“You can try and play down a trade war with China. You can brush off the impact of rising oil prices on corporate earnings,” the New York Times reports.
“But if you’re in the business of making economic predictions, it has become very difficult to disregard an important signal from the bond market.”
“The so-called yield curve is perilously close to predicting a recession — something it has done before with surprising accuracy — and it’s become a big topic on Wall Street.”


?Political Trivia
Eight moments in political history. Put them on a timeline.
Play →
Five senators. Three bills. Can you guess how they all voted?
Play →
Nine Justices. One case. How did they rule?
Play →
Do you have your finger on the pulse of America?
Play →
Four questions a day.
Play →
A new game every day.