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A Very Swampy Spending Bill

December 17, 2019 at 6:37 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “The House is going to vote on a bill today to keep government funded through September 2020, and change a host of unrelated policies. The bill came out Monday. It will get a vote tonight. The number of issues handled in this bill is stunning. It contains major changes in health care policy, extends flood insurance, reauthorizes the Export-Import Bank for seven years, extends the terrorism insurance program and reauthorizes money to rebuild the Kennedy Center, and so much more.”

“And guess what: Late Monday night the House decided to pair a massive package of tax extenders with this bill.”

“Let’s put it this way: If you are a company or an entity with a legislative priority, and you couldn’t get it in this year-end package, call your lobbyist for a chat. Or better yet, look for a new one.”

The Wall Street Journal has more on what’s in the bill.

How Republicans Got a Democrat to Switch Parties

December 17, 2019 at 6:33 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), a key Trump ally, told the freshman from New Jersey that Trump would like to see him become a Republican,” Politico reports.

“Behind the scenes, former New Jersey GOP Gov. Chris Christie spoke to Van Drew about switching parties, said GOP sources. Kellyanne Conway, a top White House adviser who hails from that district, also sought a meeting with the congressman on an unrelated issue, which Van Drew’s aides suspected was a pretense for her to lobby him to switch parties. The meeting never happened, but it was clear the White House was upping the pressure on Van Drew.”

Trump Will Spend Two Weeks at Mar-a-Lago

December 17, 2019 at 6:20 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Palm Beach Post: “The president … is expected to spend at least two weeks at Mar-a-Lago with his family for the holidays. Trump made the announcement in a tweet on Dec. 12 in which he also referred to his private club as ‘The Southern White House.’

“The White House has not confirmed the dates of Trump’s trip. He is traveling to Battle Creek, Michigan, on Wednesday – the day the House is scheduled to vote on his impeachment. On Thursday, Democrats have a tentative plan to vote on the trade deal President Trump negotiated with Mexico and Canada to replace NAFTA – leaving Friday open for possible travel to Palm Beach. A Federal Aviation Advisory issued Monday suggests the president will arrive that day.”

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Historians Call for Trump’s Impeachment

December 16, 2019 at 11:42 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A group of more than 700 historians, legal scholars and others published an open letter Monday urging the House of Representatives to impeach President Trump, denouncing his conduct as ‘a clear and present danger to the Constitution,'” the Washington Post reports.

Trump Leads All Democratic Rivals In New Poll

December 16, 2019 at 10:36 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new USA Today/Suffolk poll finds President Trump leading Joe Biden nationally by 3 percentage points, Bernie Sanders by 5 points, Elizabeth Warren by 8 points.

In other contests, Trump also led Pete Buttigieg by 10 points and Michael Bloomberg by 9 points.

Mueller Prosecutor Says Trump Committed Crimes

December 16, 2019 at 10:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Andrew Weissmann, one of former special counsel Robert Mueller‘s top lieutenants, writes for Just Security that President Trump has committed several federal crimes while in office.

“We are surely to learn more about the criminality underlying the impeachment inquiry. And whether or not you believe the current evidence meets the beyond a reasonable doubt standard, because it is clear what the President was up to, that new evidence is sure to be damning. Why else would the President be stonewalling its release? When that new evidence comes to light, Senators who have resisted impeachment now on the ground of lack of evidence may seek to cling to that legal argument, but will look darn foolish in the annals of history, when the documents prove up what we all already know to be true.”

Support for Impeachment Dips

December 16, 2019 at 8:15 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new CNN poll finds support for impeaching President Trump and removing him from office stands at 45% in the new poll, down from 50% in a poll conducted in mid-November.

Opposition to impeachment and removal stands at 47% in the new poll, up from 43% in November.

An Impeachment Alternative

December 16, 2019 at 8:13 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “If the process plays out as everyone believes it will, impeachment will end with an acquittal in the Senate, and the House’s efforts to protect the integrity of the 2020 election will have proved counterproductive: President Trump, claiming a ‘full exoneration,’ could be emboldened to engage in misconduct similar to or even worse than his interactions with Ukraine.”

“But there is a way out of this mess that would let the House impeach him—while allowing the Senate to only censure Trump, rather than having to vote to convict or acquit him. The House could express its disapproval of Trump through an impeachment vote, and the Senate, through censure rather than a trial, could embrace, even enhance, the House’s message. Yes, Trump would stay in office. But because both chambers of Congress would be on the record in officially condemning his conduct, there is a decent chance this approach might deter Trump from similar elections abuse.”

