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CIA Says North Korea Won’t Denuclearize

May 29, 2018 at 6:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A new U.S. intelligence assessment has concluded that North Korea does not intend to give up its nuclear weapons any time soon, three U.S. officials told NBC News — a finding that conflicts with recent statements by President Trump that Pyongyang intends to do so in the future.”

“President Trump is continuing to pursue a nuclear summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un even though the CIA analysis, which is consistent with other expert opinion, casts doubt on the viability of Trump’s stated goal for the negotiations, the elimination of North Korea’s nuclear weapons stockpile.”

“In an odd twist, a list of potential concessions by North Korea in the CIA analysis included the possibility that Kim Jong Un may consider offering to open a Western hamburger franchise in Pyongyang as a show of goodwill.”

Greitens Announces His Resignation

May 29, 2018 at 5:21 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Scandal-plagued Missouri Gov. Eric Greitens (R) announced that he will resign from office after being subpoenaed to testify before an impeachment committee over allegations including sexual misconduct and misuse of charity donor lists for his political campaign.

His resignation will be effective on June 1 at 5 p.m.

St. Louis Post-Dispatch: “Word of the announcement came after damaging testimony by a former campaign aide and a ruling by a judge forcing Greitens’ team to reveal fundraising information.”

GOP Lawmaker Blames Porn for School Shootings

May 29, 2018 at 4:49 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Diane Black (R-TN) said that pornography is a “big part” of what is driving the spike in school shootings, the HuffPost reports.

Said Black: “It’s available on the shelf when you walk in the grocery store. Yeah, you have to reach up to get it, but there’s pornography there. All of this is available without parental guidance. I think that is a big part of the root cause.”

She didn’t clarify what it is about porn that she thinks is leading to school massacres.


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Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

May 29, 2018 at 3:21 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“If I was a millennial, I’d delete everything I said and did online. Jon Ossoff forgot to do that.”

— Congressional Leadership Fund executive director Corry Bliss, quoted by Politico, on millennial candidates.

ABC Cancels ‘Roseanne’ After Racist Rant

May 29, 2018 at 1:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

ABC canceled its hit sitcom “Roseanne” on Tuesday after the show’s biggest star, Roseanne Barr, went on a racist Twitter rant, CNN reports.

Barr had posted a comment about former Obama adviser Valerie Jarrett that said if “muslim brotherhood & planet of the apes had a baby=vj.”

According to Variety, series co-star Sara Gilbert condemned Barr’s comments: “Roseanne’s recent comments about Valerie Jarrett, and so much more, are abhorrent and do not reflect the beliefs of our cast and crew or anyone associated with our show. I am disappointed in her actions to say the least. This is incredibly sad and difficult for all of us.”

Study Links Intolerance with Support for Authoritarianism

May 29, 2018 at 1:25 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new study finds a correlation “between white American’s intolerance, and support for authoritarian rule. In other words, when intolerant white people fear democracy may benefit marginalized people, they abandon their commitment to democracy,” NBC News reports.

“The World Values Survey data used is from the period 1995 to 2011 — well before Donald Trump’s 2016 run for president. It suggests, though, that Trump’s bigotry and his authoritarianism are not separate problems, but are intertwined. When Trump calls Mexicans “rapists,” and when he praises authoritarian leaders, he is appealing to the same voters.”

Trump’s Survival Plan Is Blame Obama

May 29, 2018 at 1:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Daily Beast: “Broadsides against his predecessor are nothing new for Trump. Nor are the false and misleading suggestions that President Obama snooped on him during his campaign. In early 2017, Trump very publicly, and erroneously, accused Obama of wiretapping him in 2016.”

“What stood out about the weekend’s salvo was the vitriol, perhaps panic, behind it and the frostiness it underscored about the relationship between the two most recent Oval Office occupants.”

“According to two White House officials, Trump has been privately wondering whether Obama is actively working behind the scenes to undermine or undercut his presidency. And he’s done so without bothering to pick up the phone to ask or confront his predecessor. Obama and Trump have not spoken since the inauguration.”

How Trump Uses the Russia Probe to His Benefit

May 29, 2018 at 12:31 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The following post for members is by Leonard Steinhorn, Professor of Communication at American University and a CBS Radio News Political Analyst.

From the beginning of the Russia probe we’ve assumed that President Trump has viewed the investigation as an existential threat to the legitimacy of his election and his presidency overall. And because of that – in true Roy Cohn fashion – he has tried to undermine the investigators, pressure law enforcement, discredit the evidence, and frame the entire episode as a “witch hunt” against his presidency. The President counterpunches, the narrative tells us, to prevent an epic political downfall.

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Bonus Quote of the Day

May 29, 2018 at 12:21 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I don’t even know his name. I forget it.”

— Actor Antonio Sabato Jr. (R), quoted by the Ventura County Star, on Republican opponent Jeffrey Burum.

Both Parties Gaming California’s Top Two Primaries

May 29, 2018 at 12:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “On the GOP side, President Trump has endorsed Republican John Cox for governor, trying to unite California Republicans around a single candidate, which could help drive turnout in the House and downballot races… In addition, House Republicans have opened an office in Southern California to spur GOP turnout in the three key House districts.”

