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Manchin Holds Solid Lead In West Virginia

June 20, 2018 at 2:40 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll in West Virginia finds Sen. Joe Manchin (D) holds a solid lead over challenger Patrick Morrisey (R), 48% to 39% among all voters.

“Another 4% support Don Blankenship, who is seeking to run as the Constitution Party candidate after losing his bid for the GOP nomination. West Virginia has a “sore loser” law that may prevent him from appearing on the general election ballot. When Blankenship’s supporters are reallocated to their second choice, Manchin maintains a 49% to 42% lead.”

“The race looks very similar using two different likely voter models. A historical midterm model gives Manchin a 49% to 40% lead over Morrisey with Blankenship in the race, and a 50% to 43% lead without. Using a model that includes a turnout surge in areas where Democrats tend to perform more strongly gives a Manchin a 50% to 39% lead when including Blankenship and 51% to 42% lead without the Constitution Party candidate.”

Pope Francis Criticizes Trump Policy

June 20, 2018 at 2:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Pope Francis “has criticized the Trump administration’s policy of separating migrant families at the Mexican border, saying populism is not the answer to the world’s immigration problems,” Reuters reports.

Bloomberg to Spend $80 Million on Midterms

June 20, 2018 at 1:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Michael Bloomberg, the billionaire former mayor of New York City, has decided to throw his political clout and personal fortune behind the Democratic campaign to take control of the House of Representatives this year, directing aides to spend tens of millions of dollars in an effort to expel Republicans from power,” the New York Times reports.

“Mr. Bloomberg — a political independent who has championed left-of-center policies on gun control, immigration and the environment — has approved a plan to pour at least $80 million into the 2018 election, with the bulk of that money going to support Democratic congressional candidates, advisers to Mr. Bloomberg said.”


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Trump Will End Migrant Family Separations

June 20, 2018 at 12:25 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen is working with White House lawyers to draft an executive action that will end the Trump administration’s practice of separating migrant families at the border,” Politico reports.

“The action will direct the Department of Homeland Security to keep families together and will instruct the Department of Defense to help house the families because many of the detention centers are at capacity, the source said.”

“President Trump is expected to sign the action, the source added.”

Racial Fear Is Key to Trump’s Support Among Evangelicals

June 20, 2018 at 8:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Janelle Wong: “My research indicates white evangelical conservatism correlates strongly with their perceptions anti-white discrimination, even after taking into account economic status, party, age and region. Fully 50 percent of white evangelical respondents to our 2016 survey reported feeling they face discrimination that’s comparable to, or even higher than, the discrimination they believe Muslim Americans face. Those who hold this perception are more likely to hold conservative attitudes on issues as wide-ranging as climate change, tax policy and health-care reform.”

“Here’s what is not behind these beliefs: economic anxiety. Like PRRI and political scientist Diana Mutz, I find economic anxiety isn’t a primary reason for supporting Trump. Rather, white evangelicals fear losing racial status. White evangelicals’ perceptions they’re the targets of discrimination – more so than other groups — influence far more than simply their votes for Trump.”

“Yes, 80 percent of white evangelicals supported Donald Trump in 2016. And the racial fears and anxieties that underlie their support for the president will probably remain the driver in their political views long after he leaves office.”

Trump Media Allies Struggle to Defend Separation Policy

June 20, 2018 at 8:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s top allies in the media have struggled this week to formulate a coherent defense of his administration’s immigration crackdown, oscillating between talking points to provide the president cover for the widely-condemned zero-tolerance policy that has resulted in children being separated from their parents at the southern border,” CNN reports.

“Members of the pro-Trump media seemed to share the same goal: Fending off an onslaught of criticism directed at the White House by members of both political parties. But the ways in which each defender has gone about doing this differed, ranging from falling back on tropes and arguments often employed by white nationalists, to portraying immigrants as threats, to outright dismissing the controversy as part of a fictitious plot.”

Quote of the Day

June 20, 2018 at 7:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Womp womp.”

— Former Trump campaign manager Corey Lewandowski, on Fox News, after it was mentioned that a 10-year-old girl with Down Syndrome was separated from her mother at the border.

Youngest Migrants Sent to ‘Tender Age’ Shelters

June 20, 2018 at 7:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Trump administration officials have been sending babies and other young children forcibly separated from their parents at the U.S.-Mexico border to at least three “tender age” shelters in South Texas,” the AP reports.

“Lawyers and medical providers who have visited the Rio Grande Valley shelters described play rooms of crying preschool-age children in crisis. The government also plans to open a fourth shelter to house hundreds of young migrant children in Houston, where city leaders denounced the move Tuesday.”

The Hill reports that MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow broke down in tears on-air over the report about “tender age” shelters.

Republicans No Closer to Passing Immigration Bill

June 20, 2018 at 6:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Senior House Republicans learned late Tuesday night that they were far from the 218 votes needed to pass a compromise immigration package after doing a whip check on the bill, according to multiple GOP lawmakers and aides. Some conservatives warned that Trump was not specific enough in his support of the leadership’s bill. Others simply continued to worry about blowback from the far right for supporting anything that could be labeled ‘amnesty.’”

