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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 189

Navigating the Nonsense

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 189: Navigating the Nonsense

Emails Dispute Idea That Flynn Acted Independently

December 2, 2017 · 9:57 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“When President Trump fired his national security adviser, Michael Flynn, in February, White House officials portrayed him as a renegade who had acted independently in his discussions with a Russian official during the presidential transition and then lied to his colleagues about the interactions,” the New York Times reports.

“But emails among top transition officials, provided or described to The New York Times, suggest that Mr. Flynn was far from a rogue actor. In fact, the emails, coupled with interviews and court documents filed on Friday, showed that Mr. Flynn was in close touch with other senior members of the Trump transition team both before and after he spoke with the Russian ambassador, Sergey I. Kislyak, about American sanctions against Russia.”

ABC News Suspends Reporter

December 2, 2017 · 9:55 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“ABC News investigative reporter Brian Ross was suspended for four weeks without pay tonight over his incorrect report that Michael Flynn was prepared to testify that Donald Trump told him to contact the Russians during his presidential campaign,” Axios reports.

“The network later corrected the report to say that Trump gave him that instruction as president-elect — which is a big difference, since there’s nothing unusual about newly elected presidents contacting foreign governments.”

Trump’s Tweets Spike During ‘Fox & Friends’

December 2, 2017 · 10:31 am ET · Leave a Comment

Republicans Have No Credibility on the Budget Deficit

December 2, 2017 · 10:13 am ET · Leave a Comment

“In 2009, almost every Republican in Congress opposed a $787 billion stimulus plan in the midst of an economic crisis because they said it would cause a dangerous increase in the federal debt,” the New York Times reports.

Said Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) at the time: “Yesterday the Senate cast one of the most expensive votes in history. Americans are wondering how we’re going to pay for all this.”

“Nine years later, during one of the longest economic expansions in American history, almost every Republican in Congress — including Mr. McConnell, now the majority leader — supports a tax plan that is projected to cause an even larger increase in the federal debt.”

Three Takeaways from Michael Flynn’s Guilty Plea

December 2, 2017 · 10:06 am ET · Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

With a day to digest the news of former national security adviser Michael Flynn’s guilty plea of lying to the FBI about his conversation with Russia’s ambassador, here are what I think are the most important takeaways:

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Why Health Repeal Failed But the Tax Bill May Succeed

December 2, 2017 · 9:34 am ET · Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

The polls suggest that the Republican tax reform bill isn’t much more popular than their attempt to repeal the Affordable Care Act. Yet the Senate was just able to pass the tax reform bill which includes a repeal of Obamacare’s individual mandate.

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How an Unequal Tax Bill Grew More Unequal

December 2, 2017 · 8:56 am ET · Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “When Senate Republicans introduced their tax bill in mid-November, they faced competing interests: Some senators thought it wasn’t generous enough for working-class families. Others thought it didn’t deliver enough to business owners.”

“As Republicans moved closer to a final vote on the bill Friday night, they made several tweaks to the tax legislation. They announced more benefits for business owners, particularly wealthy ones, but they voted down a proposal by Sens. Marco Rubio (R-FL) and Mike Lee (R-UT) to give low-income families a bigger tax break.”

“The disparate treatment underlined how the legislation — a massive rewrite of the individual and corporate tax code — has evolved since its first incarnation: What began as an effort that would favor wealthy individuals and corporations became, in many ways, even more tilted in their favor as the legislation made its way through the Senate.”

Quote of the Day

December 2, 2017 · 8:52 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Any handwriting experts out there? I’d like to know what this says before they call for a vote.”

— Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA), on Twitter, as Senate Republicans rushed to make changes and vote on their tax bill late last night.

Jones Has Small Edge In New Alabama Poll

December 2, 2017 · 8:30 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new Washington Post-Schar School poll in Alabama finds Doug Jones (D) leading Roy Moore in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 47%.

“The survey shows that allegations of improper sexual behavior against Moore, a former Alabama chief justice, hang heavily over a race that would favor a Republican under ordinary circumstances in this deeply conservative state.”

Senate Passes Massive Rewrite of Tax Code

December 2, 2017 · 8:26 am ET · Leave a Comment

“The Senate passed the most sweeping tax rewrite in decades early Saturday, with Republicans lining up to approve an overhaul that will touch almost every corner of the United States economy, affecting families, small business owners and multinational corporations, with the biggest benefits flowing to the highest-earning Americans,” the New York Times reports.

