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Does Warren Have Room to Grow?

October 2, 2019 at 9:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Cohn: “Elizabeth Warren is gaining. She has breached 20 percent of the vote in recent national surveys and might hold a narrow lead in Iowa and New Hampshire. The prediction markets now consider her a clear favorite to win the nomination. It can be hard to see how her Democratic rivals will attack or stop her.”

“But the challenge facing Ms. Warren, if past primaries are any indication, isn’t those rivals. It is whether she will hit a wall: the rank and file of the Democratic primary electorate.”

Odds of Republicans Deserting Trump Are Underrated

October 2, 2019 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Janan Ganesh: “Since the Ukraine scandal emerged, it has been natural to assume total Republican commitment to Mr Trump. Such is the tribalism of a riven nation.”

“There is another scenario, though, and it does not stop at one or two Republicans peeling away. Instead, to save itself, the GOP establishment might desert Mr Trump as swiftly and unexpectedly as it bent the knee to him in 2016. Whether this manifests as the Senate supermajority needed for his ousting is still hugely doubtful. But there are other kinds of defiance: a staff exodus from the White House, senatorial refusals to defend him, the turning of implicated parties on one another.”

“Skeptics will say this requires the party to wake up from its cringing passivity. But it has been doing that, in fits and starts, for a while now.”

Pompeo Pushed Out Ukraine Envoy to Squash Scandal

October 2, 2019 at 8:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Daily Beast: “When Rudy Giuliani appeared on cable news programs last week, he hammered home one talking point over and over again: The State Department knew he was trying to dig up dirt on Joe Biden and his son Hunter.”

“Giuliani’s on-air appearances threw the department into a tizzy, forcing Mike Pompeo to try to put a lid on the crisis of confidence bubbling up under him. For Pompeo, solving the problem meant finding someone to blame—and there was only one individual who fit the mold: former U.S. representative for Ukraine negotiations Kurt Volker.”

“Several U.S. officials told The Daily Beast the former Ukraine negotiator said openly that he was not ready to leave his position… Volker is set to go to Capitol Hill on Thursday with the backing of a cadre of current and former diplomats.”


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Trump Stands By Giuliani

October 2, 2019 at 8:22 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Associated Press: “Trump has long measured allies’ loyalty by their willingness to fight for him on TV, and he complained bitterly this week that few had done so. And those who did, including House GOP leader Kevin McCarthy on CBS’ 60 Minutes, he believed had flubbed their appearance.”

“Though there has been growing discontent with Giuliani in the West Wing and State Department, where some officials blame him for leading Trump into the Ukraine mess, the president continued to stand by his personal lawyer.”

Wall Street Journal: “‘The only person that likes Rudy on TV right now is Trump,’ said another person close to the president, adding that Mr. Trump ‘likes people who get on TV and fight for him.’”

Pompeo Admits He Was on Call with Ukraine President

October 2, 2019 at 8:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo admitted Wednesday that he was on the July 25 phone call in which President Trump asked Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to investigate Joe Biden, CNN reports.

Said Pompeo: “I was on the phone call.”

Pompeo had previously been coy about his role in the call, giving an evasive answer to ABC News when asked directly about the call last week.

GOP Changes Rules to Prevent Discord at Convention

October 2, 2019 at 7:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s political advisers have concluded a monthslong effort to tighten the rules for choosing delegates to the Republican National Convention, all but ensuring there are no dissenting speeches at the gathering of party officials in Charlotte next year,” the New York Times reports.

“In 37 states and territories, there have been changes to the rules that will all but stamp out the possibility of any raucous divide on the convention floor. Those kinds of schisms have plagued party conventions in years when a Republican incumbent went on to lose his re-election bid, Republican officials said. Mr. Trump himself confronted an effort to strip him of delegates in 2016.”

Trump Asked Boris Johnson to Help Discredit Mueller

October 2, 2019 at 7:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump personally contacted Boris Johnson to ask for help as he tried to discredit the Mueller investigation into possible connections between Russia and his 2016 election campaign, the Times of London reports.

Whistleblower to Testify Next Week

October 2, 2019 at 7:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “The whistleblower is expected to testify before the House Intelligence Committee as soon as early next week, though his attorneys and the committee continue to negotiate logistics, including a time and place.”

House Investigating Trump Hotel Bribery Scheme

October 2, 2019 at 7:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “House investigators are looking into an allegation that groups — including at least one foreign government — tried to ingratiate themselves to President Donald Trump by booking rooms at his hotels but never staying in them.”

