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Trump’s Trade War Is Starting to Hurt Americans

June 23, 2018 at 7:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Mr. Trump, who campaigned on a get-tough approach to trade, has said his tariffs would make trade pacts more fair and ultimately help American workers, farmers, manufacturers and other. But the situation could soon become politically perilous to Mr. Trump, whose trade policies are starting to inflict economic pain across the country, including in areas that are home to the voters who helped him win election.”

“Business owners across the country are fearing the worst and wondering if Mr. Trump, who calls himself a master negotiator, will get the better end of the deal. Here are the ways several American products are being affected.”

Can Trump Use Immigration to Stop a Blue Wave?

June 23, 2018 at 7:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New Yorker: “Trump’s ability to gin up fears about illegal immigration, more than perhaps any other issue, won him the White House. Headed into a midterm election that will be won by the political party that can better rally its base, Trump has remained determined to talk about immigration, even when others in his party have resisted. Indeed, Republican leaders on Capitol Hill were furious with Trump as the immigration controversy spiraled out of control this week—a time they had planned to spend celebrating the G.O.P. tax cut, along with the general strength of the economy, which they hope to make the centerpiece of their fall campaign.”

“On Monday, as the political pressure on Trump was escalating, I met with Kristen Soltis Anderson, a Republican pollster who has advised G.O.P. leaders about this fall’s elections at a couple of recent retreats. Trump, she told me, had a ‘freakishly stable’ approval rating; in such a polarized moment, people know where they stand on the President. She said that, unlike in previous midterm elections in which the incumbent President’s party has done poorly, voter enthusiasm for Trump has remained strong among Republican voters, even as a blue wave of Trump-hating Democrats has been building.”

Said Anderson: “The question is, if the blue wave is coming, have Republicans built a large enough wall to stop it?”

Britain’s Collusion Scandal Looks Exactly Like Trump’s

June 23, 2018 at 7:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Chait: “The most important thing to understand about the Russia scandal is that it perfectly fits a clear pattern of behavior. What Vladimir Putin is accused of doing to help Donald Trump win the presidency is essentially identical to what he is either accused of or proven to have done to help many other right-wing candidates in many other countries. As the plot in the United States is slowly exposed, a remarkably similar one in the United Kingdom is quickly surfacing.”

“Months before the United States narrowly elected Trump, the United Kingdom narrowly elected to withdraw from the European Union. Both votes advanced Russian foreign policy goals — in the latter case, by splitting up the Western alliance. (Trump has energetically pursued this strategy, too.) Russia employed many of the same tools to influence both elections. It deployed social-media bots and trolls to spread its message. It recruited friendly candidates who gave voice to previously marginal Russophile positions. And, as the newly surfaced evidence suggests, it indirectly financed the campaign.”

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It’s Different Than 2006

June 23, 2018 at 6:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Cook Political Report: “For much of 2017 and early 2018, GOP consultants of a certain age would tell us that this election had the same look, feel and smell of 2006; the last time Republicans had a terrible midterm election… Today, however, there are plenty of signs that 2018 isn’t like 2006.”

Earlier for members: Don’t Compare This Midterm Election to Previous Ones

Not Trumpy Enough

June 23, 2018 at 4:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Mark Sanford (R-SC): “I wasn’t Trump enough in the age of Trump — and so indeed I lost. As one of 435 members of the House, this shouldn’t matter to someone living in Fairfax or Cleveland, but, based on what I saw on election night, I think it will.”

“We should all be alarmed when dissenting voices are quashed. President Trump is not the first executive to want compliance from a legislative body, but he has taken it to a new level. This is more than a problem; it’s a challenge to one of the most basic of American tenets — that we can agree to disagree.”

Only 8 Cohen Communications Are Privileged

June 23, 2018 at 12:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Federal Court Judge Kimba Wood issued an order on Friday ruling that just eight items of communication, out of some 292,226 seized by the FBI from Michael Cohen’s office and home, were protected by attorney-client privilege.

Yet Another Issue for the Midterms

June 23, 2018 at 12:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

George Will: “Amid the carnage of Republican misrule in Washington, there is this glimmer of good news: The family-shredding policy along the southern border, the most telegenic recent example of misrule, clarified something. Occurring less than 140 days before elections that can reshape Congress, the policy has given independents and temperate Republicans — these are probably expanding and contracting cohorts, respectively — fresh if redundant evidence for the principle by which they should vote.”

