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There May Be Fewer GOP Women In Next Congress

July 29, 2019 at 1:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

With Reps. Susan Brooks (R-IN) and Martha Roby (R-AL) announcing they will not seek reelection next year, at least two of just 13 Republican women in the House of Representatives will be gone by the next Congress.

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Memo to the 2020 Democratic Candidates

July 29, 2019 at 12:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rahm Emanuel: “Let’s start with the basics. If you’re going to evict Donald Trump from the White House and secure the country’s future, you have to replicate what the last two Democratic presidents did so successfully on their campaigns. You need to unite all primary voters.”

“There’s a reason Trump gleefully tweeted ‘That’s the end of that race!’ during the first debate: Too often, you succumbed to chasing plaudits on Twitter, which closed the door on swing voters in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. If you win the nomination in a way that forecloses a path to victory in the general election, we will lose, and your name will go down in infamy.”

“This time, don’t fall into the traps that had many of us shaking our heads during the debates in Miami. Before our party promises health care coverage to undocumented immigrants — a position not even Ted Kennedy took — let’s help the more than 30 million Americans who are a single illness away from financial ruin. Before we start worrying about whether the Boston Marathon bomber can vote, let’s stop states that are actively trying to curtail voting rights of citizens. And before we promise a guaranteed minimum income to healthy adults who prefer to stay home and play video games, let’s increase the minimum wage and the Earned Income Tax Credit to benefit the millions of people who work hard and still live near poverty.”

Biden’s Age Worries Some Allies

July 29, 2019 at 12:31 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “As aides and allies watched Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s first debate performance last month, their initial optimism about his abilities turned to alarm as Senator Kamala Harris laced into him over race and busing.”

“It wasn’t just Mr. Biden’s halting answers that worried some of them. They thought he was showing his age — that, at 76, he appeared slow off the mark, uncertain about how to counterpunch as he allowed Ms. Harris to land clean hits without interruption.”


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Tepid Response to Trump’s Pick for Spy Chief

July 29, 2019 at 12:25 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s choice of Rep. John Ratcliffe to replace respected former Sen. Dan Coats as Director of National Intelligence in one of the most powerful and sensitive jobs in government, has gotten a tepid response to this point from Republican senators, signaling the Texas Republican, a Trump loyalist who lacks intelligence experience, could face a fight to be confirmed,” CNN reports.

“Of the handful of GOP senators who put out public statements about the change, they all praised the professionalism and integrity of the departing Coats, but not one has mentioned — much less embraced –Ratcliffe.”

Crackdown In Russia Suggests More Hostile Approach

July 29, 2019 at 12:12 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Analysts said the scale of the roundup — nearly 1,400 demonstrators were swept off the streets in Moscow on Saturday… suggested a change in approach for a Russian elite that is increasingly concerned about political stability.”

“Thousands took to the streets of central Moscow on Saturday to demand that independent candidates be allowed to run in upcoming elections for city parliament. It was the latest demonstration in a protest movement that began two weeks ago after the city election commission rejected the candidacies of several opposition-minded candidates, citing falsified supporter signatures.”

The Trump Spin Cycle

July 29, 2019 at 12:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Greg Sargent: “Whenever President Trump unleashes one of his racist attacks, the political world tends to go through a now-predictable cycle. We are first told Republicans think Trump’s latest racist display is brilliant politics, a view often pushed by Trump himself. Then gullible pundits echo that claim.”

“And then persistent digging by reporters shows that Republicans are actually worried that his racism poses a serious problem for the party, unmasking the initial confidence as false bravado.”

The Stakes

July 29, 2019 at 11:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Out this fall: The Stakes: 2020 and the Survival of American Democracy by Robert Kuttner.

“The United States can choose to correct course, installing a chief executive and legislators that will defend bedrock democratic ideals and freedoms, or it can travel further down the road of Trumpism, and allow that inchoate brew of nationalist populism, racism, and predatory kleptocracy to solidify into a fully-realized and durable fascism.”

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The Stakes: 2020 and the Survival of American Democracy
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Georgia Will Move Back to Paper Ballots

July 29, 2019 at 11:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Georgia officials awarded a lucrative contract Monday to install a new statewide voting system to Dominion Voting, an Denver-based company that will give voters a new way to cast their ballots by combining touchscreens and paper ballots,” the Atlanta Journal Constitution reports.

House Democrats Crushing Challengers In Fundraising

July 29, 2019 at 11:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Republican pathway for recapturing House control in next year’s election charges straight through the districts of the most vulnerable Democratic incumbents, especially freshmen. Judging from early but formidable cash advantages those lawmakers have amassed, ousting them won’t be easy,” the AP reports.