“On the Democratic side, the DCCC has been airing TV ads both in favor of their preferred candidates in these crowded primaries (see here and here) and against Republican candidates (see here and here). And while House Democrats want two Democrats at the top of the ticket for governor – to drive Dem turnout and depress the GOP’s – gubernatorial frontrunner Gavin Newsom prefers a Republican opponent, since someone like fellow Democrat Antonio Villaraigosa represents a greater general-election threat than either of the two leading GOP candidates (Cox and Travis Allen).”

“What’s fascinating about all of these races is that they’re essentially margin-of-error contests to make the Top 2, where candidates in positions No. 2, No. 3 and even No. 4 are separated by just a handful of points in the public and private polling. All of which makes the June 5 primaries – and the strategies going into them – quite a game.”

Vox: California’s “top two” primary chaos, explained.

Tailspin

May 29, 2018 at 11:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A must-read: Tailspin: The People and Forces Behind America’s Fifty-Year Fall–and Those Fighting to Reverse It by Steven Brill.

Harvard Study Estimates Thousands Died in Puerto Rico

May 29, 2018 at 10:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“At least 4,645 people died as a result of Hurricane Maria and its devastation across Puerto Rico last year, according to a new Harvard study released Tuesday, an estimate that far exceeds the official government death toll, which stands at 64,” the Washington Post reports.

Democrats Are Running a Smart, Populist Campaign

May 29, 2018 at 10:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Leonhardt: “Stacey Abrams and Conor Lamb are supposed to represent opposite poles of the Trump-era Democratic Party. She is the new progressive heroine — the first black woman to win a major-party nomination for governor, who will need a surge of liberal turnout to win Georgia. He is the new centrist hero — the white former Marine who flipped a Western Pennsylvania congressional district with support from gun-loving, abortion-opposing Trump voters.”

“But when you spend a little time listening to both Abrams and Lamb, you notice something that doesn’t fit the storyline: They sound a lot alike.”

“They emphasize the same issues, and talk about them in similar ways. They don’t come across as avatars of some Bernie-vs.-Hillary battle for the party’s soul. They come across as ideological soul mates, both upbeat populists who focus on health care, education, upward mobility and the dignity of work.”

Rowland Released from Prison Again

May 29, 2018 at 9:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Connecticut Gov. John Rowland (R) “is a free man again after serving his second prison sentence,” the Connecticut Post reports.

“Rowland, who turned 61 the day before his release, was convicted in 2014 of election fraud and obstruction of justice for hiding his political consulting roles in two campaigns. He began serving a 30-month sentence in fall 2016, at a minimum security prison camp in Pennsylvania.”

“It was his second stay in federal prison. Rowland’s 2004 federal corruption conviction also led to his incarceration, and to the state’s landmark public campaign financing program.”

GOP Candidates Rally Around Trump

May 29, 2018 at 9:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rick Klein: “Trump’s visit Tuesday to Nashville highlights the unmistakable trend: There is virtually no room between Trump and the Senate candidates hoping to maintain his Republican majority this year. And Republicans appear far more comfortable touting Trump’s leadership than Democrats do arguing against it.”

“Trump claimed that his sway drove Sen. Bob Corker from running for another term in Tennessee, and kept him out when he flirted with returning after all.”

“In his place is Rep. Marsha Blackburn, who faces only nominal opposition in August’s GOP primary. She is set to join nominees who have already emerged out of states including Indiana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia, by winning fights that centered on who the most staunch Trump loyalist would be.”

Quote of the Day

May 29, 2018 at 8:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I don’t think that I would point to the president as a role model for my grandkids on the basis of his personal style. He has departed in some cases from the truth, and has attacked in a way that I think is not entirely appropriate. I think that his policies have been by and large a good deal better than I might have expected. But some of the things he has said are not ones that I would aspire for my grandkids to adopt.”

— Utah U.S. Senate candidate Mitt Romney (R), in an interview with NBC News.

Democrats Improve Midterm Odds In Updated Forecast

May 29, 2018 at 8:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The following post for members is by G. Elliott Morris of The Crosstab.

Forecasting is both an art and a science. We make predictions based on statistically significant relationships in historical data and on “assumptions” — observations about how an event operates in the real world. Good forecast models account both for what we know about these relationships and adjust for what we do not know.

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Trump Takes Over Key Functions of White House

May 29, 2018 at 8:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “The White House communications director’s job has been vacant for exactly two months. But in practice, it has been filled since the day Hope Hicks said farewell to her unofficial replacement — President Trump himself.”

“The president also has unofficially performed the roles of many other senior staffers in recent months, leaving the people holding those jobs to execute on his instincts and ideas. And that’s exactly how Trump likes his West Wing.”

“Largely gone are the warring factions that dominated life at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue in the first year of Trump’s term, replaced by solo players — many with personal connections to the president and their own miniature fiefdoms — laboring to do their jobs and survive.”

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Word of the Day

Lay on the Table: In a legislative context, to “lay on the table” refers to the action of temporarily postponing consideration of a motion or bill.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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