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Has Trump Set a New Low for Candidates?

September 17, 2016 at 11:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Routine falsehoods, unfounded claims and inflammatory language have long been staples of Mr. Trump’s anything-goes campaign. But as the polls tighten and November nears, his behavior, and the implications for the country should he become president, are alarming veteran political observers — and leaving them deeply worried about the precedent being set, regardless of who wins the White House.”

Said former GOP congressman Vin Weber: “It’s frightening. Our politics, because of him, is descending to the level of a third-world country. There’s just nothing beneath him. And I don’t know why we would think he would change if he became president. That’s what’s really scary.”

Trump Says Gates Likely ‘Has a Problem’

September 17, 2016 at 11:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump launched a series of fierce attacks against former Defense Secretary Robert Gates after the former defense secretary wrote an op-ed critical of him, the Washington Post reports.

Said Trump: “He’s a nasty guy. Probably has a problem that we don’t know about.”

Why Trump’s Birther Charade May Finally Backfire

September 17, 2016 at 3:44 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

With his poll numbers improving over the last several weeks, it made little sense for Donald Trump to bring up questions around President Obama’s birthplace once again.

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Debates Are on TV, But Advertisers Seek Viewers Online

September 17, 2016 at 11:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Ten days or so ahead of the first presidential debate, political advertisers are planning to grab millions of viewers’ eyes—but with a difference. The candidate showdowns have no television commercials, so the focus will be online … To rise above the millions of tweets and posts expected about the debate, campaigns, super PACs and advocacy groups will pay for premium spots in online news feeds or search results, with the expectation that debate viewers will be checking their phones or laptops while watching TV.”

Cuban Offers $10 Million If Trump Can Explain Policies

September 17, 2016 at 10:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

After Donald Trump said Mark Cuban “is not smart enough to understand what we are doing,” Cuban challenged Trump to a four-hour interview concerning the candidate’s “policies and their substance,” offering to donate $10 million to a charity of Trump’s choosing if he accepted, the Huffington Post reports.

Cuban even said that Trump could keep the money: “If you need it, I’ll write you the check and you can keep the money rather than give it to charity.”

Narrow Win Now Forecast for Clinton

September 17, 2016 at 10:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“An election analysis conducted in the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project shows that the race has tightened considerably over the past few weeks.”

“If the election were held today, the project estimates that Clinton has a 60 percent chance of winning by 18 electoral votes. Last week, the project estimated that Clinton had a 83 percent chance of winning the election.”

In a separate national Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll, Clinton continues to lead Trump by 4 percentage points, 42% to 38%.

 

‘Mr. Trump Is Beyond Repair’

September 17, 2016 at 9:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Defense Secretary Robert Gates writing in the Wall Street Journal:

Mrs. Clinton has time before the election to address forthrightly her trustworthiness, to reassure people about her judgment, to demonstrate her willingness to stake out one or more positions on national security at odds with her party’s conventional wisdom, and to speak beyond generalities about how she would deal with China, Russia, North Korea, Iran, the Middle East—and international trade. Whether and how she addresses these issues will, I believe, affect how many people vote—including me.

At least on national security, I believe Mr. Trump is beyond repair. He is stubbornly uninformed about the world and how to lead our country and government, and temperamentally unsuited to lead our men and women in uniform. He is unqualified and unfit to be commander-in-chief.

A $1 Trillion Lie

September 17, 2016 at 9:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “A few hours after Donald J. Trump publicly backed away from a $1 trillion tax cut for small businesses, campaign aides on Thursday privately assured a leading small-business group that Mr. Trump in fact remained committed to the proposal — winning the group’s endorsement.”

“The campaign then told the Tax Foundation, a conservative-leaning Washington think tank it asked to price the plan, that Mr. Trump had indeed decided to eliminate the tax cut.”

“Call it the trillion-dollar lie: Both assertions cannot be true.”

Quote of the Day

September 17, 2016 at 9:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“We got played again.”

— CNN’s John King, after Donald Trump staged another media spectacle before announcing he agreed that President Obama was in fact born in the United States.

Democrats Now Worried Clinton Can Lose

September 17, 2016 at 9:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “For both parties, every election can feel like the most vital of a lifetime, the one day standing between a still-proud nation and its imminent demise. Among liberals, there is an especially rich tradition of bed-wetting, as even some practitioners call it, at the faintest sign of shakiness from their candidate.”

