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GOP Mobilizes to Save Roberts

September 11, 2014 at 8:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The GOP’s political machine is kicking into overdrive to save a Senate seat in Kansas that’s suddenly complicating its path to the majority,” Politico reports.

“With polls showing Sen. Pat Roberts in serious trouble against independent Greg Orman, top Senate Republicans, including Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky and Sen. Orrin Hatch of Utah, are leaning on big-ticket donors to fill the long-time Kansas senator’s campaign coffers. Sens. Rand Paul of Kentucky and John McCain of Arizona are planning to barnstorm the state on Roberts’ behalf. And in a bid to boost the senator’s sagging poll numbers, the Roberts campaign is planning an ad blitz to cast his long record and seniority in Washington in a more positive light.”

Cruz Moves Hint at White House Bid

September 11, 2014 at 8:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) “is continuing to send signals that he’s running for president,” Politico reports.

“The Texas senator’s chief of staff, Chip Roy, a former top hand to Texas Gov. Rick Perry, is leaving his role as chief of staff and will play a larger role in Cruz’s political office, according to an aide with knowledge of the changes. He will gradually transition from the congressional office to serve as a senior political adviser for Cruz.”

GOP Senate Increasingly Likely

September 11, 2014 at 7:21 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato: “For several months, we’ve held steady on our range of expected gains for Republicans in the Senate: a net of four to eight seats. With Labor Day in the rearview mirror and with less than 55 days to go until the midterms, we’re giving Republicans a slight bump: Our new range is a Republican net of five to eight Senate seats.”

“This means that the best-case scenario we can now envision for Democrats is a 50-50 tie in the Senate, with Vice President Joe Biden’s tiebreaking vote narrowly keeping Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) as majority leader.”

“The likeliest outcome remains a Republican gain of six or seven seats, which we noted before Labor Day and stand by now. That would be good for a narrow 51-49 or 52-48 Republican Senate majority.”

The Hill: “Senate Republicans are brimming with confidence they will be in the majority next year — and say Democrats are beginning to acknowledge privately that harsh political reality.”


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Get Off John McCain’s Lawn

September 11, 2014 at 7:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Huffington Post: “Wednesday was former White House press secretary Jay Carney’s first night as a CNN commentator, so the network did the nice thing and brought John McCain on to yell at him for a while about President Obama’s speech on ISIS. Since McCain loves both TV and arguing, it made for a lengthy brawl. Carney mostly kept his cool and defended his former boss as McCain accused him of lying about lots of things. It ended when McCain left to appear on every other television channel on earth.”

Lloyd Grove: “Jay Carney may have been hoping for a smooth debut as CNN’s ‘senior political commentator.’ Instead, he was violently mugged on live TV by Senator John McCain.”

[Read more…]

McConnell Holds Solid Lead in Kentucky

September 11, 2014 at 7:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Magellan Strategies poll in Kentucky finds Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) leads Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) in the U.S. Senate race by eight points, 50% to 42%, with Libertarian David Patterson at 6%

Ford Leaves Campaign Trail as Tumor is Found

September 11, 2014 at 7:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Toronto Mayor Rob Ford’s “future in the mayoral race is again in question after he was admitted to hospital with an abdominal tumor on Wednesday… Doctors are still looking for a definitive diagnosis… It is not yet known what kind of tumor Ford has,” the Toronto Star reports.

Ford was complaining of “left, lower quadrant abdominal pain” for three months before the pain became “unbearable” Wednesday morning, a doctor said.

Slight Majority Leans Against Independent Scotland

September 11, 2014 at 7:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Survation poll in Scotland suggests 53% will vote in a referendum next week to stay in the United Kingdom while 47% will vote for independence.

Obama Extends Legacy of War

September 11, 2014 at 7:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“In ordering a sustained military campaign against Islamic extremists in Syria and Iraq, President Obama on Wednesday night effectively set a new course for the remainder of his presidency and may have ensured that he would pass his successor a volatile and incomplete war, much as his predecessor left one for him,” the New York Times reports.

Ernst Just Ahead in Iowa

September 11, 2014 at 7:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Iowa finds Joni Ernst (R) with a slight lead over Bruce Braley (D) in the race for Senate, 45% to 43%.

