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Sanders Leads In New Hampshire

February 6, 2020 at 1:05 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll in New Hampshire finds Bernie Sanders leading the Democratic presidential race with 24%, followed by Pete Buttigieg at 20%, Joe Biden at 17%, Elizabeth Warren at 13% and Amy Klobuchar at 9%.

Others registering support include Tulsi Gabbard at 4%, Andrew Yang at 4%, and Tom Steyer at 3%.

Said pollster Patrick Murray: “The muddle out of Iowa hasn’t narrowed the field, but there are some hints in the poll that Buttigieg could be helped and Biden hurt as the caucus results start to sink in.”

Impeachment, Then and Now

February 6, 2020 at 12:52 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I want to say again how profoundly sorry I am for what I said and did… and for the great burden they have imposed.”

— Bill Clinton post-impeachment, February 1999.

“It was all bullshit.”

— Donald Trump post-impeachment, February 2020.

DNC Calls for Recanvass of Iowa

February 6, 2020 at 12:32 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

DNC Chairman Tom Perez suggests final Iowa results aren’t coming soon:

“Enough is enough. In light of the problems that have emerged in the implementation of the delegate selection plan and in order to assure public confidence in the results, I am calling on the Iowa Democratic Party to immediately begin a recanvass.”

Quote of the Day

February 6, 2020 at 12:28 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“It was evil, it was corrupt, it was dirty cops, it was leakers, it was liars.”

— President Trump, quoted by PBS, on facing impeachment.

A President Unbound

February 6, 2020 at 12:13 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Garrett Graff: “Today, 10 months remain in an election where the president now knows that there is practically nothing he can do that would cause his removal from office. The Justice Department maintains that Trump cannot be criminally charged while president, and the GOP has made clear that their ultimate test this year is to ‘let the voters decide.’ That combination leaves no path for accountability. The House may very well continue its investigation of Trump’s various crimes starting today—perhaps by calling John Bolton—but Donald Trump knows he is, as Axios’ Jonathan Swan reported this week, borderline invincible.”

“The upshot is that Donald Trump can apparently do anything he wants to rig, influence, or invite foreign powers to tinker with the integrity of the election that will decide his fate. And he can do it all with the full powers of the presidency.”

Treasury Sends Hunter Biden Records to Senate

February 6, 2020 at 12:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Treasury Department has complied with Republican senators’ requests for highly sensitive and closely held financial records about Hunter Biden and his associates and has turned over “evidence of questionable origin” to them, Yahoo News reports.

Kushner Appeared Ignorant About NATO

February 6, 2020 at 11:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Though Jared Kushner was a ‘lead point of contact’ for US allies worried about Donald Trump’s threats to NATO, the president’s son-in-law did not ‘seem to know what NATO actually did,'” according to a copy of Sinking in the Swamp, obtained by The Guardian.

“Kushner even appeared to be ignorant of article 5, the treaty clause which stipulates that an attack on one member is an attack on all.”

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Trump Jr. Calls Romney a ‘Pussy’

February 6, 2020 at 11:20 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump Jr. posted a picture calling Sen. Mitt Romney (R-UT) a “pussy” after the senator voted to convict President Trump on abuse of power.

Sleepwalking Into Great Danger

February 6, 2020 at 11:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Edward Luce: “Of course, a week is a long time in politics. Things would look different if the Democrats united behind a good nominee and voters felt the slowdown in U.S. growth. Against that, however, are the stubborn facts. Three years after taking office, Mr Trump is the least unpopular he has ever been. Moreover, he can do almost what he wants before November without fear of restraint. Impeachment was hardly a blip. Inviting foreign interference cost him nothing. The vote-counting fiasco in Iowa shows how easy it would be to contaminate public trust in the election process.”

“U.S. democracy is sleepwalking into great danger. Yet somehow it feels as though everything is normal.”

