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House GOP Must Adjust to Life In the Minority

December 29, 2018 at 10:25 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “About two-thirds of Republicans returning to the House for the 116th Congress this week have never experienced the exquisite pain of being on the outs in an institution where the party in charge is totally in charge. Majority control runs the gamut from determining the floor agenda to determining access to the prime meeting space. It will be a rude awakening for many who have known only their exalted majority status.”

Trump Now Mocks Scott Pruitt

December 29, 2018 at 10:14 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “The president once viewed him as a loyal soldier and confidante, brainstorming on policy in the Oval Office and commiserating about Democratic attack dogs by phone. But Trump also has joked about some of Pruitt’s missteps… On more than one occasion, they said, the president congratulated [acting EPA Administrator Andrew] Wheeler for not attempting to buy a used mattress from the Trump Hotel, a move Pruitt once tried.”

Did Trump Blow the Shutdown?

December 29, 2018 at 10:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “President Trump had an empty Washington and the captive attention of the media the last eight days. Why wasn’t he on TV blasting Congress for inaction every single day?”

He could’ve said: “I’m the only guy who can sign a bill into law, but Congress has gone home.”

“Why didn’t Trump instruct GOP leadership to keep Congress in town until they got a deal? … If he believes his position is the right one, why not try to highlight that? Some of his closest allies on Capitol Hill and in D.C. are wondering this.”

Also curious: “If the White House is so concerned about Pelosi, why has Trump not spoken with Pelosi since Dec. 11? That’s 18 days without contact between the president and the incoming speaker during a federal government shutdown. The White House has not reached out to Pelosi’s staff to try to schedule a get together.”


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Ex-Spy Pressured Manafort Over Debts to an Oligarch

December 29, 2018 at 9:59 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Time: “When the U.S. government put out its latest sanctions list on Dec. 19, the man named at the top did not seem especially important. Described in the document as a former Russian intelligence officer, he was accused of handling money and negotiations on behalf of a powerful Russian oligarch. The document did not mention that the man, Victor Boyarkin, had links to the 2016 campaign of President Donald Trump.”

“A months-long investigation by TIme, however, found that Boyarkin… was a key link between a senior member of the Trump campaign and a powerful ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin.”

“Boyarkin told Time this fall that he was in touch with Trump’s then-campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, in the heat of the presidential race on behalf of the Russian oligarch.”

Said Boyarkin: “He owed us a lot of money. And he was offering ways to pay it back.”

Four Senators Gear Up for 2020 Bids

December 29, 2018 at 9:58 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) is eyeing Baltimore or Atlanta as a possible base of operations for her likely 2020 presidential bid and is close to bringing on a top aide to run her campaign.

“Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) has completed a detailed review of her writings and political record to identify potential vulnerabilities, and her aides have been scouting headquarters near Boston.l

“Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) has been interviewing possible campaign managers, as well as strategists who could run his Iowa caucus effort.”

“And Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) has been reaching out to more women than men for campaign roles, though she is expected to pick a man — her current top aide — to manage a campaign likely to be based near her upstate New York home.”

Trump Hasn’t Ordered Troops Cuts In Afghanistan

December 29, 2018 at 12:53 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A White House spokesperson told Bloomberg that President Trump hasn’t ordered the Pentagon to withdraw troops from Afghanistan, “contradicting reports last week that he’s directed the military to pull 7,000 soldiers out of a conflict he’s long criticized.”

GOP Lawmaker Dismisses Trump Border Threat

December 29, 2018 at 12:44 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Outgoing Rep. Ryan Costello (R-PA) blasted President Trump’s threat Friday to shut down the southern border as an “angry eighth-grader’s tweet,” the HuffPost reports.

Said Costello: “I don’t really know how to make sense of it because I don’t think he can do this even if he wanted to. It probably violates NAFTA. I don’t think he’ll have much if any support in Congress. Nor do I think logistically he’d be able to implement it.”

He added: “And when you start throwing out vacuous threats like this, people stop taking you seriously in terms of how you go about negotiating.”

Quote of the Day

December 29, 2018 at 12:38 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“It’s the only way we can get the Democrats’ attention.”

— Acting White House Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney, quoted by USA Today, on President Trump’s threat to shut down the U.S. border with Mexico.

Is Mueller’s Probe Nearing the Worst Case Scenario?

December 28, 2018 at 10:28 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Garrett Graff: “We have rapidly entered a territory of the worst-case scenario for the United States here, where the thing that you most try to avoid in politics is a situation where the head of state of your country can be blackmailed by a foreign power or foreign adversary.”

“We now know that [the Russians] actually did have, for the last two years, compromising material and potential leverage on Donald Trump, which is that Russia knew that Donald Trump and his campaign and his associates had been lying about the extent of their business dealings with Russia, and that the Trump Tower Moscow project was both more serious and continued longer than they had said publicly.”

House Quietly Ends Probe Into FBI’s 2016 Decisions

December 28, 2018 at 10:22 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“House Republicans say more investigation is needed into decisions made by the FBI and the Justice Department in 2016 as they brought an unceremonious end to their yearlong look at the department’s handling of probes into Democrat Hillary Clinton’s emails and Donald Trump’s ties to Russia,” the AP reports.

“The wrapping up of the congressional investigation, done in a letter and without a full final report, was a quiet end to a probe that was conducted mostly behind closed doors but also in public as Republican lawmakers often criticized interview subjects afterward and suggested they were conspiring against Trump.”

