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Democrats Now Worried Clinton Can Lose

September 17, 2016 at 9:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “For both parties, every election can feel like the most vital of a lifetime, the one day standing between a still-proud nation and its imminent demise. Among liberals, there is an especially rich tradition of bed-wetting, as even some practitioners call it, at the faintest sign of shakiness from their candidate.”

“But as Hillary Clinton lurches toward Election Day, her supporters at times seem overwhelmed by a tsunami of unease, exacerbated by Mrs. Clinton’s bout of pneumonia and a slow-footed acknowledgment of the illness. They are confronting a question they had assumed, just a few weeks ago, they would not need to consider in a race against the most unpopular presidential nominee in modern times: Could Mrs. Clinton actually blow this?”

Nate Silver: Democrats should panic… if the polls still look like this in a week.

Trump Suggests Clinton Bodyguards Disarm

September 17, 2016 at 9:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump “once again raised the specter of violence against Hillary Clinton, suggesting Friday that the Secret Service agents who guard her voluntarily disarm to ‘see what happens to her’ without their protection, the New York Times reports.

Said Trump: “I think that her bodyguards should drop all weapons. I think they should disarm. Immediately.”

He went on: “Let’s see what happens to her. Take their guns away, O.K. It’ll be very dangerous.”

Why Did Trump Stick to a Birther Lie?

September 17, 2016 at 9:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The essential question — Why promote a lie? — may be unanswerable. Was it sport? Was it his lifelong quest to court media attention? Was it racism? Was it the cynical start of his eventual campaign for president?”

“It might not matter. He kept doing it, even as his most senior aides assured the public that he had long since abandoned the fallacy.”

“He had not. He was disingenuous until the very end, telling a Washington Post reporter just 72 hours before that he was unready to concede the president’s place of birth. But he treated the weighty topic, as he does so much else, like a television cliffhanger, promising a major declaration on Friday.”

Washington Post: Trump’s stance on display: Never wrong, and never loved more by his supporters.


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‘Time for Some Traffic Problems’

September 17, 2016 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

With the trial of two key allies of Gov. Chris Christie set to begin — and last for six weeks — the Wall Street Journal offers a readers’ guide to the trial based on conversations with defense attorneys and former federal prosecutors experienced in public-corruption cases.

State Poll Roundup: Friday

September 16, 2016 at 4:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here are the latest state polls from the presidential race:

Ohio: Trump 42%, Clinton 42% (OnMessage)

Florida: Clinton 46%, Trump 43% (Global Strategy Group)

Third Party Candidates Miss the Cut

September 16, 2016 at 3:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gary Johnson and Jill Stein have missed the cut for the first presidential debate, The Hill reports.

The Commission on Presidential Debates announced that Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the only presidential candidates who will participate in the first debates.

We’re Just Getting What We Want

September 16, 2016 at 3:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Matt Taibbi: “No doubt about it, the country is in a brutal spot right now. We are less than two months from the possibility of one of the dumbest people on the planet winning the White House. And it seems that all anyone’s talked about this week, whether around the water cooler or on TV news, Twitter or Facebook, is the lung capacity of Hillary Clinton.”

“That sucks. But it’s not all the media’s fault. This is classic horse-race stuff, and if you’re getting it, it’s at least in part because you spent decades asking for it.”

“The campaign has devolved over time into an entertainment program, a degrading and vicious show where the contestants win the nuclear launch codes instead of a date with a millionaire. Under the rules of this reality series which media consumers turn into a gigantic hit every four years, collapsing in front of a cell-phone camera at a 9/11 memorial service is more important than a dozen position papers.”

“It just is. You proved it when you clicked on that video of the episode last weekend and didn’t read a compare-and-contrast piece on, for instance, the candidates’ banking policies.”

Will Trump Now Pay What He Promised?

September 16, 2016 at 2:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Washington Post‘s David Fahrenthold sent this to Donald Trump’s campaign:

I noted that today Mr. Trump said he believes President Obama’s Hawaiian birth certificate is legitimate. That makes this a story for me now: Can you provide details of where and when he will donate the $5 million Mr. Trump promise to give to charity?

Why Trump May Have an Electoral College Advantage

September 16, 2016 at 2:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Much has been made of the demographic advantages, such as the growing number of Latino voters, that Hillary Clinton has in the presidential race. But she’s also got a major weakness: Current polling shows her support is less optimally distributed than Barack Obama’s was in 2008 and 2012.

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Young Voters Force Clinton Campaign Reset

September 16, 2016 at 1:38 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Hillary Clinton’s once-commanding lead among young voters has collapsed as millennials look toward third-party candidates, a development that helps explain why the presidential race has tightened substantially in recent weeks,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Young voters are a pillar of the Democratic coalition, and the Clinton campaign is making a new effort to keep them in the fold. On Friday, First Lady Michelle Obama will campaign for Mrs. Clinton on a college campus in the battleground state of Virginia.”

“Sen. Bernie Sanders, a sensation among younger voters during the Democratic primaries, will campaign for Mrs. Clinton this weekend, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, a liberal icon, will attend campaign events this weekend at two Ohio universities.”