Impeachment Gave Trump Exactly What He Wanted

February 6, 2020 at 10:32 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Peter Beinart: “The impeachment struggle is now over. Historians may one day vindicate Democrats for exposing Donald Trump’s abuse of power. But as of now, they have lost. Not only will Trump remain president, and not only does he appear stronger politically than before the impeachment battle began, but he has succeeded in doing precisely what he wanted in the first place: He tarred Joe Biden, who last year looked like Trump’s most formidable Democratic rival, with the kind of vague suspicion of wrongdoing that presidential candidates can’t easily shake…”

“By keeping Hunter Biden’s business dealings in Ukraine in the news, they have turned them into a rough analogue to Hillary Clinton’s missing emails in 2016—a pseudo-scandal that undermines a leading Democratic candidate’s reputation for honesty.”

Trump Envoys Quietly Push Out Career Diplomats

February 6, 2020 at 10:05 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Foreign Policy: “Already, several of Trump’s political allies-turned-ambassadors—he has appointed a higher percentage than most previous presidents—have sacked their deputies amid a culture of mistrust between politically appointed and career State Department officials.”

Said one former official: “There’s zero support or pushback from the department for the career people.”

Trump Slams ‘Dishonest and Corrupt’ Democrats

February 6, 2020 at 9:51 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump lashed out at Democrats at a national prayer breakfast, the Washington Post reports.

Said Trump: “As everybody knows, my family, our great country and your president has been put through a terrible ordeal by some very dishonest and corrupt people.”

He also specifically hit Sen. Mitt Romney and Speaker Nancy Pelosi: “I don’t like people who use their faith as justification for doing what they know is wrong… Nor do I like people who say, ‘I pray for you,’ when they know that that’s not so.”

Iowa Results Are Still a Mess

February 6, 2020 at 9:44 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The results released by the Iowa Democratic Party on Wednesday were riddled with inconsistencies and other flaws. According to a New York Times analysis, more than 100 precincts reported results that were internally inconsistent, that were missing data or that were not possible under the complex rules of the Iowa caucuses.”

“In some cases, vote tallies do not add up. In others, precincts are shown allotting the wrong number of delegates to certain candidates. And in at least a few cases, the Iowa Democratic Party’s reported results do not match those reported by the precincts.”

Iowa Turnout Actually Wasn’t As Bad as Reported

February 6, 2020 at 9:34 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

John Couvillon: “We can now say that Democratic turnout was the second highest ever, as it just exceeded the 2016 numbers. With 3% more to count.”

What If There Are No Swing Voters?

February 6, 2020 at 9:32 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “What if everything you think you know about politics is wrong? What if there aren’t really American swing voters—or not enough, anyway, to pick the next president? What if it doesn’t matter much who the Democratic nominee is? What if there is no such thing as ‘the center,’ and the party in power can govern however it wants for two years, because the results of that first midterm are going to be bad regardless? What if the Democrats’ big 41-seat midterm victory in 2018 didn’t happen because candidates focused on health care and kitchen-table issues, but simply because they were running against the party in the White House? What if the outcome in 2020 is pretty much foreordained, too?”

“To the political scientist Rachel Bitecofer, all of that is almost certainly true, and that has made her one of the most intriguing new figures in political forecasting this year.”

Schiff Says John Bolton Wouldn’t Even Give Affidavit

February 6, 2020 at 8:58 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff told MSNBC that former National Security Adviser John Bolton refused to submit a sworn affidavit on President Trump’s dealings with Ukraine after the Senate rejected additional witnesses and documents.

Said Schiff: “So for whatever reason, he apparently was willing to testify before the Senate but apart from that, seems intent on saving it for his book. He’ll have to answer for that.”

Bloomberg Seizes on Chaos In Democratic Race

February 6, 2020 at 8:55 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “While the rest of the Democratic field tries to recover from Iowa and pivot to New Hampshire, Bloomberg is seizing the moment to gain an advantage — doubling his television spending in key states, expanding his staff to more than 2,000, and traveling the country to introduce himself as a competent and accomplished manager.”

“The sheer size and machine-like efficiency of Bloomberg’s campaign, for which he has already paid more than $200 million of his own fortune, is distinct compared with the troubling performance of party leaders in Iowa and stumbling by former vice president Joe Biden.”

Sanders Surges In Forecast

February 6, 2020 at 8:40 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The FiveThirtyEight forecast now shows Bernie Sanders with the best chance to win New Hampshire (76% chance), Nevada (61% chance) and South Carolina (49% chance).

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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