Said Rep. Gerry Connolly (D-VA): “Now we’re looking at near raw bribery. That was the risk from day one — foreign governments and others trying to seek favor because we know Trump pays attention to this…. It’s an obvious attempt to curry favor with him.”

What Republicans Privately Say About Impeachment

October 2, 2019 at 7:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A “very seasoned and well-known GOP operative” emails Playbook:

“GOP lawmakers and operatives are concerned at what appears to be a lack of urgency from the Trump administration in forming an organized, unified response engine to the Democratic impeachment threat. There is either a failure to fully appreciate the gravity of the situation; or an inability to protect the president like they did his Supreme Court nominees with a centralized war room that has credibility with stakeholders across the party.”

“Nobody wants to look like Kevin McCarthy did on ‘60 Minutes’ and right now they’ll duck and cover until they’re on firmer footing. The Trump administration has blazed their own communications path up to this point, but there is deep skepticism that the late-night Fox lineup will have any credibility with rank-and-file Republicans that are necessary to prosecute this argument against House Democrats.”

Quote of the Day

October 2, 2019 at 6:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“You know, if it wasn’t for your show, Sean, they would destroy him absolutely. You are the difference between Donald J. Trump and Richard Nixon.”

— Geraldo Rivera, speaking to Sean Hannity.

North Korea Fires More Missiles

October 2, 2019 at 6:42 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Associated Press: “North Korea fired a ballistic missile from the sea on Wednesday, South Korea’s military said, a suggestion that it may have tested an underwater-launched missile for the first time in three years ahead of a resumption of nuclear talks with the United States this weekend.”

House Chairmen Say Pompeo Has Conflict of Interest

October 1, 2019 at 11:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Three House committee chairmen sent a letter addressed to Deputy Secretary of State John Sullivan on the grounds that the Secretary of State Mike Pompeo “now appears to have an obvious conflict of interest,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Pompeo’s participation in the call between President Trump and the Ukrainian president, the lawmakers wrote, renders him a witness in the congressional impeachment inquiry, and as a result, “he should not be making any decisions regarding witness testimony or document production in order to protect himself or the president.”

Perdue Suggests Small Farms Can’t Survive

October 1, 2019 at 10:32 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue said during a stop in Wisconsin that he doesn’t know if the family dairy farm can survive as the industry moves toward a factory farm model, the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.

Said Perdue: “In America, the big get bigger and the small go out. I don’t think in America we, for any small business, we have a guaranteed income or guaranteed profitability.”

‘Acquiescence Is Central to Survival’

October 1, 2019 at 10:09 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “In Trump’s Washington, many administration officials have calculated that if they do not enthusiastically wade into Trump’s riptide of grievances and personal pursuits, they risk being ridiculed or sidelined by the president…”

“The implicit day-to-day charge for many Trump advisers is simple, according to aides and other officials familiar with the president’s Cabinet and West Wing staff: Figure out how to handle or even polish Trump’s whims and statements, but do not have any illusion that you can temper his relentless personality, heavy consumption of cable news or thirst for political combat.”

“Acquiescence is central to survival. Trump has bonded with aides who take his running complaints about the “deep state” and “fake news” seriously, along with his embrace of people and positions outside of the mainstream. The leading members of Trump’s inner circle dutifully work to address his concerns, sometimes by directing federal resources.”

Trump Says He’s Becoming Victim of a Coup

October 1, 2019 at 8:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump escalated his criticism of the Democrats’ impeachment inquiry, tweeting the process resembled a “coup.”

Said Trump: “As I learn more and more each day, I am coming to the conclusion that what is taking place is not an impeachment, it is a COUP.”

Just 40% of Republicans Think Trump Mentioned Biden

October 1, 2019 at 8:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll finds that only 40% of Republicans believe President Trump talked to the Ukrainian president about investigating political rival Joe Biden — even though Trump has acknowledged doing so.

That compares with 85% of Democrats and 61% of independents surveyed who said Trump “probably did” mention the possibility of an investigation into the Biden family during a July phone call with Volodymyr Zelensky.

Homeland Security Chief Frustrated and Isolated

October 1, 2019 at 7:50 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Nearly six months after taking over the Department of Homeland Security as acting secretary, Kevin McAleenan has guided the United States out of a crisis at the southern border, but he also says he has lost command of the public messaging from his department and lacks some of the authority he was promised when he took the job,” the Washington Post reports.

“Increasingly isolated within the administration and overshadowed by others who are more effusive in their praise for President Trump, McAleenan said he retains ‘operational’ control of DHS… But he acknowledged that he is losing the battle to keep DHS, which he views as a neutral law enforcement agency, from being used as a powerful tool for a partisan immigration agenda.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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