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Sanders Holds Big Leads In Texas and California

February 28, 2020 at 12:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new CNN poll in Texas finds Bernie Sanders leads the Democratic field with 29%, followed by Joe Biden at 20%, Michael Bloomberg at 18% and Elizabeth Warren is at 15%. No other candidate reaches double-digits.

In California, Sanders leads with 35%, followed by Warren at 14%, Biden at 13% and Bloomberg at 12%.

A Berkeley IGS poll in California finds Sanders at 34%, Warren at 17%, Bloomberg at 12% and Buttigieg at 11%.

A new Univision/University of Houston poll in Texas finds Sanders leading with 265, followed by Biden and Bloomberg tied at 20%.

One In Four Think Obama Has Endorsed Bloomberg

February 28, 2020 at 12:17 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Morning Consult survey found that 26% of Democratic primary voters believe former President Barack Obama has endorsed Michael Bloomberg for president and 25% think he’s endorse Joe Biden.

However, Obama has not yet endorsed any candidate.

‘Here’s What I Do Like About Bernie Sanders’

February 28, 2020 at 12:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Chait: “I have devoted a lot of space to criticizing Bernie Sanders (and, especially, bad arguments made on his behalf). I will probably continue to do so, in part because I have disagreements with his worldview, and mainly because I think the available evidence says his nomination would increase President Trump’s odds of reelection. But we should be cognizant of the distorting effect a primary can have on our perspective. The flaws of candidates we oppose feel more irritating over time, even if they haven’t actually grown, while their virtues seem to recede. As an exercise in maintaining perspective, I’m devoting a column to the virtues of Bernie Sanders.”

“Sanders is motivated by an ideological vision that is fundamentally humane. For all his attacks on the ‘millionaires and billionaires,’ the only true visceral rage he shows is at poverty in the midst of one of the world’s wealthiest societies. His anger at the inaccessibility of health care, housing, and basic needs for all Americans is the through line of his career, through all of its idiosyncratic turns.”

“Sanders is generally pragmatic about how he advances this goal, and has spent decades working with people who do not share his values in order to make incremental advances. He is not motivated by wealth. (While Sanders has a lot of money, he accumulated it by saving what he earned; like his Larry David caricature, he does not enjoy creature comforts.) His passion to lift the unfortunate is pure and admirable.”


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Why Trump Isn’t Trying to Bring Down Bernie

February 28, 2020 at 11:31 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Peter Nicholas: “Team Trump views Sanders as the weakest candidate left on the Democratic side, and isn’t eager to do anything to impede his rise, several of the president’s past and present political advisers told me. They seem to see Sanders as a no-lose proposition: The president wins whether the senator from Vermont captures the nomination or not.”

“Should Sanders prevail, Trump’s strategy will be to spotlight his democratic-socialist identity in an attempt to make voters fear he’ll take away their freedom. (Trump will try to brand any Democratic nominee a socialist—Team Trump just thinks it’ll be easier with the guy whose self-description includes the word.)”

“If Sanders falters, Trump will argue that he was unfairly robbed of a nomination he earned. Trump has long stoked suspicions of an anti-Sanders conspiracy within the Democratic Party, for what seems to be two purposes: leaving Sanders’s following so disillusioned that they stay home on Election Day, or perhaps persuading them to switch sides and vote Republican. Sanders may not need Trump, but for the time being, Trump needs Sanders.”

Tim Kaine Endorses Biden

February 28, 2020 at 11:16 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA) endorsed Joe Biden for the Democratic presidential nomination, the Washington Post reports.

Said Kaine: “It is sad to have a President who no one holds up as a role model for America’s kids. By contrast, Joe Biden has exemplary heart, character, and experience.”

The Economic Risks of Coronavirus

February 28, 2020 at 11:02 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Matt Stoller: “The coronavirus is going to introduce economic conditions with which few people in modern America are familiar: the prospect of shortages. After 25 years of offshoring and consolidation, we now rely on overseas production for just about everything. Now in the wake of the coronavirus, China has shut down much of its production; South Korea and Italy will shut down as well.”

“Once the final imports from these countries have worked their way through the supply chains and hit our shores, it could be a while before we get more. This coronavirus will reveal, in other words, a crisis of production—and one that’s coming just in time for a presidential election.”

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: “Central banks have met their match. They cannot counter the economic havoc caused to global supply chains from the coronavirus.”

“Nor can tax cuts or a blast of government spending plug the gap when crumbling confidence and emergency anti-virus measures are blocking the transmission channels.”

Exchange of the Day

February 28, 2020 at 10:59 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo was questioned by Rep. Ted Lieu (D-CA) before the House Foreign Affairs Committee:

LIEU: Are you going to speak at CPAC today?

POMPEO: Yes.

LIEU: So you could only give two hours to Congress, and instead of answering questions on life and death issues you’re going to go talk to a special interest group?

POMPEO: Yes.

Huckabee Makes Bizarre Defense of Trump

February 28, 2020 at 10:36 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Gov. Mike Huckabee told Fox & Friends that President Trump didn’t get enough credit for what he’s done to halt the spread of coronavirus.

