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Ryan Plans to Steamroll Democrats

October 6, 2016 at 6:18 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“If Donald Trump is elected president and Republicans hold onto Congress, House Speaker Paul Ryan is bluntly promising to ram a partisan agenda through Capitol Hill next year, with Obamacare repeal and trillion-dollar tax cuts likely at the top of the list. And Democrats would be utterly defenseless to stop them,” Politico reports.

“Typically, party leaders offer at least the pretense of seeking bipartisanship when discussing their policy plans. But Ryan is saying frankly that Republicans would use budget reconciliation — a powerful procedural tool — to bypass Democrats entirely. It’s the same tool Republicans slammed Democrats for using to pass the 2010 health care law over their objections.”

State Poll Roundup: Wednesday

October 5, 2016 at 8:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here are the latest state polls from the presidential race:

Ohio: Clinton 44%, Trump 42%, Johnson 5% (Monmouth)

New Mexico: Clinton 46%, Trump 33%, Johnson 14% (SurveyUSA)

Ohio: Clinton 44%, Trump 42%, Johnson 8% (Anzalone)

Texas: Trump 45%, Clinton 38%, Johnson 4% (Dixie)

Trump Doing Worse Than Romney Among White Voters

October 5, 2016 at 6:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Harry Enten: “Donald Trump’s strategy in this campaign has been fairly clear from the beginning: Drive up Republican support among white voters in order to compensate for the GOP’s shrinking share among the growing nonwhite portion of the electorate. And Trump has succeeded in overperforming among a certain slice of white voters, those without a college degree.”

“But overall, the strategy isn’t working. Trump has a smaller lead among white voters than Mitt Romney did in 2012, and Trump’s margin seems to be falling from where it was when the general election began.”

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Trump Threatens to Sue Over Negative Ads

October 5, 2016 at 5:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump threatened to sue groups running “nasty” ads attacking him, The Hill reports.

Said Trump: “And then I saw today … a commercial where — it was really a nasty commercial, totally made up, about me with vets. There is nobody that loves the vets more or respects the vets more. They’re spending hundreds of millions of dollars on false commercials, and it’s a disgrace. So what we’ll do, I guess we’ll sue them. Let’s sue them.”

Trump Had Cameos In Two More Playboy Videos

October 5, 2016 at 5:53 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNN has found “two more Playboy videos in which Trump makes an appearance, including one in which he is depicted photographing fully clothed models with a Polaroid camera and conducting an interview with a potential Playmate.”

“The scenes featuring Trump do not contain nudity or sexually explicit content, but other scenes in the movie depict fully nude women seductively rubbing themselves in different scenarios.”

Student Discount!

October 5, 2016 at 5:20 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard

Back for a limited time: Email me from your school email address and I’ll send you a coupon code for an annual Political Wire membership at 40% off.

Thanks for reading!

Bonus Quote of the Day

October 5, 2016 at 3:23 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Mike Pence did an incredible job and I’m getting a lot of credit.”

— Donald Trump, quoted by NBC News, praising his running mate’s debate performance.

Quote of the Day

October 5, 2016 at 2:05 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Senator, you’ve whipped out that Mexican thing again.”

— Gov. Mike Pence, quoted by the New York Times in last night’s vice presidential debate.

How Pence’s Debate Win Actually Hurts Trump

October 5, 2016 at 12:27 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Last night’s vice presidential debate went well for Gov. Mike Pence — and the Republican party more broadly — but it wasn’t a very good night for Donald Trump.

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Republicans Ready to Pretend Trump Never Existed

October 5, 2016 at 12:26 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Frum: “The Trump candidacy succeeded because of a massive revolt among rank-and-file Republicans against their leaders. Should the Trump candidacy fail, as now seems likely, those leaders stand ready to deny that the revolt ever happened. Instead, they’ll have a story of a more or less normal Republican undone only because (as Pence said last night) ‘he’s not a polished politician.’ The solution for 2020? Bring back the professionals—and return to business as usual.”