“But as Hillary Clinton lurches toward Election Day, her supporters at times seem overwhelmed by a tsunami of unease, exacerbated by Mrs. Clinton’s bout of pneumonia and a slow-footed acknowledgment of the illness. They are confronting a question they had assumed, just a few weeks ago, they would not need to consider in a race against the most unpopular presidential nominee in modern times: Could Mrs. Clinton actually blow this?”

Nate Silver: Democrats should panic… if the polls still look like this in a week.

Trump Suggests Clinton Bodyguards Disarm

September 17, 2016 at 9:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump “once again raised the specter of violence against Hillary Clinton, suggesting Friday that the Secret Service agents who guard her voluntarily disarm to ‘see what happens to her’ without their protection, the New York Times reports.

Said Trump: “I think that her bodyguards should drop all weapons. I think they should disarm. Immediately.”

He went on: “Let’s see what happens to her. Take their guns away, O.K. It’ll be very dangerous.”

Why Did Trump Stick to a Birther Lie?

September 17, 2016 at 9:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The essential question — Why promote a lie? — may be unanswerable. Was it sport? Was it his lifelong quest to court media attention? Was it racism? Was it the cynical start of his eventual campaign for president?”

“It might not matter. He kept doing it, even as his most senior aides assured the public that he had long since abandoned the fallacy.”

“He had not. He was disingenuous until the very end, telling a Washington Post reporter just 72 hours before that he was unready to concede the president’s place of birth. But he treated the weighty topic, as he does so much else, like a television cliffhanger, promising a major declaration on Friday.”

Washington Post: Trump’s stance on display: Never wrong, and never loved more by his supporters.

‘Time for Some Traffic Problems’

September 17, 2016 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

With the trial of two key allies of Gov. Chris Christie set to begin — and last for six weeks — the Wall Street Journal offers a readers’ guide to the trial based on conversations with defense attorneys and former federal prosecutors experienced in public-corruption cases.

State Poll Roundup: Friday

September 16, 2016 at 4:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here are the latest state polls from the presidential race:

Ohio: Trump 42%, Clinton 42% (OnMessage)

Florida: Clinton 46%, Trump 43% (Global Strategy Group)

Third Party Candidates Miss the Cut

September 16, 2016 at 3:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gary Johnson and Jill Stein have missed the cut for the first presidential debate, The Hill reports.

The Commission on Presidential Debates announced that Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the only presidential candidates who will participate in the first debates.

We’re Just Getting What We Want

September 16, 2016 at 3:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Matt Taibbi: “No doubt about it, the country is in a brutal spot right now. We are less than two months from the possibility of one of the dumbest people on the planet winning the White House. And it seems that all anyone’s talked about this week, whether around the water cooler or on TV news, Twitter or Facebook, is the lung capacity of Hillary Clinton.”

“That sucks. But it’s not all the media’s fault. This is classic horse-race stuff, and if you’re getting it, it’s at least in part because you spent decades asking for it.”

“The campaign has devolved over time into an entertainment program, a degrading and vicious show where the contestants win the nuclear launch codes instead of a date with a millionaire. Under the rules of this reality series which media consumers turn into a gigantic hit every four years, collapsing in front of a cell-phone camera at a 9/11 memorial service is more important than a dozen position papers.”

“It just is. You proved it when you clicked on that video of the episode last weekend and didn’t read a compare-and-contrast piece on, for instance, the candidates’ banking policies.”

Will Trump Now Pay What He Promised?

September 16, 2016 at 2:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Washington Post‘s David Fahrenthold sent this to Donald Trump’s campaign:

I noted that today Mr. Trump said he believes President Obama’s Hawaiian birth certificate is legitimate. That makes this a story for me now: Can you provide details of where and when he will donate the $5 million Mr. Trump promise to give to charity?

Why Trump May Have an Electoral College Advantage

September 16, 2016 at 2:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Much has been made of the demographic advantages, such as the growing number of Latino voters, that Hillary Clinton has in the presidential race. But she’s also got a major weakness: Current polling shows her support is less optimally distributed than Barack Obama’s was in 2008 and 2012.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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