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Trump Privately Warned About Economic Slowdown

August 22, 2019 at 9:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Top White House advisers notified President Trump earlier this month that some internal forecasts showed that the economy could slow markedly over the next year, stopping short of a recession but complicating his path to reelection in 2020,” the Washington Post reports.

“The private forecast, one of several delivered to Trump and described by three people familiar with the briefing, contrasts sharply with the triumphant rhetoric the president and his surrogates have repeatedly used to describe the economy.”

“Even as his aides warn of a business climate at risk of faltering, the president has been portraying the economy to the public as ‘phenomenal’ and ‘incredible.’ He has told aides that he thinks he can convince Americans that the economy is vibrant and unrattled through a public messaging campaign. But the internal and external warnings that the economy could slip have contributed to a muddled and often contradictory message.”

Justice Department Sent Racist Link to Immigration Judges

August 22, 2019 at 4:49 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“An email sent from the Justice Department to all immigration court employees this week included a link to an article posted on a white nationalist website that ‘directly attacks sitting immigration judges with racial and ethnically tinged slurs,'” BuzzFeed News reports.

“The briefings are sent to court employees every weekday and include links to various immigration news items.”

House GOP Embraces Trump’s Greenland Idea

August 22, 2019 at 4:39 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The House Republican campaign arm is selling t-shirts with a map of the United States showing Greenland as part of America.

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Behind Stephanie Grisham’s Turbulent Ascent

August 22, 2019 at 4:09 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The New York Times profiles Stephanie Grisham, who “occupies one of the most prestigious roles in American politics, as White House press secretary and communications director for both the president and the first lady.”

“Her career history contains red flags that most administrations might deem troubling. They include losing a private-sector job after being accused of cheating on expense reports, a later job loss over plagiarism charges and two arrests for driving under the influence, the second while working on Mr. Trump’s campaign.”

DNC Votes Down Climate Debate

August 22, 2019 at 3:55 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Democratic National Committee has rejected a proposal to host a single-issue debate on the climate crisis, the HuffPost reports.

Symone Sanders, a senior adviser to Joe Biden, was among those who urged the DNC committee to vote down a climate debate, saying it would be “dangerous territory in the middle of a Democratic primary process.”

That contrasts with what Biden had earlier said earlier this summer: “I’m all in.”

House Democrats Unlikely to Get Trump’s Tax Returns

August 22, 2019 at 3:41 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“House Democrats appear increasingly unlikely to secure President Trump’s tax returns before the 2020 presidential election, according to interviews with legal experts and several lawmakers, as resistance from the Trump administration has stymied the party’s efforts to obtain his personal financial records,” the Washington Post reports.

Harris Raises $1 Million at Vacation Fundraisers

August 22, 2019 at 3:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Sen. Kamala Harris raised over $1 million through several campaign fundraisers in the wealthy enclaves of the Hamptons on Long Island and Martha’s Vineyard, Massachusetts,” CNBC reports.

“Harris attended multiple events last weekend in the affluent vacation spots, including five in the Hamptons. The massive haul comes after she suffered a quick decline in national polls.”

No Unity for Kentucky Republicans

August 22, 2019 at 3:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin (R) defeated challenger Robert Goforth (R) in May’s Republican gubernatorial primary, 52% to 39%.

But a new video suggests the two men haven’t found party unity in advance of the general election.

Poll Suggests ‘The Squad’ Is Not a Liability for Democrats

August 22, 2019 at 2:47 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Last month, an anonymous pollster leaked polling saying that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez was a vulnerability in swing districts. A new Data for Progress/YouGov Blue poll in 42 battleground congressional districts finds Ocasio-Cortez polls roughly as favorably on net as Joe Biden, and more favorably on net than President Trump and Democratic leadership.

In addition, each member of “the Squad” — Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Ayanna Pressley, Ilhan Omar, and Rashida Tlaib — has a higher net favorability than President Trump, Sen. Mitch McConnell, and the Republican Party in these battleground districts.

The survey also shows that Sen. Elizabeth Warren had the highest net favorable ratings among the 2020 presidential candidates tested.

A separate Civiqs poll confirmed Warren has the highest favorable rating of any Democrat in the battleground districts. It also found Biden and Ocasio-Cortez have essentially the same favorability in these swing districts.

