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What’s Worrying Americans?

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A recent Pew Research survey mirrors most other polls that show inflation as the dominant concern of most Americans with a decisive 93% saying it’s a “very big” or “moderately big” problem.

But what’s striking is what Americans are no longer worried about: the coronavirus pandemic. Of the 12 issues ranked in order of public concern, Covid-19 was dead last.

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Down to the Wire In Pennsylvania

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Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate race got another plot twist over the weekend as Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D) suffered a stroke.

There’s probably not enough time for Conor Lamb (D) to make up lost ground in the Democratic primary, but expect Fetterman’s health to be a topic in the general election — even though he says he’ll make a complete recovery.

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Chuck Schumer Botches a Vote on Abortion

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If Democrats are to make abortion a major issue in the midterm elections, they’ll need to make it rise above the issues Republicans would prefer to talk about, like inflation and immigration.

But in holding a show vote in the Senate yesterday, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) botched it badly. He couldn’t even get a majority — let alone the 60 votes needed to proceed under Senate rules.

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Being Anti-Science Is Now Part of the GOP Identity

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The advances in science and technology over our lifetimes are awe-inspiring. But unfortunately not everyone feels that way.

“In a 2021 paper published in American Political Science Review, political scientists David Barker, Ryan Detamble and Morgan Marietta looked at Republicans’ growing distrust of scientists and other experts,” FiveThirtyEight reports.

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A Wildcard In Pennsylvania’s GOP Senate Race

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Donald Trump heads to Pennsylvania for a rally tonight on behalf of Mehmet Oz (R) in his increasingly nasty battle with David McCormick (R) for the GOP Senate nomination. He’s even bringing J.D. Vance — who prevailed in Ohio’s Republican Senate primary this week — for inspiration.

Oz holds a small lead in the latest Trafalgar Group poll but is increasingly on the defensive after an ABC News report that he cast a ballot in Turkey’s 2018 presidential election.

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Senate Showdown In Colorado

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Just for members: The latest edition of Inside Elections.

If you’re looking for a place to measure the size of a GOP wave or a state where a Supreme Court decision on abortion could make an impact, look at the Colorado U.S. Senate race. 

This edition also includes analysis of an upcoming House special election in Texas that isn’t getting much attention yet and some initial thoughts after the recent primaries in Ohio and Indiana. 

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A Few Thoughts for the End of the Week

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The predecessor to Political Wire was called Political Insider, a morning briefing on politics published in the run up to the 2000 presidential election.

The technology was quite different then. At 4 a.m. my computer automatically dialed up to get on the internet and ran a program to download and save dozens of news stories. I read these on the commuter train into New York City each morning and compiled them into the daily briefing, (along with contributions from my friend and co-author, Chris Riback.) The site was published when I got into the office and could get back on the internet.

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How Abortion Could Help Democrats Keep the Senate

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If abortion becomes a major issue in the midterm elections, it has the potential to dramatically impact the race for control of the U.S. Senate.

Courtesy of the New York Times, here’s the net support for abortion rights in each of the battleground states with important Senate races:

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Trump May Have Cost Republicans a House Seat Last Night

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There’s little doubt that Donald Trump’s endorsement of J.D. Vance (R) in Ohio’s U.S. Senate primary led to his victory last night.

But another race might be an even better example of Trump’s influence in the Buckeye State — and it could cost Republicans.

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How We Got Here Is Just as Important

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Julia Ioffe, who is one of my favorite journalists, tweeted this just after the draft Supreme Court ruling overturning Roe v. Wade was leaked last night:

The focus on the fact of the leak—rather than the dismantling of women’s reproductive freedom and bodily autonomy—is so very Washington. Process over substance. Horse race over issues. It’s one of the many ways we got to this exact moment.

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The Supreme Court Leak Was Probably by Conservatives

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Because draft rulings from the Supreme Court don’t normally leak, it’s very interesting to see the reaction the morning after.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) — perhaps not coincidentally picking up on a rant last night from Laura Ingraham, who once clerked for Justice Clarence Thomas — called the leak “an attack on the independence of the Supreme Court” which he blamed on the “radical left.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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