My column in The Week: Today’s digital tools divide us far more than they unite us.
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Inside Bush’s Money Machine
“Jeb Bush’s laser focus on fundraising has sent him crisscrossing the country over the past six months to headline roughly 70 money events as he tries to smash existing presidential campaign records,” Politico reports.
“Rarely taking off more than a day or two off the money chase, Bush has held fundraisers in at least 15 different states and Puerto Rico, with event tickets ranging from $25 to $100,000 per person… The full-court press is a key component of his campaign strategy to shut out potential rivals from megadonors, cement himself as the Republican establishment candidate and create the most ambitious presidential fundraising operation in history — all before even announcing his White House bid.”
Can Mitch McConnell and Chuck Schumer Get Along?
Politico: “McConnell, now the Senate majority leader, and Schumer, the Democratic leader-in-waiting, will now have to figure out how — and when — to drop their political swords. Despite serving 16 years together in the chamber, the two men have developed virtually no rapport in a body where trust and relationships are essential. To the extent they’ve engaged, it’s mainly been to launch political — and at times, personal — attacks.”
“But with Schumer set to replace Sen. Harry Reid as Democratic leader in the next Congress, the New York Democrat and the Kentucky Republican will soon have to work with each other on a daily basis — on issues as mundane as the Senate schedule and as profound as the country’s domestic and foreign policy.”
Bush Has Struggled to Win Over Moderates
Jeb Bush “might still take exactly this path to the nomination. But the striking — and surprising — thing about his candidacy is that he will formally enter the race Monday bearing many of the costs of the center-right approach without seeming to enjoy many of the benefits,” the New York Times reports.
“He has not won the invisible primary, the behind-the-scenes competition for elite support that often decides the nomination, and he has not even emerged as a favorite of the party’s large block of more moderate voters. He starts in a weaker position than not only his brother in 1999 or his father in 1987, but also Mitt Romney in 2011.”
Jeb Bush Announces Playing Down His Last Name
Jeb Bush “will enter a presidential contest — unruly in size, unyielding in pace and voracious in cost — that is unlike any faced by his father, George Bush, who won the office in 1988, or his brother, George W. Bush, who claimed it in 2000,” the New York Times reports.
“And as the third member of his family to seek the nation’s highest office, he brings to the race a last name that at once burnishes and tarnishes, evoking the nobility of public service and a deep distrust of political entitlement. Mr. Bush’s campaign will highlight that tension on Monday with the selection of a spare logo, first used in his failed 1994 race for governor, that excludes his surname. It reads simply Jeb!”
Politico: ” Jeb Bush isn’t a fresh face. The conservative base isn’t enamored of him. And his family name isn’t necessarily an asset… That leaves Bush with one straightforward path to the GOP nomination: an argument based on his durability and electability.”
Quote of the Day
“Listen, there’s been three independent investigations now all of whom come to the same conclusion that I had nothing to do with it, no knowledge of it, didn’t direct it and didn’t have anything to do with it.”
— Gov. Chris Christie (R), in an interview on ABC News about the intentional George Washington Bridge lane closures ordered by his aides.
Clinton Finally Speaks Out on Trade Deal
“Hillary Clinton re-launched her presidential campaign over the weekend by saying she would be a “fighter” for families struggling to pay bills and save for retirement. But for weeks she avoided picking a side in the fight that has bitterly divided her party: the pending 12-nation, Pacific Rim trade deal,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“By Sunday, her reluctance had become untenable. In a speech in Iowa, Mrs. Clinton aligned herself with the party’s congressional liberals, saying their concerns about free trade were valid and that President Obama, who is pushing for the trade pact, should work ‘to make sure we get the best, strongest deal possible.'”
Obama Fights to Save Trade Bill
“A deep Democratic divide over President Barack Obama’s ambitions to expand trade in the Pacific clouded prospects this week for reviving key legislation after the House dealt it a stinging setback and Hillary Clinton expressed her own qualms Sunday from the campaign trail,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
New York Times: “Unless he can convince scores of Democrats to change their votes in the coming days, the centerpiece of his much-touted re-engagement with Asia will slip away along with one of the last chances he has to leave his imprint on the world before leaving office.”