Congress Ends with Trump Fighting, GOP Leaders Hiding

December 28, 2018 at 8:45 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republicans are ending the 115th Congress in an all-too-familiar spot: standing on the sidelines while President Trump picks a fight they wanted to avoid as he ignores what they consider major conservative accomplishments,” the Washington Post reports.

“On back-to-back days last week, Trump hosted large bipartisan gatherings that were meant to be valedictory, year-end statements of success with an $867 billion farm bill and a sweeping overhaul of federal prison laws. For a Congress that struggled to find significant legislation with sweeping Democratic and Republican support, these bills provided a road map for how things might work in the next two years of divided government.”

“Instead, Trump used each ceremony as an opportunity to denounce Democrats for opposing his multibillion-dollar demands for U.S. taxpayer money to fund a southern border wall, launching Washington into its third partial shutdown this year… Republican lawmakers, unable to deliver the president’s top priority despite all-GOP control of government for two years, mostly hid from the spotlight.”

Can Democrats Resist Using Super PACs In the Primaries?

December 28, 2018 at 7:57 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Walter Shapiro: “Democrats, unlike Republicans, have never firebombed each other with unlimited Super PAC money in presidential primaries. That Democratic record of restraint owes as much to a quirk of timing as it does to party-wide opposition to whatever-it-takes fundraising.”

“Barack Obama ran unopposed for the nomination in 2012, the first election cycle after the Citizens United decision. And in 2016, Hillary Clinton, a frontrunner with a shaky commitment to campaign reform, decided for strategic reasons not to attack the small-donor-powered Bernie Sanders.”

“But as more than a dozen serious Democratic candidates game out their potential 2020 presidential races over the holidays, thoughts turn to sugar plums and, sadly, to Super PACs. A recent front-page New York Times story, augmented by my own reporting, suggests that 2020 is likely to be the year when ambition leads some Democratic candidates to try to follow the Super PAC route to the nomination.”

Flake Says Trump Won’t Follow Through on Border Threat

December 28, 2018 at 7:34 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Outgoing Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) told CNN it was “highly unlikely” that President Trump would follow through on his threat to close the southern border if Democrats do not fund his proposed border wall.

Said Flake: “It’s highly unlikely – gratefully – that he would do that. It’s not likely to happen. It would stifle commerce, significant commerce, between our two countries that benefits both of us. So I don’t think he will follow through, I hope not.”

Gohmert Says Shutdown Should Last ‘Until Hell Freezes’

December 28, 2018 at 7:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Louie Gohmert (R-TX) told Fox News that he thinks the government shutdown should continue “until hell freezes over” if funding doesn’t come through for a border wall between the U.S. and Mexico.

He also suggested that a wall would somehow be beneficial to nations south of the U.S. border.

Said Gohmert: “And the best thing we could do compassionately for Mexico and Central America is not give them money that ends up in the hands of drug cartels. It’s to secure the border so the drugs quit coming and we don’t lose 70,000 more lives a year and Mexico becomes the top 10 economy because we get out the corruption. That’s compassion.”

White House Tries to Shift Blame for Shutdown

December 28, 2018 at 7:14 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney told Fox News that Nancy Pelosi can’t support border wall funding because of the Jan. 3 floor vote for House Speaker.

Said Mulvaney: “She cannot be seen by her party as being weak on negotiating with Donald Trump.”

He added: “The vice president and I met with Leader Schumer last Saturday, the last time we sat down face-to-face, and my gut was that he was really interested in doing a deal and coming to some sort of compromise. But the more we’re hearing this week is that it’s Nancy Pelosi who’s preventing that from happening.”

LePage Certifies Election He Calls ‘Stolen’

December 28, 2018 at 6:13 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Outgoing Maine Gov. Paul LePage (R) finally certified the victory of Rep.-elect Jared Golden (D) in the state’s 2nd Congressional District on Friday, nearly two months after the Nov. 6 election — but not without taking one last dig at the state’s new ranked-choice voting process, which he and other state Republicans have long refused to accept,” the HuffPost reports.

“In the photo of his certification, the governor appears to have written ‘stolen election’ next to his signature, referring to his complaints about ranked-choice voting.”

House Will Not Seat North Carolina Republican

December 28, 2018 at 5:58 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Incoming House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said Friday that Democrats next week will not seat a North Carolina Republican amid allegations of election fraud in the state’s 9th Congressional District, the Washington Post reports.

Said Hoyer: “Given the now well-documented election fraud that took place in NC-9, Democrats would object to any attempt by Mark Harris to be seated on January 3. In this instance, the integrity of our democratic process outweighs concerns about the seat being vacant at the start of the new Congress.”

Raleigh News & Observer: “A surprise court order triggered a last-minute move Friday by Gov. Roy Cooper to continue the state election board’s probe of fraud allegations in the 9th District congressional race, even as Harris demanded to be named the winner.”

Trump Thinks He’s Winning Shutdown Fight

December 28, 2018 at 10:26 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Daily Beast: “Days into a partial government shutdown that has left tens of thousands of federal workers furloughed, President Donald Trump and his close allies have begun feeling more confident about the political perch they occupy.”

“In their eyes, a prolonged stalemate will likely fracture voters along traditional partisan lines, and the ultimate outcome will be a debate waged largely on the president’s terms. Increasingly, they see an upside in forcing likely incoming Speaker Nancy Pelosi to have to spend the first days, if not weeks, of the next Congress engaged in an argument over border wall funding rather than her preferred agenda: a mix of sweeping ethics and election reforms and congressional oversight. And they continue to believe that a conversation around immigration and border security is in the president’s best political interests.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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