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Republicans Really Oppose All Immigration Now

June 26, 2018 at 8:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ron Brownstein: “The firestorm over the separation of children from their undocumented parents at the border has almost completely overshadowed another milestone in the long-running national immigration debate: Opposition to legal, as well as illegal, migration is hardening into a bedrock principle of the Republican Party.”

“The vast majority of congressional Republicans this year have now voted for Trump-backed legislation that would not only crack down on undocumented immigration but also severely constrict legal entry into the country, including for millions of those who, as Trump put it, have been ‘waiting on line for years’ to enter legally.”

A Perfect Photo Op for Democrats

June 26, 2018 at 7:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

With new reports that special counsel Robert Mueller is ready to focus on collusion allegations by Donald Trump’s presidential campaign and Russia — and possibly bring indictments — Trump’s attempts to plan a summit with Russian president Vladimir Putin seem particularly ill-timed.

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The Attempted Remaking of Michael Grimm

June 26, 2018 at 7:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Olivia Nuzzi has a must-read profile of former Rep. Michael Grimm (R-NY), who is attempting a comeback in a Republican primary for his old seat today.

“Grimm owned one of the most centrist records in the 111th Congress. And then, after only four years in office, he resigned and assumed a new title: inmate 83479-053. He pleaded guilty to one count of tax evasion after first being hit with a 20-count indictment related to his Upper East Side restaurant — mail and wire fraud, filing false tax returns, perjury, hiring and employing undocumented immigrants, and so on. The establishment was called Healthalicious…”

“In a more sane time in our political history, that might have been it for Michael Grimm’s political career. Maybe he’d have gotten lucky and ended up a Fox News pundit, or on the speaking circuit somewhere, or quietly and legally running Healthalicious 2.0. Fuhgeddabout holding office again as an ex-con best known for threatening graphic violence against a TV reporter as cameras rolled. But the sane times are over. In the ensuing handful of years, as he served his time in prison and got out, American politics came unglued in such a way that invited his return.”

McConnell’s Super PAC Targets Races In Three States

June 26, 2018 at 7:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Top allies of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell are diving into the midterm elections with an initial fall television advertising reservation of nearly $25 million,” the Washington Examiner reports.

“Senate Leadership Fund, financed by wealthy campaign contributors cultivated by the Kentucky Republican, is placing buys in Missouri, Nevada, and North Dakota in a bid to pad the GOP’s thin 51-49 majority. The group plans tens of millions more in advertising to begin after Labor Day, but is delaying to guard its November strategy.”

The Next Crisis May Be a Government Shutdown

June 26, 2018 at 6:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “The president is having lunch today with House and Senate appropriators — the people who write the spending bills — at the White House. Expect them to talk about the border wall. Anyone who tells you confidently that the government won’t shut down in September over an impasse about the border wall is, well, too confident.”

Mueller Poised to Zero In on Collusion Allegations

June 26, 2018 at 6:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Special counsel Robert Mueller “is preparing to accelerate his probe into possible collusion between Donald Trump’s presidential campaign and Russians who sought to interfere in the 2016 election,” Bloomberg reports.

“Mueller and his team of prosecutors and investigators have an eye toward producing conclusions — and possible indictments — related to collusion by fall… He’ll be able to turn his full attention to the issue as he resolves other questions, including deciding soon whether to find that Trump sought to obstruct justice.”

“Signs of suspicious Russian contacts first surfaced in late 2015… On three occasions, Russians offered people associated with Trump’s campaign dirt on Democrat Clinton — all before it was publicly known that Russians had hacked the Democratic National Committee and Clinton’s campaign chairman.”

Trump’s Legislative Agenda Is Over

June 26, 2018 at 6:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Swan: “For President Trump’s first term, the domestic agenda appears to be all but over. Congress has little chance of doing anything notable before the election, beyond confirming judges.”

“Whichever party ekes out a House win in November, the margin will likely be narrow. When we game out 2019 scenarios with administration officials, a number of them assume Republicans will lose the House. So Washington is gridlocked until at least January 2021 — meaning that this is it for signature legislation in Trump’s first term.”

“The idea of Trump shifting into bipartisan mode post-election seems unimaginable. He has chosen a strategy of hot partisan warfare that looks impossible to cool.”

House GOP Still Trying to Pass an Immigration Bill

June 26, 2018 at 6:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “They scheduled a vote this week for a ‘compromise’ bill negotiated by moderates and conservatives. Late last night, they dropped an 116-page amendment to that legislation, which would expand the e-Verify program and create a new agricultural guest worker program. This bill is scheduled to get a vote Wednesday, less than two days after the massive 116-page amendment was released. A vote could slip to Thursday — a party meeting this morning will help determine that. Top aides tell us it’s still unlikely this will pass. And the Senate is going to ignore it. So, that’s that.”

