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Which Party Will Have a Contested Convention?

May 18, 2016 at 10:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 444 Comments

Rick Klein: “The one that has a second candidate vowing to fight to the end, to change the minds of delegates? The one that includes a campaign that sued the national party – not a threat, an actual lawsuit – claiming favoritism for a rival? The one that witnessed violent disruptions at a state party gathering, so bad that the state party is warning the national party about national convention violence? It is now overwhelmingly clear that the Democratic side of the race will not wind itself down into peace and togetherness. It is now conceivable, and perhaps probable, that the scene in Philadelphia is more raucous – and less glamorous – than the scene in Cleveland this summer.”

“Bernie Sanders shouldn’t be blamed for all that his supporters do and say, though neither is he blameless. His talk of a political revolution continues, and the strong suggestion he leaves voters with is less about Hillary Clinton’s qualifications than about the legitimacy of the Democratic Party’s nominating process.”

Trump’s Late Start

May 18, 2016 at 10:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 24 Comments

First Read: “Donald Trump last night reached a joint fundraising agreement with the Republican National Committee, allowing him to collect checks as large as $449,000 to benefit his campaign and party. But consider this: Hillary Clinton reached her own joint fundraising agreement with the DNC in August of 2015 — so almost a year ago. And when you throw in the fact that Trump just hired a pollster and that there still isn’t a designated pro-Trump Super PAC, you see how late of a general-election start Trump is getting, all less than six months before Election Day 2016.”

How to Read Donald Trump’s Shortlist

May 18, 2016 at 9:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 12 Comments

This guest piece from Ryan Teague Beckwith, senior editor at Time magazine, is only available to Political Wire members.

When it comes to punditry, the veepstakes might as well be a sweepstakes.

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Roughly One In Five Would Vote for an Independent

May 18, 2016 at 8:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 47 Comments

A new Data Targeting poll finds that in a race against Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, a generic independent candidate starts off with 21% of the vote.

This number increases to 29% in the “Big Sky” region, 30% in “New England” and 28% in the “West” region.

Bonus Quote of the Day

May 18, 2016 at 8:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 32 Comments

“Tighter than a Speedo on Chris Christie.”

— Paul Begala, quoted by the Daily Beast, describing the results of the Kentucky Democratic primary.

Just a Coincidence?

May 18, 2016 at 8:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 10 Comments

Donald Trump’s sister is judge whose court could rule on release of the Bridgegate “conspirator list” — the names of people who allegedly were involved, but not charged in the politically motivated George Washington Bridge lane closures of 2013 — in a possibly secret hearing the day before the New Jersey primary, according to reporter Matt Katz.

The Asbury Park Press reports “the disclosures, originally scheduled for Friday, were delayed after an unnamed person filed a last-ditch motion to prevent the release.”

Sanders Is Now Hurting Democrats

May 18, 2016 at 7:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 308 Comments

Josh Marshall: “Sanders is telling his supporters that he can still win, which he can’t. He’s suggesting that the win is being stolen by a corrupt establishment, an impression which will be validated when his phony prediction turns out not to be true. Lying like this sets you up for stuff like happened over the weekend in Nevada.”

Kevin Drum: “Before this campaign, he was a gadfly, he was a critic of the system, and he was a man of strong principles. He still is, but he’s also obviously very, very bitter… By all objective measures he did way better than anyone expected and had far more influence than anyone thought he would, and he should feel good about that. Instead, he seems more angry and resentful with every passing day.”

Tight Race In New Hampshire

May 18, 2016 at 6:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 37 Comments

A new WBUR poll in New Hampshire shows Hillary Clinton barely leading Donald Trump in the presidential race, 44% to 42%.

Key finding: Just 35% of New Hampshire voters have a positive view of Clinton; only 33% feel that way about Trump.

Quote of the Day

May 18, 2016 at 6:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 52 Comments

“I look so forward to debating Crooked Hillary Clinton! Democrat primaries are rigged, e-mail investigation is rigged — so time to get it on!”

