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Why So Many Implausible Democrats Are Running

May 16, 2019 at 11:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Bernstein: “Not only was the stage opened to 20 candidates, but the qualifying standards were set extremely low: Candidates had to reach either a very low polling threshold or get 65,000 unique donors, metrics that are both objective and largely out of the hands of party actors. Usually, winnowing happens early on when candidates try and fail to win encouragement from party actors. This time, however, candidates can simply focus on reaching a qualifying goal rather than assessing the reaction they got from party officials or key politicians.”

“In fact, the new rules actually encouraged on-the-fence candidates to stick around for a while. After all, the DNC basically gave them a list-building challenge. Marginal candidates might well have decided that that alone was worth a formal run. Anyone who met or exceeded the donor threshold and then dropped out would’ve earned themselves a valuable resource in the meantime, not to mention increased national exposure, CNN Town Halls and a shot at a debate appearance. That’s a lot of rewards for what may turn out to be very little effort by some of the candidates.”

Washington Post: “So many Democrats are running for president that the chair of the National Governors Association, the mayor of America’s largest city and the senior senator from Colorado may not even qualify for the first debate — even though it allows for 20 candidates.”

Klobuchar Recounts Sexism In the Senate

May 16, 2019 at 11:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) told Elle about an incident in her early months as a U.S. Senator.

Said Klobuchar: “I was on the elevator with two of my staff members. The door opened, and a male senator was standing outside. He said, ‘Excuse me, this elevator is for senators only.’ My staff member said, ‘She is a senator.’ And then I looked at him and asked, ‘But who are you?’”

She added: “I knew exactly who he was. The elevator door closed, and he never got on. He’s no longer there.”

Quote of the Day

May 16, 2019 at 11:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“As a party, we should be 100 percent pro-choice, and it should be nonnegotiable. We should not settle for less, and if our party cannot support women’s basic human rights, their fundamental freedoms to make decisions about their bodies and their futures, then we are not the party of women.”

— Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY), quoted by the Washington Post.


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Boris Johnson Will Stand for Prime Minister

May 16, 2019 at 10:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former foreign secretary Boris Johnson told the BBC that he plans to stand to replace British prime minister Theresa May once she fulfills her pledge to step down after a deal on Brexit is reached.

Said Johnson: “Of course I’m going to go for it.”

Axios: “Of course, May hasn’t stepped down — and her pledge to do so was contingent on her Brexit deal getting through Parliament. Some members of the Conservative Party are worried she may have gotten cold feet.”

Pennsylvania Counts Most of All

May 16, 2019 at 10:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jennifer Rubin: “Republicans and Democrats alike recognize how crucial Pennsylvania will be in determining the 2020 presidential election. Looking at the electoral map, if Pennsylvania returns to the Democratic column (where it was, twice each, for President Bill Clinton and President Barack Obama), President Trump could not lose Florida, for example, and retain the presidency.”

“Without Pennsylvania, he couldn’t win unless he won two out of three among Michigan, Wisconsin and North Carolina (all other states going as they did in 2016). In short, if Democrats can win Pennsylvania, their chances of booting out Trump improve substantially.”

Why Trump Can’t Spin a Trade War

May 16, 2019 at 10:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Joshua Green: “Unlike immigration, the Chinese retaliatory tariffs were felt acutely by some of Trump’s most fervent supporters. Take farmers. As I documented last spring, the 30 congressional districts most reliant on soybeans for economic activity all voted for Trump in 2016. Since then, their pain has only intensified. This week, soybean prices fell to the lowest level in 12 years.”

“But if Trump follows through on his threat to impose a broad new round of tariffs, the number of Americans affected would grow dramatically. The initial wave of $250 billion focused on intermediate or capital goods: the sorts of materials businesses use to make finished products. The next round will focus on $300 billion of consumer goods, everything from iPhones to golf clubs to coffee makers to t-shirts and sweaters. As Bloomberg News put it on Monday, anyone who shops at a mall will become a victim of the trade war. One estimate puts the annual cost at $500 per U.S. family.”

The Very Political Pattern of Trump’s Pardons

May 16, 2019 at 9:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Aaron Blake: “President Trump’s pardons were self-serving before, and they became even more so Wednesday night, after he pardoned two prominent conservatives who had already completed their sentences.”

“That these pardons went to two Trump allies who said things he likes, and whose pardons could send signals to other Trump allies, doesn’t seem like a coincidence. Trump has now pardoned 10 people in his two-plus years in office. Of the nine living ones, eight are either conservatives or further Trump’s political narrative in some way.”

Trump Calls De Blasio’s Candidacy a ‘Joke’

May 16, 2019 at 9:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump welcomed New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio to the presidential race with a tweet.

Said Trump: “The Dems are getting another beauty to join their group. Bill de Blasio of NYC, considered the worst mayor in the U.S., will supposedly be making an announcement for president today. He is a JOKE, but if you like high taxes & crime, he’s your man. NYC HATES HIM!”