Fortune reports Will has left the Republican Party.

Trump’s Shift Sets Off Clash at White House

June 23, 2018 at 12:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Tense arguments broke out at the White House over the past two days as top government officials clashed over how to carry out President Trump’s executive order on keeping together immigrant families at the Mexican border,” the New York Times reports.

“The disputes started Thursday night. They continued Friday as Kevin K. McAleenan, the commissioner of Customs and Border Protection, returned to the White House to question how his agency was supposed to detain parents and children together when the law requires that children not be held indefinitely in jail.”

Washington Post: “The White House’s hastily crafted executive order to end child separations spurred confusion and fights within the federal government, and second-guessing from the president who had demanded the order in the first place.“

‘These Aren’t Our Kids’

June 22, 2018 at 4:19 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Fox & Friends host Brian Kilmeade came to the defense of President Trump on Friday for his policy of forced family separation at the border between the U.S. and Mexico, New York magazine reports.

Said Kilmeade: “Like it or not, these aren’t our kids. Show them compassion, but it’s not like he’s doing this to the people of Idaho or Texas. These are people from another country.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

June 22, 2018 at 4:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I’m exploring the possibility.”

— Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-OR), quoted by the New Yorker, on running for president in 2020.

Trump’s Approval Rate Is Still In a Danger Zone

June 22, 2018 at 2:49 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

A new Gallup poll out this week showed President Trump’s approval rating at 45% — the highest since late January. The FiveThirtyEight polling average shows that his approval rate has actually been slowing ticking up since late last year.

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Student Discounts Are Back!

June 22, 2018 at 2:47 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard

A very generous reader has offered to underwrite discounted memberships for college students.

The first 30 students who send an email from their college email address, will get a coupon code for 40% off the annual membership.

I’m so appreciative of this amazing community.

Quote of the Day

June 22, 2018 at 12:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Well, the simple answer is that not enough Republicans are willing to do what we told the American people we were going to do when they elected us.”

— Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH), quoted by the Wall Street Journal, blaming his party for the failure to pass an immigration bill.

Trump Threatens 20% Tariff on European Cars

June 22, 2018 at 12:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump “threatened to unilaterally impose a 20 percent tariff on all automobile imports from Europe, further breaking from Republicans in Congress and front-running an investigation he had ordered from the Commerce Department into whether these imports harm the U.S.’s national security,” the Washington Post reports.

“It was the first time he had threatened to impose a specific level of tariffs on automobiles from Europe.”

The Fifty-Year Fall of America

June 22, 2018 at 12:20 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Steven Brill, author of Tailspin: The People and Forces Behind America’s Fifty-Year Fall — and Those Fighting to Reverse It, joins Chris Riback on Political Wire Conversations for a discussion on what’s wrong with the United States.

Sign up for Chris’s free newsletter and subscribe via iTunes or Google Play to get new episodes automatically downloaded to your phone.

Thanks to the Cook Political Report for sponsoring this episode.

Court Rules Warrant Is Needed for Cell Tower Records

June 22, 2018 at 12:12 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court on Friday put new restraints on law enforcement’s access to the ever-increasing amount of private information about Americans available in the digital age,” the Washington Post reports.

“In the specific case before the court, the justices ruled that authorities generally must obtain a warrant to gain access to cell-tower records that can provide a virtual timeline and map of a person’s whereabouts.”

“Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. wrote the 5 to 4 decision, in which he was joined by the court’s liberal members.”

Protestors Blast Sounds of Crying Kids for Nielsen

June 22, 2018 at 12:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“First, they drove her out of a Mexican restaurant, now people are protesting against Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen at her Virginia home by blasting out audio of crying immigrant children on her street,” the Daily Beast reports.

EPA Claims Pruitt Wrote Just One Email

June 22, 2018 at 12:04 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“An examination of Environmental Protection Agency chief Scott Pruitt’s government email accounts has uncovered only one message he wrote to anyone outside EPA during his first 10 months in office — a number that has watchdogs questioning whether he is communicating in private,” Politico reports.

“EPA says Pruitt mainly holds discussions in person or over the phone, which would explain the meager electronic trail for his external communications. But Pruitt’s critics remain suspicious — especially in light of all the steps the agency has taken to conceal his activities, from refusing to release his meeting calendars to installing a $43,000 soundproof booth in his office.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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