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Republicans Worried Trump Troubles Will Engulf Party

December 8, 2018 at 6:07 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A growing number of Republicans fear that a battery of new revelations in the far-reaching Russia investigation has dramatically heightened the legal and political danger to Donald Trump’s presidency — and threatens to consume the rest of the party as well,” the Washington Post reports.

“Trump remains headstrong in his belief that he can outsmart adversaries and weather any threats, according to advisers. In the Russia probe, he continues to roar denials, dubiously proclaiming that the latest allegations of wrongdoing by his former associates ‘totally clear‘ him.”

“But anxiety is spiking among Republican allies, who complain that Trump and the White House have no real plan for dealing with the Russia crisis while confronting a host of other troubles at home and abroad.”

How the Russians Compromised Trump

December 8, 2018 at 5:03 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Very few people, including Donald Trump himself, thought Trump would win the 2016 presidential election. That’s what makes the Trump Tower Moscow deal so interesting and relevant to Robert Mueller’s investigation.

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Clintons Slash Ticket Prices for Speaking Tour

December 8, 2018 at 3:38 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Bill and Hillary Clinton have been forced to resort to selling half price tickets for their 13-city tour on Groupon in a desperate bid to put bums on seats,” the Daily Mail reports.

“The former president and first lady launched their tour in a Canadian hockey arena last Tuesday to an underwhelming crowd and swaths of empty seats. Ticket prices were plummeting shortly before the event, with the cheapest seats selling on Stubhub for single-digits –  $6.55 Canadian Dollars, or less than $5.”


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Trump’s Likely Next Chief of Staff Made a Fortune

December 8, 2018 at 3:35 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nick Ayers, the leading candidate to be President Trump’s next chief of staff, has a net worth of $12.2 million to $54.8 million — “a huge fortune for a self-made career political operative in his 30s,” the New York Times reports.

“His wealth, accumulated partly through a complicated web of political and consulting companies in which he held ownership stakes, evoked to some the swamp that Mr. Trump has pledged to drain, though Mr. Ayers also holds significant investments in other sectors, including farmland in his native Georgia worth $2.5 million to $11 million.”

The possibility of Trump picking Ayers “has prompted grumbling from within the White House and Washington’s Republican professional class, where critics have long cast him as more focused on expanding his reputation and bank account than effective management.”

Trump May Pick an Interim Chief of Staff

December 8, 2018 at 3:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Swan: “The most important phrase Trump said in his brief remarks to reporters today was that Kelly’s replacement ‘might be on an interim basis.'”

New York Times: “Nick Ayers has told Mr. Trump that he would serve on an interim basis through the spring, when his family will return to Georgia, according to people familiar with the discussions. But Mr. Trump, who frets about the image of a White House in constant chaos, wants a full-time replacement and is eager for Mr. Ayers to stay for the duration.”

“If the president ultimately turns to another candidate, potential choices include the Treasury secretary, Steven Mnuchin; his budget director, Mick Mulvaney; and the United States trade representative, Robert Lighthizer.”

Kelly Will Leave White House at End of Year

December 8, 2018 at 1:45 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump confirmed that White House Chief of Staff John Kelly “will leave by the end of the year, capping the retired Marine general’s rocky tenure as the president’s top aide,” the Washington Post reports.

“Trump had previously said Kelly would serve as his chief of staff through 2020, but their clashes were an open secret. Nick Ayers, who currently serves as Vice President Pence’s chief of staff, is widely expected to be Kelly’s replacement.”

Quote of the Day

December 8, 2018 at 11:42 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Believe me, he can’t handle jail.”

— Rudy Giuliani, describing “pathetic” Michael Cohen’s “sad” attempt to avoid jail time to the Daily Beast.

Inside the Saudi Wooing of Jared Kushner

December 8, 2018 at 11:35 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Senior American officials were worried. Since the early months of the Trump administration, Jared Kushner, the president’s son-in-law and Middle East adviser, had been having private, informal conversations with Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the favorite son of Saudi Arabia’s king,” the New York Times reports.

“Given Mr. Kushner’s political inexperience, the private exchanges could make him susceptible to Saudi manipulation… In an effort to tighten practices at the White House, a new chief of staff tried to reimpose longstanding procedures stipulating that National Security Council staff members should participate in all calls with foreign leaders.”

“But even with the restrictions in place, Mr. Kushner, 37, and Prince Mohammed, 33, kept chatting… In fact, they said, the two men were on a first-name basis, calling each other Jared and Mohammed in text messages and phone calls.”

Trump Has Already Offered Nick Ayers Top Job

December 8, 2018 at 10:51 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“For the past month, Nick Ayers has been a White House chief of staff in waiting. President Trump informally offered Ayers a job as his top aide during a private huddle at an election night party in the White House residence last month. Several White House staff and advisers were within earshot and overheard the conversation, which included First Lady Melania Trump, and its details were described to Politico by two people briefed on them. It seemed like a done deal, except for one complication: The position wasn’t open yet.”

“John Kelly was still hanging on to the job, however tenuously. White House officials now believe that will finally change, saying they expect Kelly to exit any day now. That would seem to clear the way for Ayers. But the lag time allowed a month-long lobbying campaign both for and against the 36-year-old Ayers, currently Vice President Mike Pence’s top aide. Ayers’ detractors — who consider him nakedly ambitious and untrustworthy — have lobbied Trump against following through on the offer.”

