass it this week without making changes to the bill.”

Paramount to Pay $16 Million to Settle Trump Lawsuit

July 2, 2025 at 6:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Paramount Global said it has agreed in principle to pay $16 million to settle a lawsuit with President Trump over a ‘60 Minutes’ interview with former Vice President Kamala Harris,“ the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The settlement, which doesn’t include an apology, comprises payments made to the president’s future presidential library and legal fees.”

For members: It’s Flat Out Extortion

New Yorkers Overwhelmingly Reject Trump’s Policies

July 2, 2025 at 6:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Siena College Poll: “By a 54% to 33% margin, New York voters say that when they consider everything President Donald Trump is doing domestically and in foreign affairs, Trump will not make America Great.”

By a similar 52% to 28% margin, voters think the President’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ will worsen, not improve, life for a majority of Americans.”

Pentagon Halting Promised Munitions for Ukraine

July 2, 2025 at 5:27 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Pentagon has halted shipments of some air defense missiles and other precision munitions to Ukraine due to worries that U.S. weapons stockpiles have fallen too low,” Politico reports.

“The decision was driven by the Pentagon’s policy chief, Elbridge Colby, and was made after a review of Pentagon munitions stockpiles, leading to concerns that the total number of artillery rounds, air defense missiles and precision munitions was sinking.”

Lindsey Graham Gets a Primary Challenger

July 1, 2025 at 10:51 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Former South Carolina Lt. Gov. André Bauer is mounting a GOP primary challenge to Sen. Lindsey Graham, arguing the incumbent isn’t conservative enough to represent the state,” the AP reports.

Said Bauer: “Once every 6 years, he gets conservative. The rest of the time he votes with the Democrats.”

The Problematic Politics of Trump’s Bill

July 1, 2025 at 10:47 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “America’s two political parties have traded places economically. Where Americans once referred to upper-income ‘country club Republicans’ and blue-collar ‘lunchpail Democrats,’ they now see a working-class GOP and, in many ways, a professional-class Democratic Party.”

“That is good news for Republicans, because working-class voters—often defined as those without a four-year college degree—are one of the biggest blocs in the electorate. But with that success comes a problem: The GOP now represents more constituents who rely on social safety-net programs, such as Medicaid.”

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Cattle Call: A “cattle call” is a public event at which a big group of candidates for public office all speak.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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