Wolf Headed for Landslide

September 11, 2014 at 6:14 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Quinnipiac poll in Pennsylvania finds Tom Wolf (D) has a commanding 24-point lead over Gov. Tom Corbett (R) among likely Pennsylvania voters with a little more than seven weeks until the election, 59% to 35%.

Obama Would Give More Speeches if Networks Let Him

September 10, 2014 at 5:12 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jay Carney: “The truth is we would do it more, but the networks, especially the broadcast networks, are not always willing to say yes. The threshold question is, you know, is it of national significance on a major issue something that the president feels the American people need to hear about? Matters of military force are the most obvious circumstances that merit a prime time address. There are also issues around significant domestic legislation, or national issues. He did a national speech launching health care reform that was primetime. It’s not a well you can go back to that often, though, because it requires the networks to give the time.” 

Democrats Push Bill to Let Military Train Enemies of ISIS

September 10, 2014 at 5:07 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Democratic leaders “prepared legislation to expressly authorize the United States military to train Syrian rebels to help battle the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, and House Republicans appeared ready to follow their lead,” the New York Times reports.

“The flurry of activity means that Congress is likely to weigh in on the looming military action before the midterm elections in eight weeks. House Republicans have called an emergency meeting for Thursday morning to discuss their options, and leaders are leaning toward a vote to express some support for a broader campaign against ISIS.”

Bill Clinton is America’s Favorite Politician

September 10, 2014 at 2:13 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“When Bill Clinton left the White House in January 2001, Americans had experienced quite enough of the boisterous Big Dog and his unending dramas, both personal and political,” the Los Angeles Times reports.

“All of which makes it rather remarkable that today Clinton, as reviled a figure as ever served in the White House, stands as arguably the most popular political figure in America.”

“It’s not just his desirability to campaign for Democrats who, apart from distant fundraising assistance, want absolutely nothing to do with the current occupant of the White House. A new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll showed that, alone among today’s major political figures, Clinton is seen in an overwhelmingly positive light, with 56% approving of the former president compared to 21% who disapprove.”

South Carolina Speaker Indicted

September 10, 2014 at 2:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

South Carolina Speaker of the House Bobby Harrell (R) has been indicted “on charges of using campaign funds for personal expenses, filing false campaign disclosure reports and misconduct in office,” The State reports.

“It was the first time in memory, and maybe in history, that a sitting House Speaker has been indicted.”

Candidates Will Draw Straws Unless Voter Brings ID

September 10, 2014 at 1:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jackson Clarion Ledger: “Unless a lone affidavit voter shows up with a valid photo ID before next Tuesday, Glenn Bolin and Stephanie Bounds will draw straws to see who becomes Poplarville alderman.”

“In a special election runoff Tuesday, Bolin and Bounds each received 177 votes. But one voter showed up at the polls without a photo ID, as now required by law in Mississippi, and voted affidavit. That voter has five business days to bring in a valid ID, and could determine the election.”

Cheney Attacks Obama Ahead of Speech

September 10, 2014 at 12:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Dick Cheney “delivered a prebuttal of sorts” ahead of his nationally-televised statement tonight on combating the Islamic State, according to Business Insider.

Said Cheney: “In a few hours we’ll hear what he has in mind for the terrorist onslaught currently in Iraq. We can hope for — and we should look for — signs of a forceful, bold, and immediate strategy to defeat ISIS. We can say already, however, that such a plan would mark an abrupt and dramatic departure from his rhetoric thus far.”

He added that Obama was pursuing “utterly failed” policies that were “willfully blind” of what is needed to maintain U.S. security.

Conversation with Chuck McCutcheon and David Mark

September 10, 2014 at 10:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Chuck McCutcheon and David Mark, authors of Dog Whistles, Walk-Backs and Washington Handshakes, joined us on the Political Wire podcast for a fascinating discussion of political jargon and what it really means.

Listen here:

Subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or RSS to get episodes automatically downloaded.

Special thanks to the Cook Political Report for sponsoring this episode. If you don’t already subscribe, you’re nuts.

Carney Joins CNN After Leaving White House

September 10, 2014 at 10:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former White House Press Secretary Jay Carney will join CNN as a political commentator, Politico reports.

He will start tonight as President Obama makes a prime-time statement about combating the Islamic State.

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Play in Peoria: To “play in Peoria” is a phrase meaning how well something will appeal to the heartland or mainstream America.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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