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Trump Campaign Finally Kicks Off Ground Game

September 9, 2016 at 7:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNN: “In her three-week tenure, Conway, a self-proclaimed ‘huge fan of retail politics,’ has rushed to sign leases on new field offices and approve spending on everything from campaign RVs to yard signs.”

“Last week she finalized the budget for two ground game projects, a door knocking program to increase voter contact in the battleground states and a direct mail effort to encourage absentee ballot voting. She also hired a national field director and deputy campaign manager, two experienced political hands, to build out campaign operations. The campaign also began airing its first TV ads in battleground states.”

Clinton Speaks to the Camera

September 9, 2016 at 7:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Hillary Clinton put out a new direct-to-camera advertisement highlighting her problem solving skills.

GOP Lawmakers Says Clinton Investigations Will Continue

September 9, 2016 at 7:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Top GOP lawmakers on both sides of the Capitol are vowing that their investigations of Hillary Clinton will continue even if she wins the White House in November,” Politico reports.

“Indeed, the FBI wrapped up its investigation of Hillary Clinton’s use of a private email server this summer, but congressional Republicans say they’re just getting started.”


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Giuliani Says Trump Accepts Obama Was Born In U.S.

September 9, 2016 at 7:22 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rudy Giuliani says that Donald Trump is ready to accept that President Obama was born in the United States, Politico reports.

Said Giuliani: “I confirm that and Donald Trump now confirms that,” Giuliani said. “Donald Trump believes now that he was born in the United States.”

He added that Trump is “proud” of his 2011 campaign to get Obama to release his birth certificate.

GOP Insiders Increasingly See Trump Victory

September 9, 2016 at 7:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Once resigned to a November defeat, swing state Republicans are increasingly optimistic about Donald Trump’s chances now that the GOP presidential nominee has closed a once-yawning deficit in the polls against Hillary Clinton… While a majority of GOP insiders still say Clinton would carry their state if the election were held today, significantly more Republicans now say Trump would win than even just a few weeks ago.”

Where’s Melania?

September 9, 2016 at 7:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“It was late July when voters last heard from the potential first lady of the United States. Melania Trump delivered her speech at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland, and then later stood with her husband, balloons dropping, waving to the crowd in what is starting to feel like a premature farewell to the campaign trail,” the Washington Post reports.

“Since then, she has not spoken publicly and has largely vanished from view, leaving a trail of questions and voids in her personal biography.”

Trump Campaign Stands By Embrace of Putin

September 9, 2016 at 7:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump’s campaign “reaffirmed its extraordinary embrace of Russia’s president, Vladimir V. Putin, signaling a preference for the leadership of an authoritarian adversary over that of America’s own president, despite a cascade of criticism from Democrats and expressions of discomfort among Republicans,” the New York Times reports.

Said Gov. Mike Pence: “I think it’s inarguable that Vladimir Putin has been a stronger leader in his country than Barack Obama has been in this country.”

First Read: “What’s amazing about the Trump campaign’s embrace of Putin, even from Pence, is that Putin is one of the more reviled figures among American voters.”

Democrats Unite Around Clinton After Forum

September 9, 2016 at 6:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“On Thursday, the full force of the Democratic Party, including President Obama, rallied around Hillary Clinton, saying that rival Donald Trump is unfit for office,” the Washington Post reports.

“On the Republican side, there was no such unity as lawmakers struggled with how to respond to the GOP nominee’s claim that Russian President Vladi­mir Putin was a stronger leader than Obama.”

“And both parties fiercely criticized the role of the media in an election that is testing time-worn theories on how to cover presidential campaigns, aiming much of their fire Thursday at the performance of NBC’s Matt Lauer in moderating a foreign-policy forum this week.”

Colin Powell’s Advice to Hillary Clinton

September 8, 2016 at 4:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This newly-released email from Colin Powell to Hillary Clinton advising her about avoiding “systems that captured the data” is extraordinary.

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Why Clinton Is Nearly As Unpopular As Trump

September 8, 2016 at 3:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Chait: “The harrowing reality is that the only thing standing between handing control of the Executive branch to a wildly ignorant, racist demagogue with a fondness for the authoritarian world is the second-most-unpopular presidential nominee in the history of modern polling. (The most-unpopular candidate is Donald Trump, though the gap between the two is narrowing.) That Clinton is viewed as the near-equivalent of Trump, a grotesque buffoon who has committed what would normally be considered a campaign-defining gaffe at a rate of approximately once a day for 15 months, required the convergence of several factors.”

Inside the Collapse of Trump’s Policy Operation

September 8, 2016 at 3:34 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Josh Rogin: “The Trump campaign built a large policy shop in Washington that has now largely melted away because of neglect, mismanagement and promises of pay that were never honored. Many of the team’s former members say the campaign leadership never took the Washington office seriously and let it wither away after squeezing it dry.”