“It’s unlikely to work. But you can understand why it’s an attractive message to a party elite that discovered to its horror that it had lost its base and lost its way.”

Clinton Opens Up Wide National Lead

October 5, 2016 at 11:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Fairleigh Dickinson Public Mind poll finds Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by nine points nationally, 45% to 36%, with Gary Johnson at 11%.

Said pollster Krista Jenkins: “The post-presidential debate landscape is clearly favoring Clinton. Trump’s continued weight shaming of a former Miss Universe and the weekend disclosure of his 1995 tax returns are but a sample of difficult news coverage for the Republican candidate.”

Trump Supporters Grow Angrier With Clinton

October 5, 2016 at 9:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “For years, they have not liked or trusted her — many say it’s fair to describe their feelings as ­hatred — and the nine days since Trump’s poor debate performance have only confirmed and intensified their feelings. At several recent Trump rallies, anti-Clinton sentiment felt stronger than ever as attendees screamed out nicknames and criticisms of her, erupted in chants of “Lock her up!” and angrily accused reporters of promoting her candidacy.”

“Trump supporters have long worn shirts or buttons labeling Clinton a ‘bitch,’ but there’s a new T-shirt popping up at recent events with an even harsher message: ‘I wish Clinton had married O.J.,’ the former football star who was acquitted in 1995 on charges that he murdered his ex-wife.”

Democrats Don’t See Many Undecided Voters

October 5, 2016 at 9:52 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Greg Sargent: “Top Democratic strategists have concluded that at this point, there are very few undecided voters left, based on both public polls and on private polling that attempts to push undecided voters to make a choice.”

Most Say It’s ‘Unpatriotic’ Not to Pay Taxes

October 5, 2016 at 9:27 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll finds that 67% of Americans said it is “selfish” for a presidential candidate to pay no taxes, while 61% said it is “unpatriotic.”

“At the same time, the results showed some respect for a candidate who can figure out how to reduce their tax bill. Some 46% of Americans, including 35% of Democrats and 62% of Republicans, thought a presidential candidate who pays no taxes is ‘smart.'”

Gore Will Hit Trail for Clinton

October 5, 2016 at 8:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Al Gore will start campaigning for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, according to individuals briefed on the plan, in an effort to mobilize young voters who see climate change as a key issue,” the Washington Post reports.

“The decision by Gore to plunge into the campaign during the final weeks shows the extent to which Democrats remain concerned that Clinton has yet to connect with many millennials, some of whom are backing third-party candidates this year. The former vice president, a climate activist, will speak about not just Clinton’s plan to address global warming, but also the idea that voting for an independent presidential candidate could deliver the White House to Republicans in the same way that Ralph Nader’s candidacy helped undermine his presidential bid in 2000.”

Trump Could Release His 2015 Tax Return

October 5, 2016 at 8:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump may have one last tax card to play, and it’s a doozy: his 2015 tax return,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“In little-noticed comments after his first debate with Hillary Clinton, the Republican presidential candidate suggested he would make that return public within weeks.”

“Although Mr. Trump’s campaign didn’t respond to questions about that comment, his latest tax return is likely in the final stages of preparation… He could forgo otherwise allowable deductions to make his tax return more politically palatable. He could do so without imperiling his stated rationale for releasing returns from the recent past, because the 2015 return presumably wouldn’t be under Internal Revenue Service audit at the minute he files it.”

Is Trump Angry with Pence?

October 5, 2016 at 7:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNN reported that a source close to Donald Trump notes that the reviews that Gov. Mike Pence did better in his debate “won’t go over well with Trump.”

John Harwood quotes a Trump adviser after Pence passed up opportunities to defend the top of the ticket: “Pence won overall, but lost with Trump”

Instant Poll Finds Pence Narrowly Won Debate

October 5, 2016 at 7:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new CNN/ORC poll finds that 48% of those who watched the vice presidential debate thought Gov. Mike Pence performed better while 42% said they thought Sen. Tim Kaine won.

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Machine Politics: “Machine politics” is a phenomenon sometimes seen in an urban political context, especially in the 19th and 20th centuries.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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