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Workers of the World Didn’t Unite

April 13, 2020 at 12:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Atkins: “The reality is that leftist policy has never been more ascendant in the Democratic Party since at least the 1960s if not the 1930s. The Biden 2020 campaign platform is well to the left of the Clinton 2016 platform, which was itself well to the left of the Obama 2008 platform. Every major candidate in the 2020 field ran either on some version of Medicare for All, or at least a public option and Medicare expansion as a pathway toward it. Every major candidate proposed much bolder action on climate change than the Obama administration, and major policies to address student debt and college tuition. And on social policy from LGBT rights to criminal justice, the difference between the Democratic Party of today and that of 10 years ago could not be more stark…”

“What did lose unequivocally, however, was a certain brand of anti-partisan class revolutionary electoral politics rooted in industrial-era Marxist theory. Zack Beauchamp’s excellent analysis at Vox is essential reading on this topic, but the upshot is that regardless of leftist policy, a strain of Marxist theory since the late 19th century has posited that the left can usher in a socialist utopia by uniting the workers of the world–and that any cultural divisions within the working class that get in the way are the product of false consciousness and manufactured consent to prevent the proletariat from arising together to overthrow their capitalist chains.”

Special Briefing with Amy Klobuchar

April 13, 2020 at 12:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In partnership with Cornell University’s Institute of Politics and Global Affairs, members are invited to a briefing with Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN).

The webinar is scheduled for Wednesday, April 15 at 10 a.m. ET.

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Quote of the Day

April 13, 2020 at 12:04 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I think you can say, ‘The worst is over.'”

— Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D), quoted by the New York Times, while noting precautions will need to be taken for many months to come, even if restrictions are somewhat eased.


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Trump Is Terrible at Governing

April 13, 2020 at 11:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

A series of stories over the weekend reported that President Trump had plenty of early warning about the coronavirus and the resulting health and economic risks. But he rejected every one of them — until it was too late.

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Trump Falsely Claims Power to Reopen the Economy

April 13, 2020 at 11:25 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump falsely claimed in a tweet that he has the authority to determine when the country’s economy reopens.

Said Trump: “It is the decision of the President, and for many good reasons. With that being said, the Administration and I are working closely with the Governors, and this will continue.”

USA Today: “Federal law allows Washington to impose quarantines in some circumstances and limit travel between states, but the Trump administration has not invoked those powers. And the Supreme Court has struck down attempts by the federal government to intervene within states.”

Wisconsin Primary Results Coming

April 13, 2020 at 11:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Wisconsin primary results from last week will begin to roll in at 5 p.m. ET today.

Plagues and Peoples

April 13, 2020 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Another excellent book: Plagues and Peoples by William McNeill.

“From the conquest of Mexico by smallpox as much as by the Spanish, to the bubonic plague in China, to the typhoid epidemic in Europe, the history of disease is the history of humankind.”

Plagues and Peoples
Plagues and Peoples
  • Amazon Kindle Edition
  • McNeill, William (Author)
  • English (Publication Language)
  • 354 Pages - 10/27/2010 (Publication Date) - Anchor (Publisher)
Check Price on Amazon

Many Small Firms Expect to Fail If Crisis Lasts 6 Months

April 13, 2020 at 10:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A National Bureau of Economic Research survey of small businesses finds that when firms are told to expect a one-month crisis, the expectation of remaining open by the end of the year hovers around 70% across all industries with the exception of Arts and Entertainment, and Personal Services. In those industries, the expectation of remaining open drops to 65% and 57% respectively.

When firms are told to expect a six-month crisis, the average expectation of remaining open falls to 38%, and there is significant heterogeneity between sectors. The expected survival probability for firms in Arts and Entertainment drops precipitously to 35% if the crisis lasts 6 months. The expected probability of being open for Personal Services firms fall to 22% if the crisis lasts six months.