What Grassley Says Trump Really Believes on Trade

May 16, 2019 at 9:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) told Politico that President Trump doesn’t really like tariffs.

Said Grassley: “He believes in tariffs as a tool to get a negotiation as opposed to being an end in themselves. Then he hasn’t changed anything. If he has used tariffs because he believes they’re good, and I know he says that, but I don’t believe he actually believes that. I don’t see how he could believe it.”

He added: “He hasn’t changed the Republican Party. We’re still a party of free trade … I surely hope that he has learned from history that lower tariffs are good.”

Political Wire Straw Poll Results

May 16, 2019 at 8:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This poll was only open to Political Wire members.

Our May straw poll finds 77% of Political Wire members think that Joe Biden will win the Democratic nomination for president in 2020, followed Kamala Harris at 11%, Elizabeth Warren at 4% and Pete Buttigieg at 3%.

Join now to continue reading.

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Iran Threat Debate Is Set Off by Images of Missiles

May 16, 2019 at 8:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The intelligence that caused the White House to escalate its warnings about a threat from Iran came from photographs of missiles on small boats in the Persian Gulf that were put on board by Iranian paramilitary forces,” the New York Times reports.

“Overhead imagery showed fully assembled missiles, stoking fears that the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps would fire them at United States naval ships. Additional pieces of intelligence picked up threats against commercial shipping and potential attacks by Arab militias with Iran ties on American troops in Iraq.”

Booker Official Urges Donations for Gillibrand

May 16, 2019 at 8:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Cory Booker’s (D-NJ) deputy presidential campaign manager announced on Twitter that she donated to the campaign of rival 2020 candidate Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY), urging others to do the same to ensure that Gillibrand qualifies for next month’s Democratic primary debate, Politico reports.

Biden Plots an Early Kill

May 16, 2019 at 7:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Joe Biden is trying to snuff out his Democratic competitors before the race really gets going,” Axios reports.

“He’s running like it’s a general election, cresting the aura of inevitability and readiness to stare down Trump.  He’s effectively dancing around topics like the Green New Deal, which could be a killer in the general election, and instead telling voters about the climate proposal he’ll unveil as early as the end of this month.”

Perhaps most important: “He’s promised to never attack a fellow Democrat. As the frontrunner, he’s the one who benefits from a primary with minimal infighting.”

Americans Don’t Support Extending Trump’s Term

May 16, 2019 at 7:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new University of Virginia/Ipsos poll find that by a 77% to 16% margin, respondents did not think that the 2020 election should be delayed and President Trump given an extra two years in office.

“This question was based on a recent tweet by Liberty University President Jerry Falwell suggesting that because of Robert Mueller’s investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election, the president’s term should be extended two years (Trump retweeted Falwell).”

Missouri Senate Passes Bill to Ban Abortion at 8 Weeks

May 16, 2019 at 7:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Missouri’s Republican-led Senate has now passed a bill to ban abortions at eight weeks of pregnancy,” the AP reports.

“Senators approved the legislation 24-10 early Thursday with just hours left before a Friday deadline to pass bills. It needs at least one more vote of approval in the GOP-led House before it can go to Republican Gov. Mike Parson, who voiced support for it on Wednesday.”

Jared’s Complete Whiff on Immigration

May 16, 2019 at 6:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Jared Kushner, the president’s son-in-law and a White House adviser, spent months working on the plan, which will serve as a central part of Mr. Trump’s re-election campaign message. Working with him was Stephen Miller, the president’s top immigration adviser, but the plan falls short of the more extreme measures that Mr. Miller has long pressed the president to adopt and that have long been opposed by Democrats in Congress.”

Playbook: “Unless you’ve been living in a cave for the last few years, you’d know that Democrats would summarily dismiss any immigration proposal that doesn’t include language to provide some sort of legal status for Dreamers. Kushner’s proposal does not include that. So, he’s lost Democrats. And this doesn’t bring down immigration into the U.S. — which many Republicans have demanded.”

“This thing is deader than a doornail. The White House keeps saying it’s supposed to be a conversation-starter. The only conversation this will start in the Capitol is one about how goofy it is to believe this plan was even released in the first place.”

Barr Denies He’s Blocking Mueller from Testifying

May 16, 2019 at 6:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Attorney General William Barr denied he is standing in the way of special counsel Robert Mueller’s testimony before Congress, after the chairman of the House panel seeking his appearance accused the Justice Department of being unwilling to set a date,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Said Barr: “It’s Bob’s call whether he wants to testify.”

Biden Will Base Campaign In Philadelphia

May 16, 2019 at 6:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Joe Biden will base his presidential campaign in Philadelphia, setting up in a city where he has deep ties and in a state that is central to his strategy,” the Philadelphia Inquirer reports.

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Balanced Ticket: A balanced ticket is a paring of political party candidates designed to appeal to a broad swathe of the electorate.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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