— Donald Trump, in a tweet looking forward to the general election.

New Jersey Voters Don’t Want Christie on Ticket

May 18, 2016 at 6:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 15 Comments

A new Quinnipiac poll in New Jersey finds that 72% of voters are opposed to Gov. Chris Christie (R) becoming Donald Trump’s vice presidential pick.

Christie has also hit an all-time low in approval ratings, with 64% of voters disapproving of the job he’s doing as governor.

Can Kaine Be An Attack Dog?

May 18, 2016 at 6:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 18 Comments

“To many — in the White House, in and around Hillary Clinton’s orbit, and among top Democrats — the question of ‘Could Tim Kaine be a good vice president?’ is settled. It’s how the Virginia senator would do as an attack-dog running mate that’s still in question,” Politico reports.

“And when the opposition is a bully bomb-throwing genius who seems ready to say just about anything, when people worry that Bill Clinton will spend the campaign bouncing off the walls complaining that they’re not hitting back enough, that has top Democratic operatives nervous.”

Bill Clinton Made $5 Million for Speeches Last Year

May 18, 2016 at 5:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 40 Comments

“Bill Clinton raked in $5 million in paid speeches last year, according to his wife’s most recent personal financial disclosure released Tuesday night, including $2.7 million after Hillary Clinton announced her presidential run,” Politico reports.

Sanders Again Slows Clinton to Nomination

May 18, 2016 at 5:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 29 Comments

Sen. Bernie Sanders prevailed over Hillary Clinton on Tuesday in the Oregon primary, while Mrs. Clinton claimed victory in a tight race in Kentucky, the day’s other contest, the New York Times reports.

“With a lead in delegates that is almost impossible for Mr. Sanders to overcome, Mrs. Clinton is moving closer each week to claiming the Democratic nomination. But her march has been encumbered by Mr. Sanders’s persistence in the race and his success in recent contests, including victories in Indiana’s primary on May 3 and West Virginia’s last week.”

Tonight’s Primary Races

May 17, 2016 at 8:35 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 740 Comments

Hillary Clinton has won the Democratic primary in Kentucky.

Trump Says He’s Worth Even More Now

May 17, 2016 at 8:31 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 44 Comments

Donald Trump boasted that he has filed a new personal financial disclosure report, one that shows “tremendous cash flow” and income in excess of a half a billion dollars, Politico reports.

“The campaign added in the statement that Trump’s net worth has only grown since his first statement last July and that his net worth is now above $10 billion.”

Clinton Super PAC Takes Aim at Trump

May 17, 2016 at 8:26 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 10 Comments

“The general election effort to take down Donald Trump through television ads will begin on Wednesday, with the main super PAC supporting Hillary Clinton airing its first two attack ads on broadcast television in four important swing states. The effort kicks off a multimillion-dollar campaign that will flood TV screens in those battlegrounds in the months to come,” the New York Times reports.

Brown Cools Down VP Talk

May 17, 2016 at 8:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 7 Comments

Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) “may support Hillary Clinton, but the Democratic senator provided one reason Tuesday that he might think twice before accepting an invitation to be her running mate: Ohio Gov. John Kasich would nominate his replacement if the ticket is successful,” Politico reports.

Trump Would Meet with North Korea’s Leader

May 17, 2016 at 5:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 253 Comments

Donald Trump told Reuters that he “is willing to talk to North Korean leader Kim Jong Un to try to stop Pyongyang’s nuclear program.”

Said Trump: “I would speak to him, I would have no problem speaking to him. At the same time I would put a lot of pressure on China because economically we have tremendous power over China.”

“Trump also said he disapproved of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s actions in eastern Ukraine, called for a renegotiation of the Paris climate accord, and said he would dismantle most of the Dodd-Frank financial regulations if he is elected president.”

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Lame Duck Session: A “lame duck session” is when the House or Senate reconvenes in an even-numbered year following the November general elections to consider various items of ….

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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