For members: The Obama Coalition Isn’t Coming Together — Yet

Kennedy Won’t Stop Talking About Rival and Prostitution

September 16, 2016 at 12:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Louisiana State Treasurer John Kennedy said he won’t back off asking about allegations that his opponent in the U.S. Senate race was allegedly involved with prostitutes, the Baton Rouge Advocate reports.

Said Kennedy: “The most prestigious publisher in the world has alleged that he was serviced by not one, not two, not three but four prostitutes and has cheated on his wife. He says it’s a lie. I didn’t write that. Simon and Schuster did. He needs to sue them if it’s not true.”

Trump Says Obama Was Born in the United States

September 16, 2016 at 11:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump reversed himself and acknowledged the fact that President Obama was born in the United States, the AP reports.

Said Trump: “Not to mention her in the same breath but Hillary Clinton and her campaign of 2008 started the birther controversy. I finished it. I finished it. You know what I mean. President Barack Obama was born in the United States, period. Now we all want to get back to making America great again.”

Clinton Seeks to Halt Third Party Drift

September 16, 2016 at 10:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Hillary Clinton and her Democratic allies, unnerved by the tightening presidential race, are making a major push to dissuade disaffected voters from backing third-party candidates, and pouring more energy into Rust Belt states, where Donald Trump is gaining ground,” the New York Times reports.

“With Mrs. Clinton enduring one of the rockiest stretches of her second bid for the presidency, her campaign and affiliated Democratic groups are shifting their focus to those voters, many of them millennials, who recoil at Mr. Trump, her Republican opponent, but now favor the Libertarian nominee, Gary Johnson, or the Green Party candidate, Jill Stein.”

Senate Dysfunction Blocks Criminal Justice Reform

September 16, 2016 at 10:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A major criminal-justice overhaul bill seemed destined to be the bipartisan success story of the year, consensus legislation that showed lawmakers could still rise above politics and take on a serious societal problem,” the New York Times reports.

“Then the election got in the way. With Donald J. Trump demanding ‘law and order’ and Senate Republicans divided on the wisdom of reducing federal mandatory minimum sentences, the effort that began with real promise stalled, and now its Senate authors acknowledge there is virtually no chance for action on the measure this year.”

‘This is Pure Madness’

September 16, 2016 at 8:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Maureen Dowd joins Chris Riback on Political Wire Conversations for a discussion on the 2016 campaign and her new book, The Year of Voting Dangerously: The Derangement of American Politics.

Listen here:

Subscribe via iTunes or RSS to get new episodes automatically downloaded to your phone. Follow @chrisriback on Twitter.

Special thanks to the Cook Political Report for sponsoring this episode!

Going Birther Again Makes No Sense for Trump

September 16, 2016 at 8:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “The only way Trump addressing the Birther story makes sense is through the logic that ‘any day the campaign is about you is a good day.’ Besides that, addressing it doesn’t make sense. Either he doubles down on his past statements, which only complicates the campaign trying to woo African Americans and to seize on the ‘Deplorables’ controversy. Or he repudiates his past Birther statements, which raises the question if he has a political core. How can you beat the Birther drums for five years and then say you’re sorry 50-plus days before an election? If so, what does he believe? And what is he for?”

“One other point here: With his poll numbers improving, Trump appears to be getting a little cocky (this, Dr. Oz, criticizing the African-American pastor). As we know, Hillary Clinton can sometimes be a terrible frontrunner. Maybe Trump isn’t a good one as well.”

Rick Klein: “What matters in Donald Trump going birther again isn’t his current stance – even if one could be established as consistent, final, and coming from the candidate himself. What matters isn’t – or isn’t only – his long history with the matter, from bringing President Obama’s birth status to the public eye (that wasn’t Hillary Clinton’s doing) to his unsubstantiated claim to have sent private investigators to Hawaii. What matters is how he is still talking about it, and the obvious inferences as to why. It’s a blunt appeal to Obama hatred, including those for whom race is part of the reason to hate. Perhaps just as critically, it’s another Trump distraction – putting himself at the center of attention, and taking scrutiny away from other corners. Trump has used distraction and deflection as tools throughout the campaign. Again, he’s where he wants to be – the focus of frenzy he will surely call a media obsession.”

Trump Can Win

September 16, 2016 at 7:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rich Lowry: “If you aren’t seriously contemplating the biggest black-swan event in American electoral history, you aren’t paying attention.”

“Fifteen months ago, Donald Trump was a reality-TV star with a spotty business record and a weird penchant for proclaiming he was on the verge of running for president. Now, he’s perhaps a few big breaks and a couple of sterling debate performances away from being elected 45th president of the United States.”

“And, no, stranger things haven’t happened.”

The Hardening of Hillary

September 16, 2016 at 7:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Todd Purdum: “For all the public grind of this campaign, for all her public presence on the world stage over the past two decades, Clinton herself has increasingly spent her days in a kind of purdah, suppressing spontaneous utterances and surrounded by loyalists whose chief role is her care and feeding. She communicates only through a veil of unyielding self-protection, surrounded by a curtain of defensiveness.”

“So nowadays, almost no one outside Clinton’s innermost circle ever sees the tender side that loyal aides and friends insist is such a palpable part of her personality, but I can attest that it is there.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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