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North Carolina Loses NCAA Tournament

September 12, 2016 at 10:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Since the North Carolina legislature last March passed House Bill 2, a controversial law restricting transgender bathroom access and limiting the civil rights and bathroom usage of the LGBT community, the state has lost the NBA All-Star Game, Bruce Springsteen and other concerts and conventions and an untold amount of revenue,” the Raleigh News & Observer reports.

“Now North Carolina is losing the NCAA tournament. The NCAA announced on Monday that the seven championships scheduled in the state during this academic year, including NCAA men’s basketball tournament games in Greensboro, would be relocated because of House Bill 2, better known as HB2.”

Electoral Map Has a Growing Democratic Bias

September 12, 2016 at 5:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The presidential election map is undergoing a fundamental change, with shifts that will make it easier for Democrats to win not only in 2016 but also for years to come,” McClatchy reports.

“Driving the change are two demographic trends: The share of Hispanic and under-30 voters, who favor Democrats in big numbers, is growing significantly in states that in the last decade were decent bets to vote Republican.”

“Colorado, Nevada and Pennsylvania illustrate how the demographic changes are giving Hillary Clinton an electoral advantage Democrats are unlikely to lose anytime soon. Clinton leads in Pennsylvania and Colorado, which for years were regarded as swing states, and she has a polling edge in Nevada.”

New Senate Forecast Tips to Republicans

September 12, 2016 at 4:57 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

A new forecast from HuffPost Pollster shows Republicans currently have a 62% chance of retaining control of the U.S. Senate after running 100 million simulations. The Senate splits 50-50 in 23% of the runs and goes Democratic just 14% of the time.

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Trump Says Fed Is Part of a Partisan Conspiracy

September 12, 2016 at 4:39 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In May, Donald Trump thought the Federal Reserve handled interest rates exactly right, NBC News reports.

Said Trump: “Right now I am for low interest rates, and I think we keep them low.”

Today, he said Fed chair Janet Yellen’s interest rate decisions proved she was “obviously not independent” and is out to help Democrats: “It’s staying at zero because she’s obviously political and she’s doing what Obama wants her to do. And I know that’s not supposed to be the way it is, but that’s why it’s low.”

Nate Silver Gave Paid Presentation to GOP Donors

September 12, 2016 at 3:14 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Silver gave a presentation on the 2016 battleground map to a group of powerful Republican donors in Manhattan last week, The Hill reports.

“Silver was paid to give the presentation by the American Opportunity Alliance, a group led by some of the biggest Republican donors in the country, including hedge fund billionaire Paul Singer and the Ricketts family, which owns the Chicago Cubs.”

Trump Foundation Made Phantom Donations

September 12, 2016 at 2:34 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Five times, the Trump Foundation’s tax filings described giving a specific amount of money to a specific charity — in some cases, even including the recipient’s address. But when the Washington Post called, the charities listed said the tax filings appeared wrong. They’d never received anything from Trump or his foundation.”

Any Trump Momentum Has Now Stalled

September 12, 2016 at 1:53 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

After a relatively rough couple of weeks for Hillary Clinton, the various forecasting models still give her a very good chance of winning the presidential race.

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Clinton CIA Chief Backs Trump

September 12, 2016 at 1:52 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Bill Clinton’s former CIA chief, James Woolsey, will act as an adviser to Donald Trump’s campaign, The Hill reports.

Said Woolsey: “She demonstrated a complete lack of understanding and an inability to lead the agency she headed in such a way as to maintain its mission and security. Based on the emails thus far released we know that Secretary Clinton also lacks the ability to lead her senior managers while complying with and maintaining the basic protocols designed to protect our government’s sensitive and classified information.”

GOP Lawmaker Doubts Clinton Has Pneumonia

September 12, 2016 at 1:49 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Gary Palmer (R-AL) told WAPI that he doubts whether Hillary Clinton’s campaign is being honest when they revealed on Sunday that the Democratic nominee has pneumonia.

Said Palmer: “They’ve tried to attribute the cough to bronchitis, they’ve tried to attribute it to pneumonia, but I sat in the Benghazi hearing for three hours. And she sat there and coughed her way through that. You know, again, you just look at the pattern and it just begs the question, are we being lied to again?”