“Each of the 62 freshmen House Democrats has raised more money than their top opponent. The same is true for all 31 Democrats from districts President Trump had won in 2016 and for all 39 Democrats who snatched Republican-held seats last November.”

“In nearly all cases it’s not even close.”

Pompeo Won’t Run for Senate

July 29, 2019 at 11:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo appeared to close the door to a potential run in 2020 for a U.S. Senate seat in Kansas saying it was “off the table,” but he did not rule out the possibility of a presidential run in the future, Reuters reports.

Said Pompeo: “It’s off the table. As a practical matter, I’m going to serve as secretary of state every day that I get the chance to do so.”

GOP Could Bypass Governor to Gerrymander Wisconsin

July 29, 2019 at 11:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wisconsin Examiner: “Now Democrats and fair-maps advocates are worried that Republicans might make an end-run around Evers by means of a joint resolution, passing a new map through the Assembly and Senate. Because joint resolutions do not require the governor’s signature, the map could go into effect without any input from the governor.”

Trump Claimed He Would ‘Fix’ Baltimore In 2015

July 29, 2019 at 11:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Four years ago, in the aftermath of rioting in Baltimore, Donald Trump criticized then-President Obama for not doing enough to address problems in the city and claimed that ‘I would fix it fast!’ if he were president,” the Washington Post reports.

“Trump’s 2015 tweets have resurfaced in the wake of his derogatory tweets over the weekend aimed at the city of more than 600,000 and at Rep. Elijah E. Cummings (D-MD), whose district includes part of Baltimore.”

Democrats Urge Hickenlooper, Bullock to Run for Senate

July 29, 2019 at 10:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Democrats on Capitol Hill have a message for presidential hopefuls John Hickenlooper, the former governor of Colorado, and Steve Bullock, the current governor of Montana: you’d make great senators,” CNN reports.

“Hickenlooper and Bullock have struggled to gain traction in a crowded field of Democratic presidential candidates, but as governors, they have already proven they can be elected statewide. As Democrats gear up for a fight for the Senate, many are quick to say they believe Hickenlooper and Bullock would make formidable challengers to Republican senators up for re-election in Colorado and Montana.”

Candidates Expecting Explosive Faceoffs

July 29, 2019 at 10:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Twenty candidates are sharpening memorable lines and crafting strategies for butting into the conversation as they prepare for a second round of Democratic presidential debates that are expected to be explosive, particularly over topics of race, inequality and criminal justice.”

CBS News:  How to watch the debates.

Trump Says Al Sharpton ‘Hates Whites’

July 29, 2019 at 9:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump, after a weekend spent assailing a leading African-American congressman from Baltimore, widened his war on critics of color on Monday morning as he denounced the Rev. Al Sharpton as “a con man” who “Hates Whites & Cops!,” the New York Times reports.

Said Trump: “I have known Al for 25 years. Went to fights with him and Don King, always got along well. He ‘loved Trump!’ He would ask me for favors often. Al is a con man, a troublemaker, always looking for a score. Just doing his thing.”

Sharpton responded: “Trump says I’m a troublemaker and con man. I do make trouble for bigots. If he really thought I was a con man he would want me in his cabinet.”

Stakes Are High for Biden In This Week’s Debate

July 29, 2019 at 8:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “The good news for Biden: His poll numbers have snapped back to where they were before the first debates.”

“The bad news: It’s unlikely he can afford another rough outing, which would only increase the chatter that he might not be up for the rigors of a general-election fight against President Trump. And if that happens, that could produce maybe the most destabilizing event so far in the 2020 Democratic race, creating openings for several other Dem contenders.”

“Remember, anyone can have a bad debate performance — just ask Barack Obama in 2012. But if you’re Joe Biden and a Democratic Party that’s anxious about its prospects versus Trump, you can’t have two in a row.”

Trump Blames White House Air Conditioning on Obama

July 29, 2019 at 7:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“In President Trump’s view, even the inadequate air conditioning at the White House is Barack Obama’s fault,” the AP reports.

“Trump offered the new gripe about his predecessor as he explained in the Oval Office Friday why he’ll be spending some time at his New Jersey resort in August.”

Trump’s Race Baiting Will Cost Him In 2020

July 29, 2019 at 7:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Cornell professors Peter Enns and Jonathon Schuldt write in the Washington Post that their research finds the backlash from President Trump’s racist rhetoric is likely to offset any electoral benefit from Trump’s base.

“Not only did Democrats make major gains in the midterms when Trump doubled-down on his xenophobic rhetoric, the strategic focus on immigration in 2018 may have hurt Republicans. That Trump’s approval ratings are net negative despite a strong economy may also signal that his rhetoric isn’t working.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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