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The Women Who Could Elect Roy Moore

December 5, 2017 at 8:44 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ron Brownstein: “If Republican Roy Moore wins next week’s Senate special election in Alabama, it will be largely because of his support among women.”

“More specifically, Moore’s ability to survive the allegations of sexually pursuing young girls, which have rocked his campaign, will likely turn on whether he can maintain his pre-scandal advantage among white women without a college education — even as their college-educated counterparts have moved toward Democrat Doug Jones in much bigger numbers than usual for deeply conservative Alabama, according to public and private polling in the race.”

Key takeaway: “In the Trump era, the class divide looks more powerful than the gender divide, especially among whites.”

Government Shutdown Looms

December 5, 2017 at 8:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “The government shuts down on Friday. Meadows — the leader of a bloc of more than 30 conservatives — says he does not like the GOP leadership plan. Democrats have no intent to help Republican leaders pass a stop gap measure. And the first serious talks between principals — Democratic and Republican leaders and President Donald Trump — is Thursday, the day before the funding deadline.”

Woman Says Conyers Groped Her In Church

December 5, 2017 at 8:28 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A woman who says she worked for Rep. John Conyers (D-MI) for more than a decade says he slid his hand up her skirt and rubbed her thighs while she was sitting next to him in the front row of a church,” the AP reports.


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House Conservatives Almost Topple Tax Vote

December 5, 2017 at 8:27 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“House conservatives threatened to derail a key tax vote on Monday in an attempt to win more influence over the GOP’s spending strategy, just four days before the deadline to fund the government. In a dramatic political stunt, more than a dozen members of the House Freedom Caucus withheld their support for a crucial procedural vote on the GOP’s tax bill, threatening an embarrassing blow to GOP leadership,” Politico reports.

“The conservatives eventually relented, approving what had been thought to be a formality — a motion to appoint negotiators to hammer out a final tax bill with the Senate. But the frenzy on the House floor underscored the divisions within the GOP over a spending strategy this month, and that the Republicans’ march toward overhauling the tax code — which has proceeded with relatively little drama so far — could get caught up in the process.”

Playbook: “This is a good reminder: The Freedom Caucus, when it’s unified, can control the outcome on the House floor.”

Women Are Evenly Split on Trump Impeachment

December 5, 2017 at 8:06 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new PRRI survey finds 40% Americans say that, based on what they have heard or read, President Trump should be impeached and removed from office, while 56% of the public disagrees.

Women express greater support for impeachment than men. Women are evenly divided over whether Trump should be impeached — 48% favor, 48% oppose — while just 31% of men favor this action.

New Defense by Trump Lawyers Dismissed By Scholars

December 5, 2017 at 7:18 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The brazen assertion Monday by one of President Trump’s lawyers that a president cannot be found guilty of obstruction of justice signaled a controversial defense strategy in the wide-ranging Russia probe, as Trump’s political advisers are increasingly concerned about the legal advice he is receiving,” the Washington Post reports.

“Inside the White House, some senior officials were baffled that Dowd publicly offered this interpretation of the law, which has been advanced since the summer by constitutional scholar Alan Dershowitz in defense of Trump but flatly dismissed by many other legal scholars.”

Mike Allen:  Trump’s survival plan.

Deutsche Bank Received Subpoena for Trump Finances

December 5, 2017 at 7:10 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Special counsel Robert Mueller has asked Deutsche Bank to share data on accounts held by President Trump and his family, Reuters reports.

“Germany’s largest bank received a subpoena from Mueller several weeks ago to provide information on certain money and credit transactions… Deutsche Bank, which has loaned the Trump organization millions of dollars for real estate ventures, said it would not comment on any of its clients.”

Pence Contemplated Coup to Replace Trump on Ticket

December 5, 2017 at 7:04 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Following the release of the Access Hollywood tape last year, Vice President Mike Pence made it clear to the RNC he was ready to take Trump’s place as the presidential nominee, The Atlantic reports.

“The furtive plotting, several sources told me, was not just an act of political opportunism for Pence. He was genuinely shocked by the Access Hollywood tape. In the short time they’d known each other, Trump had made an effort to convince Pence that—beneath all the made-for-TV bluster and bravado—he was a good-hearted man with faith in God. On the night of the vice-presidential debate, for example, Trump had left a voicemail letting Pence know that he’d just said a prayer for him. The couple was appalled by the video, however. Karen in particular was ‘disgusted,’ says a former campaign aide. ‘She finds him reprehensible—just totally vile.'”

Ex-GOP Chair on Trial for Election Fraud

December 4, 2017 at 11:06 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Fox News Denver: “Just weeks before the 2016 presidential election, Steve Curtis told his radio listeners ‘Virtually every case of voter fraud, that I can remember in my lifetime was committed by Democrats or do I not have the facts?’”