It Was All a Lie

December 16, 2019 at 6:09 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A must-read out next year: It Was All a Lie: How the Republican Party Became Donald Trump by Stuart Stevens.

“Stuart Stevens spent decades electing Republicans at every level, from presidents to senators to local officials. He knows the GOP as intimately as anyone in America, and in this new book he offers a devastating portrait of a party that has lost its moral and political compass.”

It Was All a Lie: How the Republican Party Became Donald Trump
It Was All a Lie: How the Republican Party Became Donald Trump
  • Amazon Kindle Edition
  • Stevens, Stuart (Author)
  • English (Publication Language)
  • 229 Pages - 08/04/2020 (Publication Date) - Vintage (Publisher)
Check Price on Amazon

The Path to the White House

December 16, 2019 at 5:58 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Louis Jacobson: “Not a single primary or caucus vote has been cast yet, but it’s never too early to take a look at the shape of the 2020 general election for president.”

“Below is a baseline assessment of the states’ likely preferences for November 2020, at least as they appear right now. The ratings are based on reporting with political observers in the states and a look at historical and demographic data.”

His ratings are nearly identical to my interactive Electoral Vote Map, which shows just five states as Toss Ups.

Beshear Reverses Bevin’s Plan to Overhaul Medicaid

December 16, 2019 at 5:39 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Gov. Andy Beshear (D) ended former Gov. Matt Bevin’s (R) quest to scale back Kentucky’s Medicaid program by requiring ‘able-bodied’ adults to report work hours and other changes critics said would cost up to 100,000 Kentuckians their health coverage,” the Louisville Courier Journal reports.

“By revoking Bevin’s plan, Beshear, fulfilled the last of three actions he pledged to take during his his first week in office to reverse actions of his Republican predecessor — reorganizing the state Education Board, restoring voting rights to some ex-offenders and abolishing the Medicaid plan Bevin rolled out in 2016.”

DNC Tries to Save This Week’s Debate

December 16, 2019 at 4:56 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

DNC chairman Tom Perez spent over 20 hours on the phone this weekend trying to save Thursday’s debate from crumbling, Axios reports, after a labor dispute prompted the presidential candidates to threaten a boycott.

“The DNC already switched the venue once because of another labor dispute, and it would be nearly impossible to find a new location now. But internally, Democrats are hopeful a deal will be made today or tomorrow — and some DNC staffers are already heading to Los Angeles this afternoon.”

Trump Told the ‘Lie of the Year’

December 16, 2019 at 4:11 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

PolitiFact announced that President Trump’s claim that the Ukraine whistleblower was “almost completely wrong” is the “Lie of the Year.”

Ridge Says Trump Abused His Power

December 16, 2019 at 4:05 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Ridge (R) told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette that there’s little doubt President Trump abused his power when he asked Ukraine to investigate his rivals, including Joe Biden.

Said Ridge: “I am disappointed and troubled by the very fact that my president – and he is my president – would ask a foreign leader of a troubled country who’s been besieged by an enemy of the United States, to do him a political favor. As far as I’m concerned, it is abuse of power.”

How Amy Klobuchar Could Win

December 16, 2019 at 4:03 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Walter Shapiro sees a path to the Democratic presidential nomination for Sen. Amy Klobuchar.

“As a political reporter, there is always a danger in straying too far from the herd. Even eight decades later, I feel for those reporters who, in 1936, seriously believed that Alf Landon had a chance against Franklin Roosevelt right up until the moment when he won just eight electoral votes. So I don’t want to go too far in hyping Klobuchar’s odds of ending up close to the top in Iowa. But with breaks, momentum, and continued strong debate performances, she could finish ahead of Biden in the caucuses.”

Democrats Reclaim the Constitution

December 16, 2019 at 4:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Alexander Heffner: “The Trump impeachment is spotlighting the Founders’ fears of foreign influence on US security and leaders, and turning liberals into originalists.”

Sanders Asks Young Backers to Convince Parents

December 16, 2019 at 3:29 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Bernie Sanders is struggling to gain traction with Democratic voters over age 50, so his campaign is coaching thousands of young supporters on how to talk to their parents and grandparents during the holidays,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Ivanka Trump Took Questions from Her Own Aide

December 16, 2019 at 3:27 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

BuzzFeed News: “The announcement that Ivanka Trump would speak at the Doha Forum in Qatar prompted a wave of speculation from the foreign policy community about what the US President’s daughter might be doing in the Gulf state… But while her mere presence sent a political signal, what actually happened was far stranger.”

“In a room packed with high level officials from around the world, Trump answered admiring questions about her pet project advocating for women’s economic development from a spokesperson for her own government, who is also working on the project.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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