Trump Targets Sanford, McCain and Comedians at Rally

June 26, 2018 at 6:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “In a discursive 58-minute rally at Airport High School here, he attacked Arnold Schwarzenegger for his TV ratings, revived criticism of Rep. Mark Sanford (R-SC) for his extramarital affair on what Trump inaccurately called the ‘Tallahassee Trail,’ accused Sen. John McCain (R-AZ.) of ‘grandstanding,’ lamented the small high school gymnasium, misstated NATO spending, called home-state comedian Stephen Colbert a ‘lowlife,’ recited his long and recently soured history with comedian Jimmy Fallon over a hair tussle, and repeatedly mocked some of his predecessors as being worse than him.”

“Trump said that Democrats don’t like police officers… He exaggerated the U.S. trade deficit. He took credit for better ticket sales at the Olympics and seemingly even for more rockets going to space, describing SpaceX chief executive Elon Musk’s rockets to an apparently perplexed crowd.”

Tech Firms Held Meeting with Intelligence Agencies

June 26, 2018 at 5:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “The meeting with the FBI and Department of Homeland Security took place at Facebook’s headquarters last month and was also attended by Google, Apple, Microsoft and others… It was an attempt at dialogue and information-sharing that was absent during the 2016 presidential elections.”

“The nation’s top intelligence chiefs declared in February that the Kremlin is continuing its effort to disrupt the U.S. political system and to target the midterm elections. Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats said at the time that operatives plan to use propaganda, false personas, and bots to undermine the upcoming election.”

New York Times: “The meeting, which was initiated by Facebook, was seen as a hopeful first step to ensure that the midterms were not a repeat of the Russian interference in 2016, said the three people who attended the meeting.”

Rand Paul Sues His Neighbor

June 25, 2018 at 9:40 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) has filed a lawsuit against the neighbor who admitted to assaulting him in front of his house, the Bowling Green Daily News reports.

“In the civil complaint, filed Friday in Warren Circuit Court, the Republican senator seeks an unspecified amount of compensatory and punitive damages from Rene Boucher for ‘physical pain and mental suffering’ resulting from Boucher’s tackle of Paul as the senator was mowing his yard Nov. 3 in the Rivergreen subdivision in Bowling Green.”

Quote of the Day

June 25, 2018 at 7:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Just because you don’t see a judge doesn’t mean you don’t receive due process.”

— White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders, quoted by The Hill.

Stone’s Conduit to Assange Will Likely Be Subpoenaed

June 25, 2018 at 5:03 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The man Roger Stone claimed was his back-channel to WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange during the 2016 campaign declined an interview request from the special counsel and said he expects to be subpoenaed,” CNN reports.

“Randy Credico, the chatty radio host and comedian, told CNN that special counsel Robert Mueller’s team reached out in early June and requested a voluntary interview. After consulting with his lawyers — who, according to Credico, are well-aware of ‘my wayward lips’ — he declined the request.”

Democrats Have Turned Out in the Primaries

June 25, 2018 at 5:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Democratic turnout has risen more sharply than Republican turnout in at least 123 congressional districts, including districts where Republican incumbents are most vulnerable, in states like California and New Jersey.”

“That turnout pattern is highly encouraging to Democrats who hope to flood the polls in November and unseat Republicans, even in districts that typically lean to the right. Midterm campaigns often hinge on voter enthusiasm: Without a presidential race to draw casual voters to the polls, the party out of power tends to benefit from disproportionate turnout among Americans who feel angry or aggrieved about politics in Washington.”

Pompeo Says There’s No Timeline on North Korea Talks

June 25, 2018 at 4:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo told CNN he would not put a timeline on negotiations with North Korea, but said the Trump administration will regularly assess the regime’s seriousness about abandoning its nuclear program as the US moves toward normalizing relations with Pyongyang.

Yield Curve Points Towards Possible Recession

June 25, 2018 at 2:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“You can try and play down a trade war with China. You can brush off the impact of rising oil prices on corporate earnings,” the New York Times reports.

“But if you’re in the business of making economic predictions, it has become very difficult to disregard an important signal from the bond market.”

“The so-called yield curve is perilously close to predicting a recession — something it has done before with surprising accuracy — and it’s become a big topic on Wall Street.”

Trump Approval Begins to Slide

June 25, 2018 at 1:23 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

It’s just one poll, but Gallup shows President Trump’s approval rate down 4 points in a week to 41%. His disapproval jumped 5 points to 55%.

It’s the first poll since the crisis over separating families at the Mexican border began.

Mueller Obtains Erik Prince’s Phone and Computer

June 25, 2018 at 12:19 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Special counsel Robert Mueller “is digging deeper into Trump ally and Blackwater founder Erik Prince,” ABC News reports.

“Prince acknowledged last week that he ‘cooperated’ with Mueller’s investigation of Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election after falling under scrutiny amid questions about an alleged effort to establish a backchannel between the Trump administration and the Kremlin, something Prince has vehemently denied.”

“ABC News has since learned that Mueller is also reviewing Prince’s communications… A spokesperson for Prince released a statement noting that Prince has provided Mueller with ‘total access to his phone and computer.'”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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