“Now Curtis, the chairman of Colorado’s Republican party in the late 1990’s and a former talk show host… is on trial… charged with forgery, a felony and election fraud, a misdemeanor.”

Trump Mulls Creating Private Spy Network

December 4, 2017 at 10:52 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration is considering a set of proposals developed by Blackwater founder Erik Prince and a retired CIA officer — with assistance from Oliver North, a key figure in the Iran-Contra scandal — to provide CIA Director Mike Pompeo and the White House with a global, private spy network that would circumvent official U.S. intelligence agencies,” The Intercept reports.

“The sources say the plans have been pitched to the White House as a means of countering ‘deep state’ enemies in the intelligence community seeking to undermine Trump’s presidency.”

Said one former intelligence official: “Pompeo can’t trust the CIA bureaucracy, so we need to create this thing that reports just directly to him,”

Manafort Associate Has Ties to Russian Intelligence

December 4, 2017 at 10:14 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Federal prosecutors asserted that a longtime associate of Paul Manafort, the former chairman of President Trump’s campaign, has been “assessed to have ties” to Russian intelligence — the first time the special counsel has alleged a Trump official had such contacts, the Washington Post reports.

House GOP Already Shooting Down Tax Promises

December 4, 2017 at 9:03 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“House conservatives are already indicating that they’re prepared to block some of the key legislative promises that Senate Republicans demanded in exchange for their vote on tax reform legislation,” the Daily Beast reports.

“Those promises materialized in the frantic final hours of the tax debate last week, as Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) gave Sens. Susan Collins (R-ME) and Jeff Flake (R-AZ) assurances that some of their personal legislative priorities would be dealt with in exchange for their votes.”

“Both senators ended up voting for the tax bill, giving it the 51 ‘yes’ votes it needed to pass. Within days, however, reality began setting in that those promises might have been flimsy at best.”

Trump Endorsement Triggers Ad Buy for Roy Moore

December 4, 2017 at 9:01 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s endorsement of Alabama Senate candidate Roy Moore triggered a flood of financial support, as America First Action invested $1.1 million in advertising on television and other venues just days before a crucial special election,” the Washington Examiner reports.

“The super PAC, affiliated with Trump’s official outside group, the political nonprofit America First Policies, saw the endorsement as a signal to enter the race on Moore’s behalf.”

Meanwhile, The Hill reports the RNC has reversed course and will now also provide support to Moore.

Director Defends FBI After Trump Criticism

December 4, 2017 at 8:44 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

FBI Director Christopher Wray defended his work force in an email after President Trump said on Twitter that the agency’s standing was the “worst in history” and its reputation was in “tatters,” the New York Times reports.

In a message to the F.B.I.’s 35,000 agents and support staff, Mr. Wray said that he was “inspired by example after example of professionalism and dedication to justice demonstrated around the bureau. It is truly an honor to represent you.”

“He did not mention Mr. Trump by name. But Mr. Wray’s remarks came one day after the president’s latest bashing of the country’s premier law enforcement agency.”

Trump Advised to Change Lawyers or Oust Mueller

December 4, 2017 at 7:35 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Associated Press reports that President Trump told “two close allies over the weekend that he believed he was in the clear and that Mueller’s team wouldn’t unveil any further charges… Both of the confidants said they disputed that assessment and urged Trump to go on the offensive, perhaps by firing his current lawyers or triggering a series of events that could lead to Mueller’s dismissal.”

“Trump did not suggest he was considering that approach. And one of the advisers, who speaks to Trump regularly, said the president had not discussed with him the possibility of issuing any pardons.”

For members: Will Trump Now Try to Fire Mueller?

Manafort Accused of Violating Bail Conditions

December 4, 2017 at 7:08 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Special counsel Robert Mueller accused President Trump’s former campaign manager, Paul Manafort, of working with a Russian colleague to draft an opinion piece about his political work for Ukraine, Reuters reports.

“Had it been published, prosecutors say it would have violated a Nov. 8 court order not to discuss the case publicly… Due to Manafort’s actions, prosecutors said the judge should reject his request to modify his bail conditions.”

Trump’s Approval Ties an All-Time Low

December 4, 2017 at 6:58 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gallup finds President Trump’s weekly job approval dropped to 35%, matching the lowest weekly average of his tenure so far.

Pence Pleads Ignorance as Russia Probe Deepens

December 4, 2017 at 6:56 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“As the White House contends with questions about who knew about former national security adviser Michael Flynn lying to the FBI, people close to Vice President Mike Pence are trying to make clear that President Donald Trump’s No. 2 knew nothing at all,” Politico reports.

“Pence’s aides have maintained for months that their man was out of the loop, blissfully ignorant to contacts between the Trump campaign and various foreign actors, from the Russian ambassador to WikiLeaks.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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