Politico: House GOP may take another shot at trade bill
Blumenthal Gets Benghazi Grilling
“House GOP Benghazi investigators will face off with a combative confidant of Hillary Clinton this week in a closed-door interrogation session — one of the biggest moments for a Benghazi probe that continues to dog the Democratic presidential front-runner,” Politico reports.
“The House Select Committee on Benghazi on Tuesday will depose Sidney Blumenthal — a longtime Clinton family friend — about why he emailed the former secretary of state unsubstantiated intelligence on Libya, whether he was paid for the work and whether he used his Clinton connections to help his business partners.”
Bush Has Edge in New Hampshire
A new Morning Consult Poll in New Hampshire finds Jeb Bush leading with 14%, followed by Scott Walker at 10%, Rand Paul at 9%, Marco Rubio at 8% and Donald Trump at 8%.
Walker Continues to Lead in Iowa
A new Morning Consult Poll in Iowa finds Scott Walker leading the GOP field with 18%, followed by Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee and Rand Paul at 10%. They are followed by Marco Rubio at 7%, Chris Christie at 6%, and Ben Carson and Donald Trump at 5%.
Walker Won’t Announce Until Next Month
Mike Allen: “Most likely Scott Walker announcement date is Mon., July 13. He isn’t making a decision until after the Wisconsin state budget deadline (June 30), and we don’t have to worry about Fourth of July. So look for it soon thereafter.”
Graham Holds Small Lead in South Carolina
A new Morning Consult Poll in South Carolina finds favorite son Lindsey Graham leading with 14%, but followed closely by Ben Carson at 12%, Jeb Bush at 11%, Scott Walker at 10%, Marco Rubio at 8%, Mike Huckabee at 7% and Ted Cruz at 6%.
Bush Says He’ll Break Away from Pack
Jeb Bush told CNN that he believes he’ll be in a better position to break away from the rest of the Republican field when he announces his presidential candidacy.
Said Bush: “People make up their minds in the last weeks of these primaries. My expectation is we’ll have slow, steady progress. That’s been the expectation all along.”
Is Jeb Bush Really Florida’s Favorite Son?
Jeb Bush “may not be nearly as strong in Florida as his reputation suggests. A Bloomberg Politics study conducted with University of Florida political scientist Daniel A. Smith found that nearly three-quarters of Florida’s 12.9 million currently registered voters have never even seen Bush’s name on a ballot.”
“By contrast, 92 percent of Floridians who voted when Marco Rubio was last on the ballot, in 2010, are still registered.”
Quote of the Day
“With all that bad news, is it not true that arguably President Obama is the worst foreign policy president in history? I think he is.”
— Mitt Romney, quoted by the Washington Post, after giving a presentation to about 200 GOP donors.
Clinton Promises a Different Style of President
Washington Post: “It has long been said that voters use presidential elections to correct perceived deficiencies in the incumbent. Asking for continuity of power while nevertheless advocating changes, Clinton appears eager to contrast herself with Obama in ways that are both subtle and direct.”
“If Obama spoke of transformation, Clinton is running as a workaday problem solver with a lengthy to-do list and the policies to match — an incrementalist who will measure progress in small changes as much as grand achievements. If the Obama who defeated her eight years ago was the candidate of soaring rhetoric, of hope and inspiration, Clinton is running as a dogged and determined fighter at a time when many voters are looking for evidence of achievable results.”
“If Obama is faulted for having failed to develop relationships with Republicans — or even Democrats, as Friday’s trade vote in the House reminded — Clinton will be presented as someone whose approach is not that of a president often described as distant from other elected officials.”
Wall Street Journal: Why Hillary Clinton will be tough to beat
Pope Francis to Look at Climate Effect on Poor
New York Times: “On Thursday, Pope Francis will release his first major teaching letter, known as an encyclical, on the theme of the environment and the poor. Given the pope’s widespread popularity, and his penchant for speaking out on major global issues, the encyclical is being treated as a milestone that could place the Roman Catholic Church at the forefront of a new coalition of religion and science.”
Wonk Wire: Climate change deniers will be the big money losers