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An Election About Nothing?

August 10, 2014 at 12:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “This is an election about nothing — and everything. Unlike in previous midterm election years, no dominant national theme has emerged for the 2014 campaign, according to public opinion surveys as well as interviews last week with scores of voters in five key states and with dozens of politicians and party strategists.”

“Even without a single salient issue, a heavy cloud of economic anxiety and general unease is hanging over the fiercely partisan debate. Listening to voters, you hear a downbeat tone to everything political — the nation’s economy, infrastructure and schools; the crises flaring around the world; the evolving culture wars at home; immigration laws; President Obama and other elected leaders in Washington.”

Hawaii Senate Primary Still Up in the Air

August 10, 2014 at 12:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Neither Sen. Brian Schatz (D) nor his primary challenger, Colleen Hanabusa (D), went to bed after Saturday’s primary election knowing who won their party’s nomination, the Honolulu Star Advertiser reports.

“In one of the closest races in state history, Schatz and Hanabusa were separated by a mere 1,635 votes with all but two precincts accounted for and potentially as many as 8,000 votes from Hawaii island still to be tallied. Election officials still need to tabulate votes from two Puna polling sites that were closed as a result of roads damaged by Tropical Storm Iselle, affecting about 8,000 registered voters.”

Abercrombie Blown Out in Primary

August 10, 2014 at 11:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Ige (D), who was unknown to many voters six months ago, ousted Hawaii Gov. Neil Abercrombie in the Democratic primary, 67% to 32%, the Honolulu Star Advertiser reports.

“Abercrombie, who outspent Ige 10-to-1 and was endorsed by Hawaii-born President Barack Obama and Hono-lulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell, had trailed in public opinion polls before the primary and had poor job approval ratings for the past three years. But the governor’s defeat is startling given the state’s economic rebound during his four-year term and recent policy victories on the minimum wage, land conservation at Turtle Bay Resort and marriage equality.”


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Obama Warns of Long Term Air Strikes in Iraq

August 9, 2014 at 4:36 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Obama said on Saturday that the airstrikes and humanitarian assistance drops he ordered last week in Iraq could go on for months, preparing Americans for an extended military presence in the skies there as Iraq’s leaders try to build a new government,” the New York Times reports.

Said Obama: “I don’t think we’re going to solve this problem in weeks. This is going to be a long-term project.”

“The president repeated his insistence that his administration would not send ground troops back to Iraq after ending an unpopular, decade-long war and withdrawing the last troops in 2011. But two days after emphasizing the limited scope of the mission in a White House address, he pledged that the United States would stand with Iraq if it could form a unified and inclusive government to counter the Sunni militants who threaten its future.”

Some Hawaii Primary Voting Postponed

August 9, 2014 at 8:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Two Hawaii island polling sites will be closed Saturday and voting postponed for affected voters while election officials try to determine how to distribute and collect absentee ballots from the areas hemmed in by damaged roads stemming from Tropical Storm Iselle,” the Honolulu Star Advertiser reports.

KITV: “Under state law, the Office of Elections can postpone an election for no more than 21 days because of a natural disaster.”

Quote of the Day

August 9, 2014 at 8:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Increasingly politicians are rewarded for taking the most extreme maximalist positions, and sooner or later, that catches up with you.”

— President Obama, in an interview with Tom Friedman, on the rise of the Republican far right.

Obama Begins Vacation on Martha’s Vineyard

August 9, 2014 at 8:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Military helicopters flew over the Island this week as the Vineyard prepared for what is becoming a familiar August event: the arrival Saturday of President Obama for a summer vacation on the Island,” the Martha’s Vineyard Gazette reports.

“But in a departure from previous visits, the president will briefly leave the Island during his vacation. The White House official said President Obama is scheduled to depart Martha’s Vineyard on Sunday, August 17, to return to Washington, D.C., to attend White House meetings. He is scheduled to return to the Island on Tuesday, August 19. The vacation is scheduled to concluded on Sunday, August 24, when the president returns to Washington, D.C.”

James Brady’s Death Ruled a Homicide

August 9, 2014 at 8:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The death of James Brady — President Ronald Reagan’s press secretary who was wounded in the attempt on Reagan’s life in March 1981 — was a homicide, a medical examiner ruled Friday,” NBC Washington reports.

“Brady died as a result of the grievous injuries he suffered 33 years ago, the Office of the Medical Examiner for the Northern District of Virginia said. That means gunman John Hinckley Jr. could be charged with Brady’s murder.”

Fear of Another Benghazi Led to Iraq Airstrikes

August 9, 2014 at 7:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “With American diplomats and business people in Erbil suddenly at risk, at the American Consulate and elsewhere, Mr. Obama began a series of intensive deliberations that resulted, only a day later, in his authorizing airstrikes on the militants, as well as humanitarian airdrops of food and water to the besieged Iraqis.”