If Trump Were In Any Other Job

August 22, 2019 at 2:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

James Fallows: “If Donald Trump were in virtually any other position of responsibility, action would already be under way to remove him from that role. The board at a public company would have replaced him outright or arranged a discreet shift out of power. (Of course, he would never have gotten this far in a large public corporation.) The chain-of-command in the Navy or at an airline or in the hospital would at least call a time-out, and check his fitness, before putting him back on the bridge, or in the cockpit, or in the operating room. (Of course, he would never have gotten this far as a military officer, or a pilot, or a doctor.)”

“There are two exceptions. One is a purely family-run business, like the firm in which Trump spent his entire previous career. And the other is the U.S. presidency, where he will remain, despite more and more-manifest Queeg-like  unfitness, as long as the GOP Senate stands with him.”

Abraham Up with New Ad for Louisiana Governor

August 22, 2019 at 1:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Ralph Abraham (R-LA), who’s running for Louisiana governor, is out with a new ad which ends with this line: “As a doctor, I can assure you there are only two genders.”

McConnell Defends the Filibuster

August 22, 2019 at 1:36 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) defends the legislative filibuster in the New York Times:

“A Democratic assault on the legislative filibuster would make the nomination fights look like child’s play… The legislative filibuster is directly downstream from our founding tradition. If that tradition frustrates the whims of those on the far left, it is their half-baked proposals and not the centuries-old wisdom that need retooling.”

“My Republican colleagues and I have not and will not vandalize this core tradition for short-term gain. We recognize what everyone should recognize — there are no permanent victories in politics… If future Democrats shortsightedly decide to reduce the Senate to majority rule, we’ll have lost a key safeguard of American government. And — stop me if you’ve heard this one — they’d regret it a lot sooner than they think.”

Biden’s New Ad Emphasizes Ties to Obama

August 22, 2019 at 1:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Joe Biden is out a new ad that emphasizes his ties to former President Barack Obama — and to mark the 11th anniversary of Obama choosing Biden as his running mate.

Epstein Was Not to Be Left Alone

August 22, 2019 at 1:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “At least eight Bureau of Prisons staffers knew that strict instructions had been given not to leave multimillionaire sex offender Jeffrey Epstein alone in his cell, yet the order was apparently ignored in the 24 hours leading up to his death, according to people familiar with the matter.”

Republicans May Be More Divided Than Democrats

August 22, 2019 at 12:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Alan Abramowitz: “When it comes to ideological identification, Democratic voters are far more divided than Republican voters. Around two-thirds of Republican voters identify as conservative while fewer than half of Democratic voters identify as liberal. Many observers of the current presidential campaign have cited this fact to argue that ideological divisions are a serious potential threat to Democratic unity, especially if the party nominates a strongly liberal candidate.”

“But a closer examination of recent polling data indicates that when it comes to specific policy issues such as abortion, gun control, and health care, Democratic voters are actually considerably less divided than Republican voters. Moreover, these data show that divisions among Democrats based on age, education, and race are much less significant when it comes to policy issues.”

“What makes this all the more important is that policy preferences appear to have a much stronger influence than ideological identification on voters’ broader political outlook including their opinions of President Trump. These findings suggest that the task of uniting Democrats behind the party’s eventual nominee may not be as difficult as some pundits and political observers have suggested.”

Big Majority Oppose Impeaching Trump

August 22, 2019 at 12:05 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll finds just 35% of Americans feel that President Trump should be impeached and compelled to leave the presidency while a clear majority — 59% — disagree with this course of action.

The survey finds Trump’s approval at a dismal 40% to 53%.

Sarah Huckabee Sanders Joins Fox News

August 22, 2019 at 11:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Sarah Huckabee Sanders, one of the more controversial holders of the office of White House Press Secretary in recent memory, will join Fox News Channel as a contributor,” Variety reports.

The Democratic Race Is Still Wide Open

August 22, 2019 at 11:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Bernstein: “It’s been a very long time since a true dark horse — a candidate who really came out of nowhere — won a presidential nomination. But we’ve had a couple of recent winners (John McCain in 2008 and John Kerry in 2004) who looked dead in the water for long periods of the year before the election. And we’ve had other candidates (Rick Santorum in 2012 and Gary Hart way back in 1984) who showed almost no signs of life until right before the Iowa caucuses but then went on to become serious challengers to the eventual winner.”

“I see a lot of pundits out there who want to reach conclusions about at least the structure of this cycle’s nomination struggle, if not proclaim a winner. I’m not averse to doing that when there’s strong evidence, as there was for Hillary Clinton in 2015. But there’s nothing close to that this time, and that means, to me, that we still don’t really have a good idea of where any of this is headed.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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