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Inside Warren’s Early-State Sleeper Campaign

August 10, 2019 at 7:46 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NBC News: “It’s a bit unusual for a presidential campaign’s staff to invest time in events that aren’t directly related to the candidate’s election. But for Warren’s team, it’s all part of the plan: A small army of her organizers has deployed to early-voting states and embedded into local communities.

Said one prominent Nevada Democrat: “She is generating buzz because her campaign shows up everywhere. Every time there’s a community event, there is Warren representation there.”

“By pitching in locally, Warren’s organizers hope to demonstrate at a personal level that they are investing in the concerns of the same voters — and potential volunteers — whose support they are courting for the Massachusetts Democrat at the federal level. It’s just one part of a political organizing operation designed to match Warren’s message of igniting a movement, voter by voter, that creates ‘big, structural change’ in the country.”

Trump Shares Epstein Conspiracy Theory

August 10, 2019 at 7:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump retweeted a conspiracy theory on Saturday evening alleging without evidence that former President Bill Clinton was connected to the death of wealthy financier and accused sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein, hours after Epstein was found dead by apparent suicide in his federal prison cell,” NBC News reports.

Biden Says He Was Veep During Parkland Shootings

August 10, 2019 at 7:14 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Joe Biden said he was vice president when the deadly high school shooting in Parkland, Florida, took place. Except, it happened in 2018, more than a year after he left office — the latest gaffe by the Democratic presidential front-runner,” Bloomberg reports.

“Biden told reporters in Iowa on Saturday that ‘those kids in Parkland came up to see me when I was vice president.’ But when they visited Capitol Hill to talk with members of Congress, lawmakers were ‘basically cowering, not wanting to see them. They did not want to face it on camera.'”


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Trump Wants Israel to Ban Two Lawmakers

August 10, 2019 at 7:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump has told advisers he thinks Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu should use Israel’s anti-boycott law to bar Reps. Ilhan Omar (D-MN) and Rashida Tlaib (D-MI) from entering Israel,” Axios reports.

“Trump’s private views have reached the top level of the Israeli government. But Trump denies, through White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham, ever giving any kind of directive to the Israelis.”

Democrats Descend on Iowa

August 10, 2019 at 7:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“As Democrats descend on Iowa to kick off a six-month sprint to the first primary vote, party activists are increasingly anxious that former vice president Joe Biden, the consistent polling leader, has not disposed of persistent questions about whether he is well-equipped to take on President Trump,” the Washington Post reports.

“Adding to the Democrats’ nervousness is that a clear alternative has yet to emerge. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (Mass.) is rising in the polls and has a high-quality campaign organization, but doubts linger in some quarters about the appeal of her left-leaning policies in a general election. Sens. Kamala D. Harris (Calif.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) are struggling to maintain momentum, while pressure is growing from frustrated voters for many of the weaker candidates to drop out.”

‘The Hunt’ Is Canceled By Studio

August 10, 2019 at 6:55 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Universal Pictures has canceled the release of its upcoming thriller “The Hunt,” Variety reports.

The film was previously set to hit theaters Sept. 27.

“Previously, Universal put a temporary halt on marketing for the film following a series of mass shootings. In the film’s few marketing materials that did air, stars such as Betty Gilpin and Ike Barinholtz could be seen brandishing assault rifles and pistols while taking on a group of would-be hunters.”

The 2020 Electoral Vote Map

August 10, 2019 at 8:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Just a reminder to check out my new interactive Electoral Vote Map.

Thanks in advance for sharing it on social media or linking to it from your own website.

Why Texas May Turn Blue

August 9, 2019 at 3:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Harry Enten: “I was once a skeptic on Texas turning blue, but I’ve changed my tune because Trump is a uniquely unpopular Republican in Texas who seems to be the driver of an important development: Like other Americans, Texans with a college degree are shifting rapidly from red to blue, and Democrats have a lot of room to grow with them in Texas.”

“This doesn’t mean the state will go Democratic in 2020 (Democrats not named Joe Biden currently are losing to Trump in the Lone Star state in high quality polling), but it is a real possibility.”

Trump Claims Support for Stronger Background Checks

August 9, 2019 at 11:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump on Friday claimed strong congressional support for strengthening background checks for gun buyers, offering an optimistic assessment for passing new legislation that was at odds with public statements from Senate Republicans,” the Washington Post reports.

Said Trump: “I think we can do very meaningful background checks. I think Republicans are going to be great and lead the charge along with the Democrats.”

Has Anything Really Changed In the Presidential Race?

August 9, 2019 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Bernstein: “On the surface, the main development was a slump for Kamala Harris, who has now dropped back to fourth place in the polls. But I’ll stick with what I said going in: Harris, Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg and Elizabeth Warren didn’t really have much at stake in this round of debates. None of them had much to gain or lose from a modest shift in the polls. They’ll all be around for months, and will probably compete seriously in Iowa. And if Harris had to have a bad debate, this was probably the time to do it; she can learn from the experience and do better when more voters are paying attention.”