Christie’s Personal Email Can Be Searched

September 12, 2016 at 12:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gov. Chris Christie’s “personal email must be searched — or he must prove that it already has been — to comply with the state’s open-records law, a Superior Court judge has ruled,” the Bergen Record reports.

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

September 12, 2016 at 12:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Portman has run a damn fine race. The rest, I’ll have to tell you over a drink.”

— DSCC Executive Director Tom Lopach, quoted by the Columbus Dispatch, on Ted Strickland’s (D) weak challenge to Sen. Rob Portman (R-OH).

McDonnell Still Owes Lawyers $10 Million

September 12, 2016 at 12:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell (R) still owes more than $10 million to the lawyers who ultimately got his federal corruption conviction overturned, the AP reports.

Trump Suggests No Moderators at Debates

September 12, 2016 at 11:25 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump floated a new idea for his upcoming debates against Hillary Clinton, proposing a debate without a moderator to avoid a “very unfair” showdown because such a person would go “really hard” against him, Politico reports.

Said Trump: “I’m gonna get — be treated very, very unfairly by the moderators.”

He continued: “The fact is that they’re gaming the system, and I think, maybe, we should have no moderator. Let Hillary and I sit there and just debate because I think the system is being rigged so it’s gonna be a very unfair debate, and I can see it happening right now because everyone’s saying that he was soft on Trump.”

State Poll Roundup: Monday

September 12, 2016 at 11:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here are the latest state polls from the presidential race:

Iowa: Trump 43%, Clinton 42% (RABA Research)

California: Clinton 58%, Trump 33% (USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times)

Florida: Trump 45%, Clinton 42% (JMC Enterprises)

Utah: Trump 39%, Clinton 24% (Dan Jones & Associates)

Michigan: Clinton 45%, Trump 39% (Mitchell Research)

Bonus Quote of the Day

September 12, 2016 at 8:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I feel very confident. Otherwise I wouldn’t be telling you I did this.”

— Donald Trump, in an interview on CNBC, saying he would soon release the results of a physical he had last week.

The Least Transparent Candidate In Modern History

September 12, 2016 at 8:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

After falling ill this weekend, Hillary Clinton deserves criticism for not being forthcoming on her health. If she had been diagnosed with pneumonia on Friday, her campaign should have said something then. It was especially odd that the campaign still said nothing in the hours after she was filmed having trouble getting into her vehicle after leaving the 9/11 event in lower Manhattan. Ditching the press pool responsible for covering her only compounded the problem.

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Trump Foundation Is Not Like Other Charities

September 12, 2016 at 8:22 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “The Donald J. Trump Foundation is not like other charities. An investigation of the foundation — including examinations of 17 years of tax filings and interviews with more than 200 individuals or groups listed as donors or beneficiaries — found that it collects and spends money in a very unusual manner. For one thing, nearly all of its money comes from people other than Trump. In tax records, the last gift from Trump was in 2008. Since then, all of the donations have been other people’s money — an arrangement that experts say is almost unheard of for a family foundation. Trump then takes that money and generally does with it as he pleases. In many cases, he passes it on to other charities, which often are under the impression that it is Trump’s own money. In two cases, he has used money from his charity to buy himself a gift. In one of those cases — not previously reported — Trump spent $20,000 of money earmarked for charitable purposes to buy a six-foot-tall painting of himself. Money from the Trump Foundation has also been used for political purposes, which is against the law.”

Trump Plans to Stay Quiet on Clinton’s Health

September 12, 2016 at 8:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump’s strategy for handling the news about Hillary Clinton’s spell of ill health will be to keep quiet,” Bloomberg reports.

“The Republican presidential nominee in the past has had trouble resisting the temptation to pounce on his rivals when he sees an opening… Instead of coming out swinging like he often does, the plan is for him and his campaign aides to refrain from commenting on the bystanders’ videos that showed Clinton stumbling or collapsing as she was helped into her vehicle by staff and Secret Service agents, according to the people briefed on the strategy.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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