Bloomberg: “Trump has made it known that he will not force Kelly out but is prepared to let him leave in his own time, people familiar with the situation said. Some think Kelly’s departure may come quickly, though it could also slip until after the holidays.”

However, according to the Wall Street Journal, Trump president told one of his associates on Thursday night: “Stop calling John for anything. Call Nick. He’s my guy.”

Trump Officials Repeatedly Connected with Russians

December 8, 2018 at 10:46 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mike Allen: “The flashing siren in the ‘known knowns’ of the Russia probe is how often people close to Vladimir Putin approached people close to Donald J. Trump — and how often they gladly connected. And then lied about it.”

Latest Filings Suggest Mueller Has Trump on Collusion

December 8, 2018 at 8:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“For nearly two years, since the U.S. intelligence community released its report on the Russian campaign to assist Donald Trump in the 2016 election, the American people have been seeking an answer as to whether the Trump campaign colluded with its Russian counterpart. In the endless speculation about the direction of the investigation, a common view was that maybe the investigation would never implicate President Trump or find any collusion,” the Daily Beast reports.

“But a flurry of recent activity this past week all points in the same direction: Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation will likely implicate the president, his campaign, and his close associates in aiding and abetting a Russian conspiracy against the United States to undermine the 2016 election.”

Nobody Can Save Trump Now

December 8, 2018 at 7:58 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Waldman: “One of the remarkable things about the discussion we’ve been having lately is that the president still seems to think that he can be saved from whatever this investigation uncovers. He just announced that William Barr will be his next attorney general, and the New York Times reported that in private, ‘Mr. Trump has also repeatedly asked whether the next pick would recuse himself from overseeing the special counsel investigation into whether his campaign conspired with Russia in its interference in the 2016 election.’ It’s as though he thinks this investigation is in its early stages and can be quashed by a properly loyal underling.”

“But at this point it doesn’t matter. It’s far too late. Trump’s former aides have cooperated, they’ve conducted their interviews with the special counsel, they’re being sentenced, the documents have been reviewed, the connections have been traced, and the full picture is soon to be revealed.”

“This scandal can’t be hidden away. Republicans in Congress can’t save Trump, his attorney general can’t save him, and no amount of desperate tweets can save him. Accountability is on its way, and it’s arriving very soon.”

GOP Power Grabs Pour Gas on ‘Resistance’ In Midwest

December 8, 2018 at 7:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republican efforts to weaken incoming Democratic governors in Michigan and Wisconsin have reignited the grass-roots fervor that flipped both states in November, turning the typically sleepy post-election period into a key organizing moment ahead of the 2020 presidential election,” Politico reports.

Nearing the Worst Case Scenario

December 7, 2018 at 9:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Garrett Graff: “We are deep into the worst case scenarios. But as new sentencing memos for Trump associates Paul Manafort and Michael Cohen make all too clear, the only remaining question is how bad does the actual worst case scenario get?”

“The potential innocent explanations for Donald Trump’s behavior over the last two years have been steadily stripped away, piece by piece. Special counsel Robert Mueller and investigative reporters have uncovered and assembled a picture of a presidential campaign and transition seemingly infected by unprecedented deceit and criminality, and in regular—almost obsequious—contact with America’s leading foreign adversary.”

Nothing Mueller Tells Us Is Worse Than What We Know

December 7, 2018 at 8:22 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

With multiple court filings this week, special counsel Robert Mueller filled in some missing pieces about his investigation and raised many more questions. But much of the commentary still focuses on whether there is proof that President Trump knowingly cooperated — or colluded — with the Russians to win the 2016 presidential election.

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Quote of the Day

December 7, 2018 at 7:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Totally clears the President. Thank you!”

— President Trump, on Twitter, presumably commenting on sentencing recommendations made by prosecutors for his former personal lawyer, Michael Cohen.

Mueller Details Manafort’s Lies

December 7, 2018 at 7:26 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Special counsel Robert Mueller told a judge Friday that Paul Manafort told “multiple dis­cern­ible lies” during interviews with prosecutors, including about his contacts with an employee who is alleged to have ties to Russian intelligence, the Washington Post reports.

However, Mueller’s prosecutors “filed a portion of the document under seal and redacted other key points from view. But they said that Manafort had told numerous lies in five different areas, including about his contacts with Konstantin Kilimnik, a Russian employee of Manafort’s political consulting firm who prosecutors have said has Russian intelligence ties.”

Cohen Contacted Russian Seeking ‘Political Synergy’

December 7, 2018 at 6:05 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Special counsel Robert Mueller credited Michael Cohen with significant cooperation — including providing “useful information concerning certain discrete Russia-related matters core to its investigation that he obtained by virtue of his regular contact” with Trump organization executives during the campaign, as well as “relevant and useful information concerning his contacts with persons connected to the White House during the 2017–2018 time period,” the Washington Post reports.

They revealed that Cohen told them of what seemed to be a previously unknown November 2015 contact from a Russian national, who claimed to be a “trusted person” in the Russian Federation offering the campaign “political synergy” and “synergy on a government level.”

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Machine Politics: “Machine politics” is a phenomenon sometimes seen in an urban political context, especially in the 19th and 20th centuries.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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