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The Obama Coalition Isn’t Coming Together — Yet

September 14, 2016 at 12:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Following up on my earlier note on young voters, David Plouffe — the key architect of the “Obama coalition” that included young voters — had some similar thoughts in a really interesting MSNBC interview last night.

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Keeping Trump Quiet May Be Key to Closing Gap

September 14, 2016 at 11:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republicans have may finally hit on the one easy trick to making their presidential nominee palatable: Minimize the words emerging from Donald Trump’s mouth that aren’t written ahead of time by somebody else,” the Huffington Post reports.

“Since his most recent campaign shakeup last month, Trump has not held a news conference, has cut back on in-depth Sunday show appearances and has almost completely eliminated speeches that aren’t scripted and displayed on his teleprompter screens.”

“Nevertheless, if recent polls are accurate, the plan does seem to be working: Voters are responding better to Trump talking more like a generic Republican than they did to Trump talking like Trump.”

Clinton Has Huge Swing State Lead with Latinos

September 14, 2016 at 11:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Univision poll of Latino voters in Arizona, Colorado, Florida and Nevada shows Hillary Clinton trouncing Donald Trump among this critical voting bloc.

In Florida, Trump trails Clinton by 24 percentage points — the closest margin out of the four states. Clinton leads Trump 68% to 18% in Arizona, 65% to 19% in Nevada and 62% to 17% in Colorado.

Florida, Colorado and Nevada are three battleground states where Latinos are likely to make up more than 10% of the electorate this year.


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Tweet of the Day

September 14, 2016 at 10:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“‘The iPhone doesn’t have a headphone jack but the Galaxy literally explodes’ is a perfect metaphor for this election.”

— Josh Marvine, on Twitter.

Johnson Will Be On Ballot In Every State

September 14, 2016 at 10:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gary Johnson’s campaign said “that he will be on the ballot in all 50 states plus the District of Columbia, marking the first time in two decades a third-party presidential ticket has appeared on every state ballot,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Trump Won’t Release Health Info on Dr. Oz Show

September 14, 2016 at 9:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“If viewers of Donald Trump’s appearance on ‘The Dr. Oz Show’ are expecting a big reveal about Trump’s physical fitness, they are going to be disappointed. Oz will not be reviewing the results of Trump’s recent physical,” campaign spokeswoman Hope Hicks told CNN.

“That contradicts a claim made on Fox News Tuesday. The Trump campaign now says it will likely release later this week information based on a physical exam Trump underwent last week.”

Washington Post: “Trump’s appearance on Oz’s TV show now sounds like a pure PR stunt designed to hype the candidate’s fitness, regardless of what his physician might have found. It sounds like a total joke.”

Pressure Grows on Trump to Release His Taxes

September 14, 2016 at 9:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “With less than eight until Election Day, it looks like Donald Trump will be successful in not releasing his tax returns, becoming the first presidential nominee we can remember not doing so. But it’s becoming harder and harder for him to avoid releasing them.”

“First is the news that New York’s Democratic attorney general has launched an inquiry into the Trump Foundation… Second was the Washington Post’s investigative piece noting that most of the Trump Foundation money comes from other people’s money; that Trump passes the money to other charities and takes credit for it; and that he has used that money to buy himself a gift. (“One candidate’s family foundation has saved countless lives around the world,” President Obama said on the campaign trail yesterday. “The other candidate’s foundation took money other people gave to his charity and then bought a six-foot-tall painting of himself.”) And third is a new Newsweek article detailing how Trump’s international business ties could become a significant conflict of interest if he becomes president.”

“Any conventional politician would be feeling the heat here; of course, Trump isn’t your conventional politician. But every day that goes by with Trump not releasing his taxes suggests that these is something to all of these stories.”

If Clinton Loses, This Is Probably Why

September 14, 2016 at 9:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

The good news for Hillary Clinton is that most polls — such as the Harvard Youth Poll — show her crushing Donald Trump by more than 30-points among young voters. The bad news is there are no signs of the enthusiasm young voters showed for Barack Obama over the last two elections.

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Powell Called Trump a ‘National Disgrace’

September 14, 2016 at 7:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Secretary of State Colin Powell blasted Donald Trump as a “national disgrace” and “international pariah” in a personal email exchange that was leaked online by hackers, NBC News reports.

Powell, a retired 4-star general and a Republican, confirmed the authenticity of the emails and said, “The hackers have a lot more.”

Clinton Hits ‘Corrupt’ Trump Foundation

September 14, 2016 at 7:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“So, when you hear Donald Trump talk about corrupt politics, remember which candidate actually practices it.”

