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The Fate of the News in the Age of the Coronavirus

April 2, 2020 at 11:14 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New Yorker: “Over the coming weeks and months, as the COVID-19 pandemic continues on its destructive path, it will alter the fabric of the country. Already, the disease has exposed the fragility of the American health-care system, highlighting its weak points, showing us where it is easily overwhelmed. It will do the same for other systems, including the media ecosystem. The question at this point is how much of it can survive, and how it might be rebuilt.”

It’s just another good reason to support your favorite news sites. Become a Political Wire member for just $5 a month or $50 a year.

Team of Five

April 2, 2020 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Coming soon: Team of Five: The Presidents Club in the Age of Trump by Kate Andersen Brower.

“Team of Five takes us inside the exclusive world of these powerful men and their families, including the unlikely friendship between George W. Bush and Michelle Obama, the last private visits Bill Clinton and Barack Obama shared with George H.W. Bush, and the Obamas’ flight to Palm Springs after Donald Trump’s inauguration. Perhaps most timely, this insightful, illuminating book overflows with anecdotes about how the ex-presidents are working to combat President Trump’s attempts to undo the achievements and hard work accomplished during their own terms.”

Team of Five: The Presidents Club in the Age of Trump
Team of Five: The Presidents Club in the Age of Trump
Check Price on Amazon

Army Warned Two Months Ago Deaths Could Reach 150K

April 2, 2020 at 10:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Daily Beast: “An unclassified briefing document on the novel coronavirus prepared on Feb. 3 by U.S. Army-North projected that ‘between 80,000 and 150,000 could die.’ It framed the projection as a ‘Black Swan’ analysis, meaning an outlier event of extreme consequence but often understood as an unlikely one.”

“In other words, the Army’s projections on Feb. 3 for the worst-case scenario in the coronavirus outbreak are, as of this week, the absolute best-case scenario–if not a miraculous one.”

GOP Official Says Easier Voting Would Be ‘Devastating’

April 2, 2020 at 10:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Georgia House Speaker David Ralston (R) told Fetch Your News that efforts to make it easier to vote by mail in the state amid the coronavirus pandemic would harm Republicans.

Said Ralston: “The president said it best. This will be extremely devastating to Republicans and conservatives in Georgia.”

Gun Sales Spiked as Virus Fears Grew

April 2, 2020 at 10:38 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Around two million guns were bought in the U.S. last month, the New York Times reports.

“The surge in gun sales as coronavirus spreads across the country is second highest on record, after January 2013, the month when President Obama began his second term in office and the Sandy Hook School shooting raised calls for increased gun legislation.”

Trump Blames New York for ‘Late Start’

April 2, 2020 at 9:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump took to Twitter to slam Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) for “complaining” about the federal response to the coronavirus pandemic.

Said Trump: “New York has gotten far more than any other State, including hospitals & a hospital ship, but no matter what, always complaining… The complainers should have been stocked up and ready long before this crisis hit. Other states are thrilled with the job we have done.”

He continued: “It wouldn’t matter if you got ten times what was needed, it would never be good enough. Unlike other states, New York unfortunately got off to a late start. You should have pushed harder. Stop complaining and find out where all of these supplies are going.”

But he also added: “Cuomo working hard!”

We Could Be Headed for a Depression

April 2, 2020 at 9:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Robert Samuelson: “When I began writing about economics in the early 1970s, I made a private vow that I would never use the word ‘depression’ in describing the state of the economy. The economists and politicians who occasionally did so were, I thought, engaged in partisan hyperbole. Their game was to scare people into thinking the end of the world was at hand or to pressure Congress to enact a favored piece of economic legislation.”

“Well, times change. I revoke my vow.”

“It’s not that I’ve concluded that we’re already in a depression. But we could be. For the first time in my life, I think it’s conceivable. This obviously would be a big deal. It implies permanently higher levels of unemployment (though joblessness would still fluctuate), greater economic instability and a collision between democracy and the economic system.”

Georgia Governor Didn’t Know How Coronavirus Spread

April 2, 2020 at 9:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp (R) “said he is preparing a statewide shelter-in-place order across Georgia to try to curb the spread of the coronavirus, a turnabout after weeks of balking at taking more drastic steps to combat the pandemic,” the Atlanta Journal Constitution reports.

Said Kemp: “Those individuals could have been infecting people before they ever felt symptoms. We didn’t know that until the last 24 hours.”

However, health officials have long known that the virus could be transmitted this way.

Top Israeli Officials All In Quarantine

April 2, 2020 at 9:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“As coronavirus continues to spread in Israel, more and more key members of the government have had to go into isolation, whether due to contracting the illness or coming into contact with someone who did,” the Jerusalem Post reports.

“Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu went into self-quarantine on Thursday, because of contact with Health Minister Ya’acov Litzman, who tested positive for COVID-19. Mossad Chief Yossi Cohen and National Security Advsier Meir Ben-Shabbat must go into isolation for the same reason.”

The Electoral Map Gets Smaller

April 2, 2020 at 9:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball shows only four states as Toss Ups in the presidential election: Arizona, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

“While the public health crisis has complicated the president’s path to a second term, we think it’s premature to make dramatic changes to our assessment of the presidential election. We’ve long thought the president’s chances of reelection have been around 50-50. In light of recent developments, it may be that the president’s odds are a little bit lower now, but we don’t think the data suggest going further than that at this time.”

Our consensus map of the top forecast still has five Toss Ups, adding Florida to the mix.

Mark Kelly Now Favored In Arizona Senate Race

April 2, 2020 at 9:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball moves moving the special Senate election in Arizona from Toss-up to Leans Democratic.

Mark Kelly (D) has consistently led appointed Sen. Martha McSally (R-AZ) in polling, and not just by a little: four surveys in March showed Kelly up anywhere from five to 12 points, a better margin than Biden enjoys in the state (he has led Trump there in polling, but by smaller margins).

Why the Global Recession Could Last a Long Time

April 2, 2020 at 9:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The world is almost certainly ensnared in a devastating recession delivered by the coronavirus pandemic,” the New York Times reports.

“Now, fears are growing that the downturn could be far more punishing and long lasting than initially feared — potentially enduring into next year, and even beyond — as governments intensify restrictions on business to halt the spread of the pandemic, and as fear of the virus reconfigures the very concept of public space, impeding consumer-led economic growth.”

“The pandemic is above all a public health emergency. So long as human interaction remains dangerous, business cannot responsibly return to normal. And what was normal before may not be anymore. People may be less inclined to jam into crowded restaurants and concert halls even after the virus is contained.”

6.6 Million Filed for Unemployment Last Week

April 2, 2020 at 8:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A record 6.6 million Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, marking a drastic downshift in the U.S. labor market caused by the coronavirus pandemic, CNBC reports.

Bloomberg: “The figure topped all analyst estimates and compared with a median projection of 3.76 million.”

New York Times: “The speed and scale of the job losses is without precedent. Until last month, the worst week for unemployment filings was 695,000 in 1982.”

Italy’s Coronavirus Death Toll Far Higher Than Reported

April 2, 2020 at 8:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“In the areas worst hit by the pandemic, Italy is undercounting thousands of deaths caused by the virus, a Wall Street Journal analysis shows, indicating that the pandemic’s human toll may end up being much greater, and infections far more widespread, than official data indicate.”

“Italy’s hidden death toll shows what could lie in store for the worst-hit areas of the U.S., Europe and many other countries in the weeks ahead if the coronavirus is not tamed fast. The burden that the pandemic puts on health-care systems can cause so many deaths that it is hard to gauge the full human cost.”

Biden Floats Moving Convention to August

April 2, 2020 at 8:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Joe Biden told the Tonight Show that he expects Democrats to push the convention back at least a month as health officials battle the spread of coronavirus.

Said Biden: “I doubt whether the Democratic convention is going to be able to be held in mid July, early July. I think it’s gonna have to move into August.”

He added: “And then, even then, the Republican and Democratic conventions are going to have to… we just have to be prepared for the alternative.”

Where America Didn’t Stay Home as the Virus Spread

April 2, 2020 at 8:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “In areas where public officials have resisted or delayed stay-at-home orders, people changed their habits far less. Though travel distances in those places have fallen drastically, last week they were still typically more than three times those in areas that had imposed lockdown orders, the analysis shows.”

Los Angeles Mayor Recommends Wearing Masks

April 2, 2020 at 8:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti (D) called on his city’s residents to start covering their faces whenever they are out in public as part of an effort to combat the outbreak of the novel coronavirus.

The White House Gives Democrats an Opening

April 2, 2020 at 7:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “Six weeks ago, the issue set would have looked completely different than it does today. The economy is contracting, people are dying, and yet the president’s approval ratings have held steady. The campaign has been reduced to a single overarching topic: the coronavirus.”

“But, as sure as the sun rises, Democrats again believe they have a potent weapon to wield against President Trump and the White House: health care. Trump never was able to replace Obamacare, as he promised on the campaign trail; and the administration will not reopen the exchanges to help people get covered during this time of distress.”

This exchange at yesterday’s briefing shows the incredibly disjointed White House message on health care.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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