Said Huckabee: “He could personally suck the virus out of every one of the 60,000 people in the world, suck it out of their lungs, swim to the bottom of the ocean and spit it out, and he would be accused of pollution for messing up the ocean.”

The comments sent the hashtag #SuckItTrump soaring on Twitter.

House Democrats Launch Justice Department Probe

February 28, 2020 at 10:26 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“House Democrats are seeking interviews with the four career prosecutors who quit the case of Roger Stone, a longtime confidant of President Trump, after Trump and Justice Department leaders intervened to demand a lighter jail sentence,” Politico reports.

The interviews are part of “broader demands for documents and testimony about allegations of political interference by Trump in the work of the Justice Department.”

Mulvaney Blasts Media for Not Covering Barron Trump

February 28, 2020 at 10:20 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney criticized the news media for refusing to cover what he described as President Trump’s loving relationship with his 13-year-old son, Barron, the New York Times reports.

“He said Mr. Trump is in frequent contact with his youngest son, calling to check in on him and let him know of his whereabouts. But, Mr. Mulvaney said, ‘the press would never show you that because it doesn’t fit that image of him, the press wants him to be this terrible monster.'”

“Mr. Mulvaney’s decision to discuss Barron Trump was curious, especially when Melania Trump, the first lady, and senior White House officials have gone to great lengths to make sure he enjoys the privacy afforded to other children of presidents growing up in the uncomfortable spotlight of the White House. The White House press corps has generally agreed to grant Barron Trump the same privacy.”

Biden Leads Democrats In Virginia

February 28, 2020 at 10:14 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Wason Center poll in Virginia finds Joe Biden leading the Democratic field with 22%, followed by Bernie Sanders at 17%, Mike Bloomberg at 13%, Pete Buttigieg at 8%, Elizabeth Warren at 8% and Amy Klobuchar at 5%.

Asked if they will support the party’s eventual nominee, 82% of Democratic primary voters say yes, and 67% say “definitely.”

Of the 18% who are uncertain or who say they definitely won’t, two-thirds fear the nominee will be “too liberal” and about one-fifth fear the nominee will be “too moderate.”

Biden Finally Admits He Wasn’t Arrested

February 28, 2020 at 10:07 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Joe Biden admitted he wasn’t arrested years ago trying to see Nelson Mandela in South Africa, telling CNN: “I said arrested. I meant I was not able to move… I guess I wasn’t arrested. I was stopped. I wasn’t able to go where I wanted to go.”

Mulvaney Admits Coronavirus May Cause Disruptions

February 28, 2020 at 9:29 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney acknowledged that the coronavirus is likely to cause disruptions to everyday life, such as school closures and changes to public transportation, Bloomberg reports.

Said Mulvaney: “Are you going to see some schools shut down? Probably. Maybe see impacts on public transportation? Sure, but we do this. We know how to handle this.”

He added: “Really what I’d like to do today to calm the markets is tell people to turn their televisions off for 24 hours.”

Mulvaney also claimed that the media is only covering the virus because they believe doing so will “take down the president.”

Coronavirus Could Cost Trump the Election

February 28, 2020 at 9:11 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Goldman Sachs report is warning Wall Street that the coronavirus outbreak could cost President Trump the election in November, CNN reports.

From the report: “If the coronavirus epidemic materially affects US economic growth it may increase the likelihood of Democratic victory in the 2020 election.”

Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi said he now sees a 40% chance of a US recession during the first half of 2020, up from 20% previously.

Debate Watchers Give Sanders Best Chance Against Trump

February 28, 2020 at 8:13 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new ABC News/Ipsos poll of finds Bernie Sanders is considered the strongest contender among an engaged Democratic base of debate watchers to take on President Trump in November.

Odds of Contested Convention Grow

February 28, 2020 at 8:10 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

As of this morning, the FiveThirtyEight forecast shows a 51% chance that no one will win a majority of delegates before the Democratic convention.

That outcome would result in the first contested convention since 1952.

Another Poll Shows Biden Ahead In South Carolina

February 28, 2020 at 8:06 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Data for Progress poll in South Carolina finds Joe Biden leading the Democratic primary race with 34%, followed by Bernie Sanders at 25%, Tom Steyer at 13%, Pete Buttigieg at 13%, Elizabeth Warren at 7% and Amy Klobuchar at 5%.

FiveThirtyEight: Biden surges in South Carolina.

Sanders Leads In Massachusetts

February 28, 2020 at 8:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new WBUR/MassInc poll in Massachusetts finds Bernie Sanders leading the Democratic primary race with 25%, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 17%, Pete Buttigieg at 14%, Mike Bloomberg at 13%, Joe Biden at 9% and Amy Klobuchar at 6%.

A new UMass Amherst poll finds Sanders ahead with 25%, followed by Warren at 23%, Buttigieg at 14%, Biden at 12%, Bloomberg at 9% and Klobuchar at 7%.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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