How Trump’s Business Could Undermine National Security

September 14, 2016 at 7:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A close examination by Newsweek of the Trump Organization, including confidential interviews with business executives and some of its international partners, reveals an enterprise with deep ties to global financiers, foreign politicians and even criminals, although there is no evidence the Trump Organization has engaged in any illegal activities. It also reveals a web of contractual entanglements that could not be just canceled. If Trump moves into the White House and his family continues to receive any benefit from the company, during or even after his presidency, almost every foreign policy decision he makes will raise serious conflicts of interest and ethical quagmires.”

GOP Lawmakers Steer Clear of Pence

September 14, 2016 at 7:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Gov. Mike Pence came to Capitol Hill on a mission to promote Republican unity, attacking Hillary Clinton for describing many supporters of the GOP ticket as bigoted “deplorables” and urging Republicans to rally behind their nominee, Donald Trump,” the New York Times reports.

“But Mr. Pence struggled to press the attack: In separate news conferences, House and Senate Republican leaders declined to join Mr. Pence, the Indiana governor and vice-presidential nominee, in rebuking Mrs. Clinton over her remark.”

Politico: “Pence quickly tried to douse one political fire from Monday: his refusal to call white supremacist David Duke ‘deplorable’ during a CNN interview.”

Republicans Pounce on Vulnerable Bayh In Indiana

September 14, 2016 at 6:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“When Evan Bayh made his late leap into Indiana’s Senate race in July, he looked like a lock to take back his old seat. Now, no one is so sure,” Politico reports.

“Democrats hoped to scare Republicans out of competing for Indiana altogether with an early show of force this summer, essentially locking up a third Senate pick-up from Republicans’ 54-seat majority before the fall campaign even got started. But the GOP has instead poured millions into bashing Bayh and is now redoubling its efforts, as multiple independent surveys now show a much closer campaign than Democratic polls released this summer — and with that, less margin for error in Democrats’ drive to retake the majority, which recently expanded into new vulnerable GOP-held states but has also been set back by developments in Florida and Ohio.”

Clinton to Enlist Obama In Swing State Blitz

September 13, 2016 at 8:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Obama will focus on four states: here in Pennsylvania, plus Ohio, North Carolina and Florida, with the possible addition of Iowa, depending on how much opportunity the Clinton campaign sees there as they finalize their map.”

“That could put Obama on the road as much as two days per week, in addition to a heavy schedule he’s going to keep up making appearances on African-American radio and other non-traditionally political programs — he did two during the day Tuesday, one that airs here in Philadelphia and Detroit and the other that airs in Miami. The heavy media exposure would boost the Clinton campaign’s effort to pump up enthusiasm among all voters, and particularly the African-Americans, young people and the rest of the Obama coalition who so identify with him and remain wary of her.”

Clinton Resumes Campaigning on Thursday

September 13, 2016 at 7:57 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Hillary Clinton is returning to the campaign trail Thursday after scrapping her West Coast travel for Monday through Wednesday as she recovers from a case of pneumonia at home in Chappaqua, New York,” Politico reports.

Lawmaker Expelled for Sexual Misconduct

September 13, 2016 at 7:55 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“For the first time in Tennessee history, a state representative has been expelled from the legislature for alleged sexual misconduct,” the Tennessean reports.

“In an historic move by state lawmakers, Jeremy Durham (R) was ousted Tuesday as a member the Tennessee House of Representatives during a special legislative session.”

“The attorney general found 22 women who said Durham had acted sexually inappropriate with them. The report includes an array of allegations, from lewd comments and inappropriate hugs to giving beer to and having sex with a 20-year-old “college student/political worker” in his legislative office and home.”

New Trump Team Tries to Recast Image

September 13, 2016 at 7:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Newly installed campaign chief executive Stephen Bannon and campaign manager Kellyanne Conway are steering Donald Trump away from a preoccupation with rallies and wall-to-wall TV interviews toward ‘moments,’ in the new managers’ parlance, that show him as presidential, with a caring side,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Mr. Trump said efforts by previous campaign leaders to remake him into a politician were ‘dishonest.’ … The Republican nominee said he was more comfortable with his new team, which has succeeded in some of the same changes sought by former campaign chairman Paul Manafort: Mr. Trump is sticking closer to a teleprompter, giving more policy details in speeches–and making fewer off-the-cuff remarks, which hurt his campaign after the GOP convention this summer.”

Begich Won’t Rule Out Write-In Bid

September 13, 2016 at 7:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Sen. Mark Begich (D-AK) says he’s being asked to join the crowded race for the seat currently held by Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK), the Alaska Dispatch News reports.

“Murkowski is seeking re-election and facing opponents including Democrat Ray Metcalfe, independent Margaret Stock, and Joe Miller, who last week announced he would drop his Republican registration and seek Murkowski’s seat as a Libertarian Party member.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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