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Cohen Regularly Briefed Trump on Moscow Project

February 26, 2019 at 11:29 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Michael Cohen will tell Congress that President Trump repeatedly asked him about a skyscraper project in Moscow long after securing the Republican nomination, Reuters reports.

“Cohen’s assertion that Trump was inquiring about the project as late as June 2016, if true, would show Trump remained personally interested in a business venture in Russia well into his candidacy. Cohen, scheduled to report to prison in May, has already said he briefed Trump on the project in June 2016… In addition, Cohen will offer new information on Trump’s financial statements that ‘have never been produced before’ relating to how Trump represented the values of his assets in financial transactions and other matters.”

The Washington Post reviews other questions Cohen may be asked.

Theresa May Admits Brexit May Be Delayed

February 26, 2019 at 11:24 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “May told lawmakers that if Parliament next month rejects her Brexit deal again, the lawmakers will be given a vote on whether to ask the European Union to allow Britain to remain a part of the trading bloc for several more months. May said that if such an extension were triggered, it would likely be granted only once and that the time would be ‘short and limited.’ She suggested an extension until June would be possible, so as not to collide with upcoming elections for the European parliament.”

“This was a major concession by May, who has insisted that not only is her Brexit deal the best and only one on offer, but that it would be reckless to delay leaving the European Union beyond March 29. … Now May is offering compromise in a series of possible votes, each one based upon the results of the one before.”

Chicago Voters Pick a New Mayor

February 26, 2019 at 11:21 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

USA Today: “Under Chicago’s election rules, if no candidate wins more than 50 percent of the vote, the top two vote-getters will face off in an April 2 runoff.”

“No candidate is polling at more than 14 percent, according to a survey published Sunday by 270 Strategies. Six candidates were within the poll’s margin of error of 3.7 percent of finishing in the top two.”

“If the race is as close as polling suggests, it could take the Chicago Board of Election some time to sort out winners and losers.”


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U.S. Asked for Russia’s Advice Ahead of Summit

February 26, 2019 at 9:41 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov says the United States has asked Moscow’s advice in dealing with North Korea before a summit between President Trump and the North Korean leader, the AP reports.

“Lavrov, who is also visiting Vietnam this week, said in comments carried by Russian news agencies on Monday that Russia believes that the U.S. ought to offer Pyongyang ‘security guarantees’ for the disarmament deal to succeed. He also mentioned that ‘the U.S. is even asking our advice, our views on this or that scenario of’ how the summit in Hanoi could pan out.”

Congress Tests a Weak President

February 26, 2019 at 9:22 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

President Trump’s declaration of a national emergency to build a border wall was one major sign that he’s growing weaker politically. His increased lying is another.

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Why Democrats Are No Longer Afraid of Gun Control

February 26, 2019 at 8:58 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ron Brownstein: “The convergence of Democrats around the universal background check bill partly derives from the overwhelming public backing for the measure, which usually exceeds 80% support in polls. (The bill would close what’s called ‘the gun show loophole’ by including such venues, which are now exempt, in the requirement for background checks on all guns sold through licensed dealers.) But the Democratic consensus also reflects a larger shift in the party whose implications extend far beyond issues relating to guns.”

“Compared with the 1990s or even the early 2000s, House Democrats today are far less dependent on districts with large numbers of culturally conservative blue-collar and rural voters. Instead, the party’s new majority is centered on urban and suburban districts that are either racially diverse, well educated, or both.”

The Impeachment Paradox

February 26, 2019 at 8:48 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein hinted yesterday that the public might not see much of special counsel Robert Mueller’s widely-expected report, because federal prosecutors typically don’t describe conduct that falls outside the scope of criminal charges:

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Quote of the Day

February 26, 2019 at 8:26 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I’ve had so many guys who did business with him in real estate say you know he’d have a $15 million dollar profit from a real estate deal which he would call $150 million and then he would call everybody and beg them not to contradict the press because he was going to tell them it was 150 million not 15 million. That’s how he sees negotiations. So if he can put lipstick on a pig and he can say OK this is what we’re going to do with North Korea. And he keeps saying it over and over again and Fox News says it over and over again and other outlets say it over and over again.  And the so-called mainstream media does their both sides ism. Well he said this but then somebody else says that he wins the news he wins the news cycle.”

— Hillary Clinton, in an interview with Tina Brown, on President Trump’s negotiating style.

Kasich Says GOP Needs to Stop Denying Climate Change

February 26, 2019 at 8:22 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R) will tell Republicans in a speech today that they should stop denying humans’ impact on climate change and start putting forth policies to address it, Axios reports.

Second Choices for Democrats

February 26, 2019 at 8:19 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Morning Consult survey of Democratic primary voters finds Joe Biden leading the Democratic field with 29%, followed by Bernie Sanders at 27%, Kamala Harris at 10%, Beto O’Rourke at 7% and Elizabeth Warren at 7%.

More interesting is a follow-up about who Democrats would choose as a second option:

  • Biden voters: 28% would go to Sanders, 12% to Harris and 8% to Warren.
  • Sanders voters: 26% would go to Biden, 16% to Warren and 7% to Harris.
  • Harris voters: 19% would go to Biden, 15% to Sanders, 14% to Warren.
  • Warren voters: 26% would go to Sanders, 17% to Biden, 13% to Harris.
  • O’Rourke voters: 22% would go to Sanders, 20% to Biden, 12% to Harris.

