Sean Trende: “In short, it does feel like the wheels are coming off of the Trump train. I can’t help but remind myself that we’ve been here before, but we’re entering the heart of the campaign, when people are finally tuning in. This time really is different, and Trump doesn’t seem to understand (or care) that if the campaign is about him, he has a very good chance of losing…”

“In the end, we do have to remember that it is only August, that the “fundamentals” of elections – the economy, presidential job approval, incumbency, and so forth – do not give Democrats much, if any, advantage, and that there are plenty of events that could derail either campaign. While it certainly feels as though the Trump campaign is approaching a precipice, in reality that probably still lies a bit down the road. With that said, however, a precipice probably is what awaits him on his current path.”

“Groups of wealthy Republicans unhappy with Donald Trump have been privately courting prominent peers to join them in backing Democrat Hillary Clinton’s U.S. presidential bid,” people involved in the effort told Reuters.

“They say they are seeking money and endorsements from other Republicans disillusioned by Trump, their party’s candidate for the Nov. 8 presidential election. Some have received encouragement from Clinton and members of her campaign staff.”

“I don’t know why we’re not leading by a lot. Maybe crowds don’t make the difference.”

— Donald Trump, quoted by Politico at a large campaign rally.

Anderson Cooper talks to GOP strategist Liz Mair:

“The Clinton campaign has now all but ruled out the possibility of the Democratic presidential candidate and former secretary of state taking a foreign trip between now and Election Day in November,” ABC News reports.

“In recent months, aides to Clinton have ruminated about the appeal of a foreign trip (they believe she would be well-received and welcomed by countries concerned by a Donald Trump presidency), but ultimately the decision comes down to time and her experience.”

A new Fox News poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 10 points, 49% to 39%.

Key finding: Clinton leads by 82 points among Democrats while Trump leads by just 66 points among Republicans.

“Donald Trump all but erased his enormous fund-raising deficit against Hillary Clinton in the span of just two months… converting the passion of his core followers into a flood of small donations on a scale rarely seen in national politics,” the New York Times reports.

“Mr. Trump and the Republican National Committee raised $64 million through a joint digital and direct mail effort in July, according to his campaign, the bulk of it from small donations. All told, Mr. Trump and his party brought in $82 million last month, only slightly behind Mrs. Clinton, and ended with an enormous pool of $74 million in cash on hand, suggesting he might now have the resources to compete with Mrs. Clinton in the closing stretch of the campaign.”

Here are the latest forecasts showing Hillary Clinton’s chance of winning the presidential election:

• FiveThirtyEight: 70%
• Sam Wang: 80%
• The Upshot: 74%
• PredictWise: 78%

A New Latino Voice poll in Florida finds Donald Trump getting just 12.9% support from Hispanic voters, “a historical low for a Republican candidate.”

Mitt Romney and John McCain each won roughly 40% of the Hispanic vote in the state.