The restaurant industry seems particularly vulnerable to a long crisis. Restaurateurs believe that they have a 72% chance of survival if the crisis lasts one month, but if the crisis lasts six months, then they expect to survive with only a 15% probability. Likewise, the chance of survival for firms in tourism and lodging drops to 27% by the 6-month mark.

Justices Will Hear Oral Arguments By Telephone

April 13, 2020 at 10:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court announced on Monday that it will hear oral arguments by telephone conference next month, including a landmark case involving President Trump’s financial records,” The Hill reports.

Trump to Announce Cuts to World Health Organization

April 13, 2020 at 9:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump is likely to announce restrictions on U.S. funding for the World Health Organization this week over its handling of the coronavirus pandemic, as the administration and conservative allies ramped up their criticism that the United Nations agency catered to China early in the outbreak and jeopardized global health,” the Washington Post reports.

Ocasio-Cortez Says Biden Has Not Reached Out to Her

April 13, 2020 at 9:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) made clear to the New York Times that she intended to support Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee, but said his current overtures to progressives must go further.

Said Ocasio-Cortez: “The whole process of coming together should be uncomfortable for everyone involved — that’s how you know it’s working. And if Biden is only doing things he’s comfortable with, then it’s not enough.”

She also said the Biden campaign has not yet reached out to her.

Woman Expands Her Allegations Against Biden

April 13, 2020 at 9:46 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A woman who briefly worked as an aide for former Vice President Joe Biden in the 1990s has expanded her claims that he harassed her to now include an instance of sexual assault, which Biden’s campaign denies and says is untrue,” NBC News reports.

“The woman, Tara Reade, first made the assault allegation public last month, saying in a podcast interview that Biden — then a veteran senator from Delaware and a powerful committee chairman — penetrated her with his fingers under her skirt when she brought him a gym bag in spring 1993. At the time, she was a staff assistant in his office on Capitol Hill.”

Biden Leads, But It’s Tenuous

April 13, 2020 at 9:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Cohn: “If anyone holds the early edge, it is Mr. Biden. He leads by an average of six points in national live-interview polls of registered voters. But the election will be decided by voters in the battleground states, not registered voters nationwide, and there the story is not nearly so clear or rosy for Mr. Biden.”

“At the moment, a reasonable estimate is that Mr. Biden is performing four or five points worse among likely voters in the critical states than he is among registered voters nationwide. As a result, he holds only a narrow and tenuous edge in the race for the Electoral College, if he holds one at all.”

May Day

April 13, 2020 at 9:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NBC News: “With his hoped-for Easter timeline having come and gone, President Trump now appears more determined than he has ever been to open up the economy with a ‘big bang’ early next month.”

Said a senior administration official: “I think we are all expecting or planning for May 1.”

Trump Raised $212 Million In First Quarter

April 13, 2020 at 9:25 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump’s reelection campaign and the RNC jointly brought in a $212 million haul in the first three months of 2020, CBS News reports.

The party and Trump campaign have more than $240 million cash-on-hand.

Trump Holds Small Lead In Utah

April 13, 2020 at 8:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new UtahPolicy.com/KUTV poll in Utah finds President Trump leading Joe Biden by just five points, 46% to 41%, with 5% saying they’ll vote for a third party.

George Stephanopoulos Tests Positive

April 13, 2020 at 8:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

George Stephanopoulos announced on Good Morning America that he has tested positive for COVID-19, the illness caused by the novel coronavirus.

Trump’s Promises on Coronavirus Largely Unfulfilled

April 13, 2020 at 8:27 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“One month ago today, President Trump declared a national emergency,” NPR reports.

“In a Rose Garden address, flanked by leaders from giant retailers and medical testing companies, he promised a mobilization of public and private resources to attack the coronavirus… But few of those promises have come to pass.”

“NPR’s Investigations Team dug into each of the claims made from the podium that day. And rather than a sweeping national campaign of screening, drive-through sample collection and lab testing, it found a smattering of small pilot projects and aborted efforts.”

“In some cases, no action was taken at all.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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