“Senators voted 51-49, as Republicans approved the nearly 500-page bill in the early morning hours after lawmakers received a rewritten version, which contained significant changes from the original bill that passed two Senate panels last month along party lines. The last-minute revisions prompted an outcry from Democrats, who said it was impossible — and irresponsible — for lawmakers to read and digest a significant piece of legislation in such a short period of time.”

Washington Post: “This time, urged on by donors and fearful of facing voters in next year’s midterm elections without a legislative achievement to show, Republicans said time and again that failure was not an option.”

Gowdy Settled Wrongful Termination Suit for $150K

December 1, 2017 · 6:09 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“As chairman of the House Select Committee on Benghazi, Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-SC) used $150,000 in taxpayer dollars to settle with a former aide who alleged he was fired in part because he was not willing to focus his investigative work on Hillary Clinton,” the Washington Post reports.

Bonus Quote of the Day

December 1, 2017 · 6:01 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Republican tax plan is the rare piece of legislation that manages to provide something for nearly everyone to hate.”

— Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders’ former campaign managers, Robby Mook and Jeff Weaver, in a joint memo.

Flynn Plea Caught White House Off Guard

December 1, 2017 · 5:48 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Politico: “Trump told associates as recently as last weekend — while he was visiting his Mar-a-Lago resort for Thanksgiving — that he isn’t worried about the outcome of Mueller’s probe into Russian meddling in the 2016 election, which has grown to encompass his response to the investigation.”

“But there is a growing sense of dread among Trump’s closest confidants that the noose is tightening — if not around the president, then around his closest advisers and family members.”

Said one person close to the White House: “What they’re freaked out about is that there are no leaks. Papadopoulos didn’t leak. Flynn didn’t leak. They feel like they can’t trust anyone. Their own counsel didn’t know.”

Lawfare has a “quick and dirty” analysis of the Flynn plea.

Still Waiting for the Final Tax Bill

December 1, 2017 · 4:48 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Ken Rudin: “It fascinates me that we don’t even have the final language yet for the Senate tax bill but Republicans say they have the votes to pass it. Why not just call for a vote now and write the bill some other time?”

We now expect the final vote to be 51 to 49, with Sen. Bob Corker (R-TN) as the only Republican voting against the legislation.

Why Flynn Was Charged With Only One Count

December 1, 2017 · 4:07 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Former federal prosecutors told TPM that special counsel Robert Mueller made a calculated move to keep Michael Flynn’s charge limited:

“What’s interesting to me is what he’s not charged with,” said Steven Miller, a former anti-corruption federal prosecutor. “This is a very narrowly drawn structural plea bargain. By virtue of a single count he can’t get more than a five-year sentence. You don’t get that unless you’re giving something serious to the government. And the number of players left are relatively small: it’s Jared Kushner, it’s Donald Trump Jr., it’s the Trump campaign, and it’s the President. So I think this is something that would cause all of them to be extraordinarily worried.”

“It’s a neon sign that there’s massive cooperation underway by Flynn,” Miller added.

‘Lock Him Up!’

December 1, 2017 · 4:05 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Michael Flynn was greeted with familiar chants as he left the courthouse after pleading guilty today.

Trump Denies He’ll Soon Fire Tillerson

December 1, 2017 · 3:51 pm ET · Leave a Comment

President Trump tweeted that reports he would soon fire Secretary of State Rex Tillerson were “fake news,” and that “I call the final shots,” the New York Times reports.

The tweet came just hours after Tillerson called reports that the White House wants him to resign “laughable.”

Kushner Is Said to Have Ordered Flynn to Contact Russia

December 1, 2017 · 1:55 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Former national security adviser Michael Flynn’s guilty plea Friday for lying to the FBI is alarming news for Donald Trump. But the first person it’s likely to jeopardize will be the president’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner,” Bloomberg reports.

“Two former officials with the Trump transition team who worked closely with Flynn say that during the last days of the Obama administration, the retired general was instructed to contact foreign ambassadors and foreign ministers of countries on the U.N. Security Council, ahead of a vote condemning Israeli settlements. Flynn was told to try to get them to delay that vote until after Barack Obama had left office, or oppose the resolution altogether.”

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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