“The candidates with the most at stake were those who were in grave danger of failing to qualify for the September debates but might have still have had a realistic chance if they did well. None of them came close to doing what they needed to do. Michael Bennet, Steve Bullock, Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Jay Inslee? None of them is any closer to qualifying, and that may mean the end of the road for them.”

Ignoring Trump’s Racism Betrays Our Country’s Victims

August 9, 2019 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Michael Gerson: “Racism is the fire that left our country horribly disfigured. It is the beast we try to keep locked in the basement. When the president of the United States plays with that fire or takes that beast out for a walk, it is not just another political event, not just a normal day in campaign 2020. It is a cause for shame.”

“It is the violation of martyrs’ graves. It is obscene graffiti on the Lincoln Memorial… And all of this is being done by an ignorant and arrogant narcissist reviving racist tropes for political gain, indifferent to the wreckage he is leaving, the wounds he is ripping open.”

A Book Recommendation

August 9, 2019 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

If you’re looking for some summer reading, American Carnage: On the Front Lines of the Republican Civil War and the Rise of President Trump by Tim Alberta is outstanding.

In fact, it’s the best overview on what has happened to the Republican party over the last decade. Highly recommended.

American Carnage: On the Front Lines of the Republican Civil War and the Rise of President Trump
American Carnage: On the Front Lines of the Republican Civil War and the Rise of President Trump
  • Amazon Kindle Edition
  • Alberta, Tim (Author)
  • English (Publication Language)
  • 687 Pages - 07/16/2019 (Publication Date) - Harper (Publisher)
Check Price on Amazon

Trump Heads Out on Vacation

August 9, 2019 at 8:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Associated Press: “As Donald Trump prepares to leave Friday for his annual August holiday at his lush New Jersey golf club, he’s confronting a storm of crises, at home and abroad, that could set the course for his upcoming re-election bid.”

“The dark clouds are converging as the president’s bid for a second term takes on new urgency. Trump exudes confidence but as the two dozen Democrats eager to take his job sharpen their attacks, the White House — or, for the next 10 days, the clubhouse in Bedminster, New Jersey — will have to mount a multifront effort rooted in maintaining his base rather than trying to expand it.”

Entire Gun Debate Hinges On Trump

August 9, 2019 at 8:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “Put this all together, and you’ll come to one conclusion: This entire debate — what happens, what doesn’t happen and what might happen — comes down to Trump. So, when he makes up his mind, makes it public and leans into it, that is what really matters. Until then, it’s all just noise. This is not one of these issues where Congress is going to act without the president. Many, many Republicans are going to take their cues on this from POTUS.”

New York Times: “Mr. Trump talked up the idea of a signing ceremony in the Rose Garden and insisted that he believed it would be successful, according to those briefed on the call. Mr. LaPierre made clear that his members — many of whom back Mr. Trump — would not favor such a move.”

Man Who Threw Teen to Ground Blames Trump

August 9, 2019 at 8:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The attorney for a Montana man accused of throwing a 13-year-old boy to the ground at a rodeo because the teenager didn’t remove his hat during the national anthem said his client believes he was acting on an order from President Trump,” CBS News reports.

Is Elizabeth Warren Electable?

August 9, 2019 at 7:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Aaron Blake: “A new poll from Stanley Greenberg of left-leaning Democracy Corps provides some more encouraging signs for Warren. It tested both her and Biden against Trump, seeking to find out how the leading candidates from the party’s two flanks might compare in a 2020 general election. The answer is: pretty similarly.”

While Biden leads by eight points (49-41) in a race that includes Rep. Justin Amash (I-Mich.) as the Libertarian nominee, Warren leads by six (49-43). What’s more, Greenberg finds that, while Biden does better among independents (+10 vs. Warren’s +5), Warren consolidates Democrats better (getting 90 percent of their support vs. Biden’s 86 percent). And while Biden gets 21 percent of Republican moderates, Warren gets a respectable 15 percent.”

“Perhaps most importantly for Warren, she actually does just as well as Biden among working-class white voters. Both trail by 19 points with a group Trump won by 27 points in 2016 — a margin he’ll probably need to match in 2020.”

GOP Will Try to Divert Health, Education Funds for Wall

August 9, 2019 at 6:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Senate Republicans are looking to pay for President Trump’s border wall in part by putting about $5 billion less in the largest domestic spending bill,” Roll Call reports.

“That move signals a likely fight over wall funding, as well as over Trump’s ability to reprogram or transfer funds to the border, when the fiscal 2020 appropriations process resumes after Congress returns in September.”

McConnell Willing to Consider Background Checks

August 8, 2019 at 6:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Under intense pressure to take action on gun safety in the wake of two weekend massacres, Senator Mitch McConnell, the majority leader, expressed a new willingness Thursday to consider a measure expanding background checks for all gun purchasers, saying it will be ‘front and center’ in a coming Senate debate on how to respond to gun violence,” the New York Times reports.

“Mr. McConnell, who has strongly opposed background checks in the past, made his remarks in an interview with a Kentucky radio host, Terry Meiners of WHAS in Louisville. While he did not support a bill requiring background checks, his remarks appeared to underscore the possibility of a shift in the politics of Washington’s divisive gun debate.”

Earlier for members: A Tipping Point for Gun Control

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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