Independent Candidate Would Significantly Help Trump

February 26, 2019 at 8:09 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Wason Center poll finds that having an Independent candidate in the 2020 presidential race dramatically improves President Trump’s chances of reelection.

Key findings: “In a head-to-head match-up of the 2020 general election, Trump trails a generic Democratic Party nominee among likely voters by 11 points, 37% to 48%, with 9% of voters undecided.”

“With an Independent in the race, the election becomes a statistical tie between Trump and his Democratic Party rival, 34% to 32%, with 16% going to the Independent and 16% undecided.”

“An analysis of voters who selected the Independent option after initially selecting Trump or the generic Democrat reveals that for every voter Trump loses, the Democrat loses 5.”

Cohen Will Accuse Trump of Criminal Conduct

February 26, 2019 at 6:26 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Michael Cohen, Donald Trump’s former lawyer, will for the first time publicly accuse the president of criminal conduct while in office related to a hush-money payment to a porn star,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Appearing on Wednesday before the House Oversight Committee, Mr. Cohen also will make public some of Mr. Trump’s private financial statements and allege that Mr. Trump at times inflated or deflated his net worth for business and personal purposes, including avoiding paying property taxes, the person said. The financial statements were developed by Mr. Trump’s accountant.”

New York Times: “Among the most explosive and potentially damning aspects of Mr. Cohen’s testimony will be providing evidence of potential criminal conduct since Mr. Trump became president.”

Washington Post: “Cohen intends to paint Trump as a liar, a cheater and a racist during interviews with three congressional committees, two of which will take place behind closed doors. He is expected to share anecdotes about Trump’s behavior — Daniels alleged she had an affair with Trump years ago, a claim the president denies — as well as his financial dealings.”

Mueller Not Mentioned on Campaign Trail

February 26, 2019 at 6:20 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“At a half-dozen events 2020 candidates held in Iowa over the weekend, attendees barely mentioned President Trump — and not a single person asked about Robert Mueller’s investigation or Russia,” Axios reports.

“Instead, most of the questions were about policies — most often health care, climate and immigration.”

Netanyahu’s New Rival Surges In Polls

February 26, 2019 at 6:15 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“In April, Israeli voters will head to the polls to elect a new government. Despite corruption charges, surveys have shown Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud Party with a comfortable lead over the largely fragmented opposition,” the Washington Post reports.

“Yet in the past two weeks, Benny Gantz, a former Israel Defense Forces chief of staff with no political experience, has surged in the polls. After joining forces with Yesh Atid, Israel’s second-largest opposition party, Gantz has emerged as Netanyahu’s principal rival for leadership of the country.”

Hillary Clinton Looms Over Presidential Race

February 26, 2019 at 6:12 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “After eight years as first lady, eight years as New York senator, four years as secretary of state and five months as the party’s presidential nominee, Mrs. Clinton remains a singular and complicated figure when it comes to Democratic presidential politics. In a 2020 race featuring a historic number of female candidates, Mrs. Clinton’s shadow is inescapable, particularly as she is a favorite target of President Trump.”

“Whether it is building or deepening a relationship with Mrs. Clinton — or navigating or repairing a long-term one — the men and women in the 2020 race must grapple with how the 2016 nominee will factor into the next 18 months.”

Manafort Lawyers Ask Judge for Leniency

February 26, 2019 at 6:10 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Lawyers for Paul Manafort, the former Trump campaign chairman, pleaded on Monday for a federal judge to spare their 69-year-old client from a sentence that would essentially send him to prison for the rest of his life,” Politico reports.

“In a 47-page filing, Manafort’s attorneys described a client who has been ‘personally, professionally, and financially’ broken by special counsel Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation and who deserves a sentence ‘significantly’ below the statutory maximum of 10 years he faces after pleading guilty in Washington to a pair of conspiracy charges.”

Kushner’s Peace Plan Is Dead on Arrival

February 26, 2019 at 6:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Scant information is known about the contours of the long-percolating U.S. initiative. White House officials have kept mostly silent about the ‘deal of the century,’ as Trump once called it, perfunctorily dismissingmedia reports on its (alleged) components. Kushner’s original intention to confine his current discussions to only its economic aspects was bound to find little enthusiasm among his Arab interlocutors. That may explain why he raised the ante in an interview with Sky News Arabia on Monday, announcing that the program’s political dimension would focus on ‘resolving the border issue.'”

“In fact, there is slight chance of gaining any significant traction toward Israeli-Palestinian reconciliation at the present time. Israel is deep in the throes of an election campaign, where disinterested voters have relegated the Palestinian issue conspicuously to the back seat.”

Trump on Brink of Defeat on Border Emergency

February 25, 2019 at 10:53 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump “is on the verge of a bipartisan rejection of his emergency declaration at the border in what would be an embarrassing rebuke by a Congress opposed to his immigration agenda,” Politico reports.

“Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) on Monday night said he would join Republican Sens. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska and Susan Collins of Maine, along with 47 Senate Democrats to block Trump’s attempts to secure billions for his border wall after lawmakers effectively stiffed him. Now just one more GOP senator’s support for a resolution to block Trump’s bid would send the measure to Trump’s desk and force a veto.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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