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Sanders Makes Moves Towards Possible 2020 Bid

November 27, 2017 at 7:06 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Bernie Sanders is taking steps to address longstanding political shortcomings that were exposed in 2016, ahead of another possible presidential bid in 2020,” Politico reports.

“From forging closer ties to the labor movement to shoring up his once-flimsy foreign policy credentials, the moves have provided the senator inroads into party power structures that largely shunned him in favor of Hillary Clinton last year. They’ve also empowered the progressive icon to harness his newfound political power and help Democrats fight President Trump’s administration.”

GOP Plan Hurts Poor More Than Originally Thought

November 26, 2017 at 11:17 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Senate Republican tax plan gives substantial tax cuts and benefits to Americans earning more than $100,000 a year, while the nation’s poorest would be worse off, according to a report released Sunday by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office,” the Washington Post reports.

“By 2019, Americans earning less than $30,000 a year would be worse off under the Senate bill, CBO found. By 2021, Americans earning $40,000 or less would be net losers, and by 2027, most people earning less than $75,000 a year would be worse off. On the flip side, millionaires and those earning $100,000 to $500,000 would be big beneficiaries, according to CBO calculations.”

“The main reason the poor get hit so hard in the Senate GOP bill is because the poor would receive less government aid for health care.”

Congress Pressured to End Secrecy Over Settlements

November 26, 2017 at 11:06 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Lawmakers are facing mounting pressure to end Capitol Hill’s culture of secrecy over sexual harassment as they return from a holiday break, with members of both parties calling for Congress to overhaul its handling of misconduct claims and to unmask lawmakers who have paid settlements using taxpayer money,” the New York Times reports.

”The House is expected this week to adopt a bipartisan resolution mandating that all members and their staffs participate in anti-harassment and anti-discrimination training; the Senate has already adopted such a resolution. The more difficult task will be passing legislation that overhauls the way sexual harassment claims are handled.”


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Lies Have Long Been Trump’s Most Potent Weapon

November 26, 2017 at 7:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Swan points to this passage in Harry Hurt’s 1993 book, Lost Tycoon: The Many Lives of Donald J. Trump, which explains how Trump reacted after a string of high-profile reports that suggested his real net worth was far below what he claimed:

Donald responds with a desperate disinformation campaign… He orders his public relations network to plant rumors in the tabloid press that he is sitting on a multibillion-dollar treasure trove of cash. New York Post columnist Cindy Adams is the first — but by no means the last — to take the bait.

“Everyone’s heard tales about how poor D.T. is leveraged out, how even his Taj is up for grabs because he needs money. Bullbleep,” Adams writes in her column of May 22, 1990. Alluding to a Forbes cover story without mentioning it by name, she declares that Donald is hardly down to his last half billion dollars. “How these august respectable financial journals overlooked certain hidden pockets in Donald’s wallet, I haven’t the foggiest… This guy is sitting on 4 billion. Cash. Billion with a ‘b.'”

Lose These Three Senators and the Tax Bill Is Dead

November 26, 2017 at 6:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Assuming Democrats stand firmly against the GOP’s proposed tax bill, Senate leaders can only afford to lose two Republican senators or it won’t pass. They had hoped to have the necessary votes locked down by now, but they still don’t have the 50 they need.

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Quote of the Day

November 26, 2017 at 3:33 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“If this is who we are or who we are becoming, I have wasted 40 years of my life. Until now it was not possible for me to conceive of an American President capable of such an outrageous assault on truth, a free press or the first amendment.”

— Gen. Michael Hayden, on Twitter, in response to a tweet from President Trump.

The Case Against Roy Moore

November 26, 2017 at 3:02 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

William Saletan: “The battle within the Republican Party has come down to this: Is it OK for a 32-year-old man to seduce a 14-year-old girl?”

“On one side are the National Republican Senatorial Committee, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, and House Speaker Paul Ryan. They have disowned Roy Moore, the party’s nominee for the U.S. Senate in Alabama, over allegations that he targeted, and in some cases molested, minors and other teen girls. On the other side are social conservatives, including Alabama’s state auditor, who argue that courtship between an older man and a teenage girl is consensual, biblical, good for the girl, and grounded in the natural attraction of a godly man to the ‘purity of a young woman.’ Alongside the purity camp is the tolerance camp, led by Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey. These Republicans don’t deny the allegations or endorse Moore’s conduct, but they support him anyway, reasoning that other issues are more important.”

Franken Says He’s ‘Embarrassed and Ashamed’

November 26, 2017 at 2:58 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Al Franken (D-MN) broke his eight-day silence Sunday, after keeping a low profile since four different women shared accounts of being groped, embarrassed and, in one case, forcibly kissed, the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.

Said Franken: “I’m embarrassed and ashamed. I’ve let a lot of people down and I’m hoping I can make it up to them and gradually regain their trust.”

He noted that he has posed for “tens of thousands of photos” over the years, but does not remember any that ended with his hand sliding down to cup women’s backsides: “I don’t remember these photographs, I don’t. This is not something I would intentionally do.”

Franken also gave an interview to Minnesota Public Radio.

Conyers Will Step Aside on Judiciary Committee

November 26, 2017 at 12:37 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. John Conyers (D-MI) is stepping down as the ranking member of the House Judiciary Committee pending an investigation into allegations of sexual harassment, The Hill reports.

Trump Suggested ‘Access Hollywood’ Tape Was Fake

November 26, 2017 at 12:24 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump suggested to a senator earlier this year that the “Access Hollywood” video — in which he boasted about grabbing women’s genitalia — “was not authentic, and repeated that claim to an adviser more recently,” the New York Times reports.

