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Trump Is Front and Center in the Midterms

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Republicans wanted the midterm elections to be a referendum on Joe Biden and his presidency.

As Donald Trump teased about making an early announcement of a 2024 presidential bid, GOP leaders quietly pleaded with him to wait until after the elections. They feared Trump’s candidacy would take the focus off the economy, inflation and overall dissatisfaction with President Biden.

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Another Sign the ‘Red Wave’ Is Receding

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Last night’s special election in Minnesota’s first congressional district is another indicator that the long-predicted “red wave” may be much smaller than once forecast.

Republicans ultimately won the race but Jeff Ettinger (D) came within four points of upsetting Brad Finstad (R) in a district that Donald Trump won by 10 points less than two years ago.

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The FBI Search Was Ordered by Trump’s Own Appointee

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Within minutes of the news that the FBI had executed a search warrant at Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort, Republicans reacted with predictable fury.

Their framing mirrored what Trump himself said in a statement posted to his own social network. They claimed it was “prosecutorial misconduct” by “Radical Left Democrats” trying to take Trump down ahead of the 2024 presidential election.

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2022 Redistricting Wrap-up

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Just for members: The latest edition of Inside Elections.

Today’s issue includes a deep dive into a House race in Illinois that isn’t getting a lot of attention, but is a good example of an open seat that Democrats may have trouble defending as they try to hold on to their narrow majority.

The edition also includes a summary of the 2022 redistricting cycle, updates on recent primaries around the country, and the latest Senate fundraising totals.

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Democrats Make a Very Risky Gamble In Michigan

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Rep. Peter Meijer (R-MI) narrowly lost his seat last night when he was beaten by the Trump-backed John Gibbs (R) in a Republican primary.

Meijer’s primary loss is mostly due to his vote to impeach Donald Trump for the January 6 insurrection at the Capitol.

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The Midterm Elections Won’t Be Just About Abortion

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No matter how you look at it, the abortion rights vote in Kansas last night was a political earthquake ahead of the midterm elections.

The ballot measure not only encouraged more Democrats to turn out to vote, but it proved unpopular to many Republicans as well — even in areas that overwhelmingly voted for Donald Trump.

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When the Crime Is Worse Than the Cover Up

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The conventional wisdom is that “the cover up is often worse than the crime.”

But what if the crime is so bad — such as seditious conspiracy against the United States of America — that it somehow justified the cover up for those involved?

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Trump Is Still Very Much In Control of the Republican Party

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As the January 6 Committee hearings show how Donald Trump intentionally sought to overturn the 2020 presidential election, there’s been a lot of talk about his “weakening” hold on the Republican party.

There have even been suggestions that he could be defeated in a 2024 Republican presidential primary by someone like Gov. Ron DeSantis (R).

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Maine Tries to Ban Out-of-State Circulators

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For members: The new issue of Ballot Access News.

This issue includes ballot access news from Maine, North Carolina, Missouri, Nevada, Oregon and Georgia. There’s also an interesting chart showing qualified third parties with names that would be banned in New York.

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A Few Thoughts for the End of the Week

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Edward-Isaac Dovere sums it up pretty well:

The current state of Washington, DC is Biden and Democrats touting a bill they say would reduce inflation, expand health care and protect the climate and Republicans responding by voting against a burn pit bill they previously voted for and a microchip bill they say is critical to national security.

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The Battle for America’s Soul Is Coming Fast

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The following post for members is from former Sen. Gary Hart (D-CO), author of the forthcoming The American Republic Can Save American Democracy.

It would be difficult to find a time in the last century or more when America’s fundamental democratic principles were challenged by fellow Americans who wished them replaced. But that is what is happening now.

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The Justice Department Finally Turns Its Focus to Trump

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Attorney General Merrick Garland gave an interview to NBC News yesterday but sounded like a law professor when asked if the Justice Department was investigating former President Donald Trump over his role in the January 6 insurrection. 

Said Garland: “We intend to hold everyone, anyone who was criminally responsible for the events surrounding Jan. 6, for any attempt to interfere with the lawful transfer of power from one administration to another, accountable. That’s what we do. We don’t pay any attention to other issues with respect to that.”

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A Few Thoughts for the End of the Week

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The January 6 Committee hearings have been brilliant.

Using testimony almost exclusively from Republicans, the committee has focused the narrative on how Donald Trump and his allies worked to undermine our democracy, while also filling in many relevant and fascinating new details of what happened leading up to that day.

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Reaction to the January 6 Hearing – Part II

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There will never be a moment when I’m not enraged by what happened on January 6th.

Tonight’s hearing was especially infuriating. There have to be consequences for Donald Trump. It’s imperative if our democracy is to continue. It’s necessary if we’re to remain a free nation.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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