“Looming over that discussion, and the decision to return the United States to a war Mr. Obama had built his political career disparaging, was the specter of an earlier tragedy: the September 2012 attack on the diplomatic mission in Benghazi, Libya, which killed four Americans, including Ambassador J. Christopher Stevens, and has become a potent symbol of weakness for critics of the president.”

It’s Anyone’s Guess in Hawaii

August 8, 2014 at 1:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Harry Enten: “I don’t know who is going to win Saturday’s special Democratic Senate primary between Sen. Brian Schatz and Rep. Colleen Hanabusa — and it’s not just because there’s a lot going on in Hawaii right now (an earthquake rattled Hawaii on Thursday, and two tropical storms are on course to hit or come near Hawaii in the next five days). Instead, the polling picture in the Aloha State is a mess.”

Border Crisis Pushes GOP Further to the Right

August 8, 2014 at 1:09 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “The crisis has empowered conservatives, whose more restrictionist views on the crisis and the broader issue of dealing with the estimated 11 million undocumented immigrants living in the country have taken precedence in the party. House Republicans are pushing for more deportations, and several of the party’s prospective 2016 White House contenders are moving to align themselves with the GOP’s pro-enforcement wing.”

“But the strategy runs counter to the party’s announcement — after losing the presidential race two years ago — that its future depends largely on broadening its appeal to minority groups and that its viability as a national force in 2016 and beyond depends on making inroads with Latinos, one of the fastest-growing voting blocs.”

Greg Sargent: “This strengthening has also been fed by the apparent belief of GOP leaders that keeping the base in a lather is strategically crucial for the coming midterm elections. That may prove right. But it’s also locking Republicans into a far-right position heading into the next national election.”

Iowa GOP Hopes Shake Up Draws More Candidates

August 8, 2014 at 1:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad (R) “has spent the past year leading an effort to seize control of his state party, hoping to send a message that the kickoff presidential caucuses will be welcoming to all 2016 GOP hopefuls,” the AP reports.

“But as conservative prospects flood the state for a major annual gathering of evangelical Christians this weekend, it’s not clear whether the party makeover will make Iowa more attractive to a mainstream GOP contender. Evangelicals, tea partiers and libertarians remain strong in Iowa, which has been difficult terrain for more moderate Republicans in recent presidential cycles.”

Inside Scott Walker’s War Room

August 8, 2014 at 1:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A file titled ‘War Room’ that spells out Gov. Scott Walker’s priorities while he was Milwaukee County executive, including groups he wanted to track, was part of thousands of documents released Friday that were originally collected as part of a now-closed investigation into Walker’s aides,” the AP reports.

Quote of the Day

August 8, 2014 at 11:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I don’t think Bill and Hillary Clinton could possibly be that politically naïve. New York is a solidly blue state that never votes Republican. Pennsylvania is a swing state whose margins are closer and closer. Where would you go?”

— Former Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell (D), quoted by the New York Times, on reports the Clintons want the Democratic convention in Brooklyn rather than Philadelphia.

GOP Governors Could Be Held Back by Wall Street Rule

August 8, 2014 at 11:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“New Jersey Governor Chris Christie’s chances to be the 2012 Republican vice-presidential nominee were hampered by a U.S. regulation that could have an even bigger impact on the next race for the White House,” Bloomberg reports.

“The three-year-old rule from the Securities and Exchange Commission effectively bars governors and other state officials from raising money from Wall Street for state or federal elections. Having Christie on the ticket would have complicated Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign, which took in more money from securities and investment firms than any other industry.”

“Now, with governors including Christie, Scott Walker of Wisconsin and Bobby Jindal of Louisiana contemplating a White House run in 2016, two state Republican committees have filed a lawsuit to overturn the regulation.”

Two Very Different Views of America

August 8, 2014 at 11:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll: “By 63% to 35%, Republicans believe that the United States is a country where anyone can succeed, regardless of background. Democrats, by a 69% to 29% margin, disagree saying the widening income gap undermines that idea. Independents side with Democrats, 62% to 34%.”

Obama Gets Dragged Back Into Iraq

August 8, 2014 at 11:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “The man who won the presidency in 2008 because he opposed the Iraq war and then ended it now finds himself facing this dilemma: Once you’re back in, how do you get out? That very dilemma, according our reporting, was precisely why President Obama until yesterday hadn’t committed U.S. force against the militant Sunni group ISIS, even as many in the intel community and on his own national security staff were urging him to act sooner. The fear: You get in even incrementally, and it’s hard to get out. Because how do you STOP helping if the initial help doesn’t work? But Obama’s main calculus changed yesterday when he announced the authorization of force — because ISIS is on the march against the Kurds in Erbil. And if you lose the Kurds, you lose Iraq.”

The New York Times reports the United States began airstrikes in Iraq.

Large Number Think Watergate Was Just Politics

August 8, 2014 at 11:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new CNN poll finds that 51% of Americans believe the Watergate scandal that led to President Richard Nixon’s resignation was a serious matter, while 46% think it’s the typical politics in which both political parties engage.

Clearly more people need to read Washington Journal by Elizabeth Drew, a fantastic book.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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