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Grinding It Out

June 15, 2015 at 9:38 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 19 Comments

First Read: “Hillary Clinton (who’s begun her big kickoff rallies) and Jeb Bush (who officially announces his presidential bid today) have one other similarity beyond their famous last names: Their messages and paths to the White House are about grinding it out.”

“For Hillary, that was evident in her Saturday speech at Roosevelt Island in New York. If you were expecting the electricity of an Obama event in 2007-2008 or even 2012, you were mistaken. Instead, you got a candidate promising to fight and grind it out… And while she has maybe the clearest path to winning a party’s presidential nomination in modern times, her general-election strategy will be all about pushing that Democratic coalition to a third-straight presidential win, which won’t be easy. As for Jeb, his path to winning the GOP nomination is all about grinding out — in a large GOP field and to a Republican audience that might be resistant to his message on immigration and Common Core.”

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

June 15, 2015 at 9:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 51 Comments

“I think the biggest mistake I made was not focusing very early on minority voters.”

— Mitt Romney, explaining to NBC News why he lost the 2012 presidential election.

If Republicans Can’t Beat Hillary, the Party Is Over

June 15, 2015 at 9:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 93 Comments

Philip Klein: “When Republicans lost two elections to Obama, it was easy to explain away as a special phenomenon. In 2008, Obama was a rock star running against a boring old senator who represented an incumbent party that had presided over an unpopular war and financial crash. In 2012, he ran for re-election against a weak candidate who had trouble winning over his own party. But in 2016, Republicans have the ability to nominate a formidable candidate to put up against a Democrat with lots of baggage. If they blow it, then it may be time to throw in the towel.”


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The Latest on Wonk Wire

June 15, 2015 at 9:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here’s what’s trending on Wonk Wire today:

  • Upcoming SCOTUS Rulings: Clamoring for Telltale Clues
  • Is Health Care Spending Growing Again?
  • Kansas Avoids Massive Budget Cuts
  • Patent Troll Bills Split Innovation Community
  • Is the Nation’s Uninsured Rate the Lowest Ever?

And a few bonus pieces from Working Capital Review:

  • Why Do Some CEO’s Get Paid So Much?
  • Your Strategy Needs a Strategy

Bonus Quote of the Day

June 15, 2015 at 8:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 23 Comments

“We tried tall, good looking, smart, nice, great family man. Vote for me, we’re not going down that path again.”

— Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC), quoted by the Boston Globe, speaking at Mitt Romney’s summit over the weekend.

Sanders Could Make It a Race in New Hampshire

June 15, 2015 at 8:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 26 Comments

A new Morning Consult poll in New Hampshire shows Hillary Clinton leading the Democratic presidential field with 44% but Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) is within striking distance with 32% support.

How Technology is Destroying Our Democracy

June 15, 2015 at 7:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 10 Comments

My column in The Week: Today’s digital tools divide us far more than they unite us.

Inside Bush’s Money Machine

June 15, 2015 at 7:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 7 Comments

“Jeb Bush’s laser focus on fundraising has sent him crisscrossing the country over the past six months to headline roughly 70 money events as he tries to smash existing presidential campaign records,” Politico reports.

“Rarely taking off more than a day or two off the money chase, Bush has held fundraisers in at least 15 different states and Puerto Rico, with event tickets ranging from $25 to $100,000 per person… The full-court press is a key component of his campaign strategy to shut out potential rivals from megadonors, cement himself as the Republican establishment candidate and create the most ambitious presidential fundraising operation in history — all before even announcing his White House bid.”

Can Mitch McConnell and Chuck Schumer Get Along?

June 15, 2015 at 7:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 4 Comments

Politico: “McConnell, now the Senate majority leader, and Schumer, the Democratic leader-in-waiting, will now have to figure out how — and when — to drop their political swords. Despite serving 16 years together in the chamber, the two men have developed virtually no rapport in a body where trust and relationships are essential. To the extent they’ve engaged, it’s mainly been to launch political — and at times, personal — attacks.”

“But with Schumer set to replace Sen. Harry Reid as Democratic leader in the next Congress, the New York Democrat and the Kentucky Republican will soon have to work with each other on a daily basis — on issues as mundane as the Senate schedule and as profound as the country’s domestic and foreign policy.”

Bush Has Struggled to Win Over Moderates

June 15, 2015 at 7:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 6 Comments

Jeb Bush “might still take exactly this path to the nomination. But the striking — and surprising — thing about his candidacy is that he will formally enter the race Monday bearing many of the costs of the center-right approach without seeming to enjoy many of the benefits,” the New York Times reports.