“Since April, advisers never named in campaign press releases have been working in an Alexandria-based office, writing policy memos, organizing briefings, managing surrogates and placing op-eds. They put in long hours before and during the Republican National Convention to help the campaign look like a professional operation. But in August, shortly after the convention, most of the policy shop’s most active staffers quit. Although they signed non-disclosure agreements, several of them told me on background that the Trump policy effort has been a mess from start to finish.”

Esquire Says Trump Is Lying

September 8, 2016 at 3:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Esquire adds an editor’s note to its 2004 profile of Donald Trump:

The following story was published in the August 2004 issue of Esquire. During the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump has repeatedly claimed to have been against the Iraq War from the beginning, and he has cited this story as proof. The Iraq War began in March 2003, more than a year before this story ran, thus nullifying Trump’s timeline. More details can be found here.

What Really Happened at Trump’s Intelligence Briefing

September 8, 2016 at 3:05 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“As U.S. officials cast doubt on Donald Trump’s claim he read the ‘body language’ of intelligence officials at a recent briefing, NBC News has learned exclusive details of what unfolded in the room — one of Trump’s advisers repeatedly interrupted the briefers until Chris Christie intervened.”

“U.S. official pointed out that intelligence officers don’t give policy advice, so it would be inaccurate to say that Obama failed to follow the advice of the intelligence community. A second U.S. official said analysts are trained not to allow their body language to betray their thinking. Meanwhile, four people with knowledge of the matter told NBC News that one of the advisers Trump brought to the briefing, retired general Mike Flynn, repeatedly interrupted the briefing with pointed questions.”

“Two sources said Christie, the New Jersey governor and Trump adviser, verbally restrained Flynn — one saying Christie said, ‘Shut up,’ the other reporting he said, ‘Calm down.’ Two other sources said Christie touched Flynn’s arm in an effort get him to calm down and let the officials continue.”

Early Voting Is Another Clinton Advantage

September 8, 2016 at 2:43 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

The first round of early ballots will begin in North Carolina on Friday, kicking off nearly nine-weeks of early and absentee voting ahead of the November 8 election.

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State Poll Roundup: Thursday

September 8, 2016 at 2:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here are the latest state polls from the presidential race:

Colorado: Clinton 41%, Trump 36%, Johnson 13% (Magellan)

North Carolina: Trump 44%, Clinton 41% (Suffolk)

Florida: Clinton 47%, Trump 47% (Quinnipiac)

North Carolina: Clinton 47%, Trump 43% (Quinnipiac)

Ohio: Trump 46%, Clinton 45% (Quinnipiac)

Pennsylvania: Clinton 48%, Trump 43% (Quinnipiac)

2016 Is Looking Very Similar to 2012

September 8, 2016 at 12:35 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Upshot election forecast predicts Hillary Clinton will win 347 electoral votes.

“If the predictions for each state hold, the November election would match the 2012 Electoral College result in every respect except one: The Democrats would win North Carolina.”

“Which brings us to another perhaps surprising similarity between this election and the 2012 version. Mr. Obama won in 2012 by 3.9 percentage points over Mr. Romney. If you combine the polling averages compiled by Real Clear Politics, The Huffington Post and The New York Times, Mrs. Clinton is leading Mr. Trump by 3.7 percentage points.”

How Trump Is Making Money Off His Campaign

September 8, 2016 at 11:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CBS News: “Donald Trump has contributed more than $52 million to his presidential campaign… But the Republican nominee has offset some of that by pouring $7.2 million dollars — just over eight percent of the money his campaign has spent through July —  into his own businesses.”

“Since Trump moved into the general election phase, that spending has increased. During the first year of his campaign, he spent on average half a million dollars a month at his own companies. But as his campaign ramped up from the end of June through July, he spent $1.2 million at Trump businesses.”

Johnson Says He’s Just Human

September 8, 2016 at 11:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gary Johnson put out a statement after flubbing an interview about Syria this morning:

This morning, I began my day by setting aside any doubt that I’m human. Yes, I understand the dynamics of the Syrian conflict — I talk about them every day. But hit with “What about Aleppo?”, I immediately was thinking about an acronym, not the Syrian conflict. I blanked. It happens, and it will happen again during the course of this campaign.

Can I name every city in Syria? No. Should I have identified Aleppo? Yes. Do I understand its significance? Yes.

As Governor, there were many things I didn’t know off the top of my head. But I succeeded by surrounding myself with the right people, getting to the bottom of important issues, and making principled decisions. It worked. That is what a President must do.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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