Of course, “in the hours after it was revealed in October 2016, Mr. Trump acknowledged that the voice was his, and he apologized.”

Democrats Face Major Challenges In Rural Iowa

November 26, 2017 at 12:16 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Democrats running in a crowded primary race for Iowa governor are confronting an uncomfortable reality: Their party’s reputation is in tatters in rural Iowa,” the Des Moines Register reports.

“Democrats’ challenges in rural Iowa are plain to see in its electoral history over the last four election cycles. Since 2010, the party has lost six of seven races for president, governor or U.S. senator. Across those six losses, the party won just 15 of Iowa’s 99 counties; in five of those losses, the Democratic candidate carried fewer than 10 counties.”

Graham Says GOP Can’t Fail on Tax Plan

November 26, 2017 at 12:16 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) said that “failure is not an option” when it comes to the GOP’s effort on tax reform, The Hill reports.

Said Graham: “The economy needs a tax cut and the Republican Party needs to deliver, so I think we’ll get there.”

December Could Make or Break the Trump Presidency

November 26, 2017 at 9:18 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ryan Lizza: “Tuesday’s meeting at the White House between Trump and congressional leaders from both parties is meant to avoid a December 8th government shutdown. How much Republicans are willing to give Democrats may depend on the status of the G.O.P. tax bill. There are at least half a dozen G.O.P. senators with serious policy concerns regarding the tax proposal. And there are three Republican senators—John McCain and Jeff Flake, of Arizona, and Bob Corker, of Tennessee—who dislike Trump so much that they may be looking for reasons to oppose any legislation that empowers his Presidency. Republicans already have a ready-made conservative reason: the proposed tax changes will increase the deficit by $1.5 trillion.”

“If the tax bill is cruising through the Senate—McConnell wants a vote next week—there may be less incentive for Republicans to risk a shutdown. But if it dies next week, or is delayed, Trump will be under intense pressure to avoid ending the year with no major legislative accomplishments—and the chaos of a government shutdown. In order to keep the government running, Trump would have to strike another deal with Pelosi and Schumer and sign a bipartisan spending deal that includes major Democratic priorities.”

“As a result, Trump would end his first year in office with no Republican legislative accomplishments and two deals with Pelosi and Schumer that boost the Democratic agenda. If that seems likely to happen, it would enrage conservatives and the Republican base. For Trump, December could be the month that makes or breaks his first year in office.”

FBI Didn’t Warn Targets of Russian Hacking

November 26, 2017 at 9:09 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The FBI failed to notify scores of U.S. officials that Russian hackers were trying to break into their personal Gmail accounts despite having evidence for at least a year that the targets were in the Kremlin’s crosshairs,” the AP reports.

“Nearly 80 interviews with Americans targeted by Fancy Bear, a Russian government-aligned cyberespionage group, turned up only two cases in which the FBI had provided a heads-up. Even senior policymakers discovered they were targets only when the AP told them, a situation some described as bizarre and dispiriting.”

Senate Republicans Still Don’t Have Votes for Tax Bill

November 26, 2017 at 8:55 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “While the House passed the bill earlier this month, Republicans who see final passage as a make-or-break moment for the party are worried about potential turbulence in the Senate, which is expected to vote on its own version this week.”

“Six Senate Republicans are still withholding their support for the tax cut package — enough to tank it — and others in the party said they don’t want the difference-maker to be a lack of good messengers from the White House. And so far, the pitches don’t appear to be helping. A recent Quinnipiac University Poll found that 52 percent of voters oppose the GOP tax plans, and only 25 percent support them.”

Democrats Hold Wide Lead In Generic Ballot

November 26, 2017 at 8:41 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Hill: “Democrats lead their Republican rivals by 10.7 percent on the generic congressional ballot, according to the most recent RealClearPolitics average of available polling data. That mark is the highest the RCP’s average has gone since just before the 2010 elections, where Republicans netted 63 House seats.”

“It’s a gloomy sign for Republicans, and one that dovetails with President Trump’s sagging approval rating to boost Democratic optimism about taking the House and raises questions about whether Republicans will be able to take advantage of Democratic weakness on the Senate map.”

Historically Conservative Virginia County Goes Blue

November 26, 2017 at 8:22 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“For the first time since 1961, Chesterfield County backed a Democrat for governor — and the driving forces in this Richmond suburb included women who defiantly trumpeted a political label their party has ducked for decades,” the Washington Post reports.

“Until Gov.-elect Ralph Northam (D) won Chesterfield County three weeks ago, the stretch of suburban and rural communities southwest of Richmond had been considered reliably Republican.”

“Yet voters infuriated by Trump, many of them women and Hispanics who have migrated to the county in recent years, are redefining Chesterfield and alarming Virginia Republicans who have depended on the area to make up for the support the party lacks in urban areas.”

States Prepare to Shut Down Children’s Health Program

November 26, 2017 at 8:20 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Officials in nearly a dozen states are preparing to notify families that a crucial health insurance program for low-income children is running out of money for the first time since its creation two decades ago, putting coverage for many at risk by the end of the year,” the Washington Post reports.

“Congress missed a Sept. 30 deadline to extend funding for CHIP, as the Children’s Health Insurance Program is known. Nearly 9 million youngsters and 370,000 pregnant women nationwide receive care because of it.”

“Many states have enough money to keep their individual programs afloat for at least a few months, but five could run out in late December if lawmakers do not act. Others will start to exhaust resources the following month.”

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Word of the Day

Play in Peoria: To “play in Peoria” is a phrase meaning how well something will appeal to the heartland or mainstream America.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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