“He has not won the invisible primary, the behind-the-scenes competition for elite support that often decides the nomination, and he has not even emerged as a favorite of the party’s large block of more moderate voters. He starts in a weaker position than not only his brother in 1999 or his father in 1987, but also Mitt Romney in 2011.”

Jeb Bush Announces Playing Down His Last Name

June 15, 2015 at 7:14 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 15 Comments

Jeb Bush “will enter a presidential contest — unruly in size, unyielding in pace and voracious in cost — that is unlike any faced by his father, George Bush, who won the office in 1988, or his brother, George W. Bush, who claimed it in 2000,” the New York Times reports.

“And as the third member of his family to seek the nation’s highest office, he brings to the race a last name that at once burnishes and tarnishes, evoking the nobility of public service and a deep distrust of political entitlement. Mr. Bush’s campaign will highlight that tension on Monday with the selection of a spare logo, first used in his failed 1994 race for governor, that excludes his surname. It reads simply Jeb!”

Politico: ” Jeb Bush isn’t a fresh face. The conservative base isn’t enamored of him. And his family name isn’t necessarily an asset… That leaves Bush with one straightforward path to the GOP nomination: an argument based on his durability and electability.”

Quote of the Day

June 15, 2015 at 7:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 10 Comments

“Listen, there’s been three independent investigations now all of whom come to the same conclusion that I had nothing to do with it, no knowledge of it, didn’t direct it and didn’t have anything to do with it.”

— Gov. Chris Christie (R), in an interview on ABC News about the intentional George Washington Bridge lane closures ordered by his aides.

Clinton Finally Speaks Out on Trade Deal

June 15, 2015 at 7:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 9 Comments

“Hillary Clinton re-launched her presidential campaign over the weekend by saying she would be a “fighter” for families struggling to pay bills and save for retirement. But for weeks she avoided picking a side in the fight that has bitterly divided her party: the pending 12-nation, Pacific Rim trade deal,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“By Sunday, her reluctance had become untenable. In a speech in Iowa, Mrs. Clinton aligned herself with the party’s congressional liberals, saying their concerns about free trade were valid and that President Obama, who is pushing for the trade pact, should work ‘to make sure we get the best, strongest deal possible.'”

Obama Fights to Save Trade Bill

June 15, 2015 at 7:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 7 Comments

“A deep Democratic divide over President Barack Obama’s ambitions to expand trade in the Pacific clouded prospects this week for reviving key legislation after the House dealt it a stinging setback and Hillary Clinton expressed her own qualms Sunday from the campaign trail,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

New York Times: “Unless he can convince scores of Democrats to change their votes in the coming days, the centerpiece of his much-touted re-engagement with Asia will slip away along with one of the last chances he has to leave his imprint on the world before leaving office.”

Politico: House GOP may take another shot at trade bill

Blumenthal Gets Benghazi Grilling

June 15, 2015 at 6:32 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 3 Comments

“House GOP Benghazi investigators will face off with a combative confidant of Hillary Clinton this week in a closed-door interrogation session — one of the biggest moments for a Benghazi probe that continues to dog the Democratic presidential front-runner,” Politico reports.

“The House Select Committee on Benghazi on Tuesday will depose Sidney Blumenthal — a longtime Clinton family friend — about why he emailed the former secretary of state unsubstantiated intelligence on Libya, whether he was paid for the work and whether he used his Clinton connections to help his business partners.”

Bush Has Edge in New Hampshire

June 14, 2015 at 12:50 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 41 Comments

A new Morning Consult Poll in New Hampshire finds Jeb Bush leading with 14%, followed by Scott Walker at 10%, Rand Paul at 9%, Marco Rubio at 8% and Donald Trump at 8%.

Walker Continues to Lead in Iowa

June 14, 2015 at 12:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 12 Comments

A new Morning Consult Poll in Iowa finds Scott Walker leading the GOP field with 18%, followed by Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee and Rand Paul at 10%. They are followed by Marco Rubio at 7%, Chris Christie at 6%, and Ben Carson and Donald Trump at 5%.

Walker Won’t Announce Until Next Month

June 14, 2015 at 12:39 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 12 Comments

Mike Allen: “Most likely Scott Walker announcement date is Mon., July 13. He isn’t making a decision until after the Wisconsin state budget deadline (June 30), and we don’t have to worry about Fourth of July. So look for it soon thereafter.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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