Said one top GOP lawmaker: “It did not move the needle at all. He made comments like ‘I’m behind it 1,000 percent,’ but what is ‘it’?”

Newsom Holds Huge Lead In California

June 20, 2018 at 6:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new USC/Los Angeles Times poll in California finds Gavin Newsom (D) leading John Cox (R) in the race for governor by a wide margin, 45% to 28%.

White House Says China Has More to Lose In Trade War

June 20, 2018 at 5:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on almost every Chinese product that comes into the United States intensified the possibility of a damaging trade war, sending stock markets tumbling on Tuesday and drawing a rebuke from retailers, tech companies and manufacturers,” the New York Times reports.

“The Trump administration remained unmoved by those concerns, with a top trade adviser, Peter Navarro, insisting that China has more to lose from a trade fight than the United States. He also declared that Mr. Trump would not allow Beijing to simply buy its way out of an economic dispute by promising to import more American goods.”

U.S. Withdraws from U.N. Human Rights Council

June 20, 2018 at 2:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration announced its departure from the United Nations’ main human rights body Tuesday, its latest withdrawal from an international institution,” CNBC reports.

Said United Nations ambassador Nikki Haley: “For too long, the human rights council has been a protector of human rights abusers and a cesspool of political bias.”

The announcement “comes just a day after the U.N. human rights chief denounced the Trump administration for separating migrant children from their parents.”

Trump Tells Even More Lies

June 20, 2018 at 12:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “President Trump — a man already known for trafficking in mistruths and even outright lies — has been outdoing even himself with falsehoods in recent days, repeating and amplifying bogus claims on several of the most pressing controversies facing his presidency.”

“Since Saturday, Trump has tweeted false or misleading information at least seven times on the topic of immigration and at least six times on a Justice Department inspector general report into the FBI’s handling of its investigation into Hillary Clinton’s private email server. That’s more than a dozen obfuscations on just two central topics — a figure that does not include falsehoods on other issues, whether in tweets or public remarks.“

GOP Can’t Agree How to End Separation Policy

June 20, 2018 at 12:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Congressional Republicans moved on Tuesday to defuse an escalating political crisis over immigration, but failed to agree on how to end President Trump’s policy of separating immigrant children from parents who cross illegally into the United States,” the New York Times reports.

“The Senate had one plan, and the House another. Mr. Trump remained defiant, refusing to act on his own.”

Washington Post: “President Trump implored anxious House Republicans to fix the nation’s immigration system but did not offer a clear path forward amid the growing uproar over his administration’s decision to separate migrant families at the border.”

Trump’s Deputy Chief of Staff Resigns

June 19, 2018 at 5:46 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

White House deputy chief of staff Joe Hagin, “who led the U.S. advance team for President Trump’s summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in Singapore, is resigning,” the AP reports.

“One official said Hagin had wanted to leave some months ago, but was persuaded to stay by White House Chief of Staff John Kelly.“

Giuliani Says FBI Interviewed Him on Leaks

June 19, 2018 at 5:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Rudy Giuliani says FBI agents interviewed him in his room at the Trump International Hotel earlier this year regarding his 2016 remarks predicting a ‘surprise’ in the closing days of the presidential race that would benefit then-Republican nominee Donald Trump,” the HuffPost reports.

Said Giuliani: “That’s all they asked about. What was I talking about in terms of ‘surprise’? What was I talking about when I was talking about new information?”

“Giuliani was a top campaign adviser in the summer and autumn of 2016 and is now leading the team of lawyers representing Trump in special counsel Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation. His disclosure of the February interview confirms the existence of a Justice Department investigation into leaks from the bureau’s New York field office that may have cost Democrat Hillary Clinton the election.”

Trump’s Lies Might Finally Catch Up with Him

June 19, 2018 at 4:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

President Trump meets with House Republicans this evening to urge them to back an immigration bill that he pledged to veto just five days ago.

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‘A Small Gesture of Appreciation’

June 19, 2018 at 4:04 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The political news just doesn’t stop these days, so it was nice to get this email from a reader:

For quite some time — years, I suppose — I have been a loyal reader who unfortunately has not been a loyal supporter. A bit of excess income has made it possible for me to finally be a subscriber, but I am aware that it is only a small gesture of appreciation for my daily perusal of your blog, a habit that I’ve been happy to cultivate years. Yours is by far the best political news source that I have encountered, and anyone who spends time on the site would surely agree. Clear, concise and curated with expertise — what more could I ask for?

I’ve found myself checking Political Wire daily — often more than once a day — for several years, and unlike other politically oriented sites, somehow it never grows old.

Join today for just $5 a month or $50 a year — and you’ll also get exclusive analysis, new features and no advertising.

Thanks to everyone who supports Political Wire!

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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