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Outside Spending on Record Pace

April 16, 2014 at 9:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Morning Line: “Federal campaign finance reports were (in theory) due at midnight for the first quarter of 2014, and we’re going to be looking at a few different angles on money in this election. First, what’s available comprehensively is outside spending (because it’s updated more regularly). So far, outside groups have spent $56 million, outpacing every other midterm election to this point and more than doubling 2010 spending (which was $23 million at this point), the previous record year for midterms, according to the Center for Responsive Politics. In fact, outside spending has already outpaced every PRESIDENTIAL election except 2012.”

Sebelius Weighs Senate Bid

April 16, 2014 at 8:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Kathleen Sebelius (D) is considering running against Sen. Pat Roberts (R-KS), who called on her to resign after the bungled launch of Obamacare last fall, the New York Times reports.

“Several Democrats said this week that Ms. Sebelius had been mentioned with growing frequency as someone who could wage a serious challenge to Mr. Roberts, 77, who is running for a fourth term and is considered vulnerable. One person who spoke directly to Ms. Sebelius said that she was thinking about it, but added that it was too soon to say how seriously she was taking the idea.”

The Downside of Pay Equality?

April 16, 2014 at 8:42 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wonk Wire: Phyllis Schlafly says women won’t find husbands if paid the same as men.


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The Martinez Tapes

April 16, 2014 at 8:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mother Jones published previously unreleased audio recordings, text messages and emails which reveal a side of New Mexico Gov. Susanna Martinez (R) the public “has rarely, if ever, seen.”

“In private, Martinez can be nasty, juvenile, and vindictive. She appears ignorant about basic policy issues and has surrounded herself with a clique of advisers who are prone to a foxhole mentality.”

Top Bush Official Advised Obama on Gay Marriage

April 16, 2014 at 8:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The New York Times has a must-read look at how President Obama reversed his position on same-sex marriage.

“David Plouffe, a mastermind of the 2008 victory and a senior adviser to the president, reached out to Ken Mehlman for advice. The previous year, Mehlman, a former chairman of the Republican National Committee who engineered President George W. Bush’s re-election, came out as gay and began working with the foundation Griffin set up to fund the Proposition 8 lawsuit, attracting well-known G.O.P. donors, strategists and officials to the cause. Mehlman had already met with Obama over lunch at the White House and told him that people voted for him in 2008 because they viewed him as an idealist who would put politics aside and do what was right. Endorsing same-sex marriage would remind voters that he was still that man.”

“Mehlman sent Plouffe an email suggesting that the president announce his support for same-sex marriage in a TV interview with a female host. He also laid out specific language for Obama to use. Explain that this was a family decision and not a political one, he advised.”

Christie Favors Abolishing Campaign Donor Limits

April 16, 2014 at 8:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) voiced support “for an end to campaign-finance limits, which he said have led to a system that has obscured the sources – but not stemmed the rise – of money in politics,” the Philadelphia Inquirer reports.

Said Christie: “The idea you’re going to take money out of politics is just not going to happen. None of these laws change that. So let’s just have transparency to it.”

Democrats Hold Edge in Generic Ballot

April 16, 2014 at 8:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new McClatchy-Marist poll finds Democrats have staked out a lead over Republicans in the generic Congressional ballot, 48% to 42%.

However, just 45% approve of President Obama’s job performance, while 52% disapprove.

Will Personhood Become Issue in Key Senate Races?

April 16, 2014 at 8:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Greg Sargent: “The issue isn’t being discussed at all by Washington prognosticators these days. But you can bet that some of the most hard fought Senate races this fall will feature big fights over ‘Personhood’ measures, which have declared that full human rights begin at the moment of fertilization.”

“A number of GOP Senate candidates are on record supporting Personhood in some form. Once primary season is over, and the Senate general elections get underway in earnest, you are likely to see Democrats attack Republicans over the issue — broadening the battle for female voters beyond issues such as pay equity to include an emotionally fraught cultural argument that Dems have used to their advantage in the past.”

Castro Brothers Looking for Higher Office

April 16, 2014 at 7:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The New York Times profiles the Castro brothers, who “seem to be everywhere these days, and not just because they are hard to tell apart.”

“While the Castros have projected a fresh Latino face for their party, some Democrats are concerned that the brothers suffer from both an overabundance of political caution and a lack of Spanish skills. Mr. Castro, for example, passed on a potential cabinet position in the Obama administration that might have made him a more appealing running mate. Neither brother, both of whom graduated from Stanford and then Harvard Law, speaks fluent Spanish. And neither is learning it.”

Republicans Narrow Cities for Convention

April 16, 2014 at 7:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Las Vegas Review Journal reports that six cities are finalists to host the Republican National Convention in 2016, “including Las Vegas, Denver, Dallas, Cincinnati, Cleveland and Kansas City.”

“Las Vegas and Dallas are thought to be the favorites in the competition — thanks mostly to generous GOP donors who will help raise at least $60 million to put on the convention. But GOP leaders said the cities are all under equal consideration.”

Quote of the Day

April 16, 2014 at 7:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I am telling you if there is a God, when I get to heaven I’m not stopping to be interviewed. I am heading straight in. I have earned my place in heaven. It’s not even close.”

— Michael Bloomberg, quoted by the New York Times.

GOP Governor Signs Ban On Minimum Wage Increase

April 16, 2014 at 7:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Oklahoma Gov. Mary Fallin (R) signed a bill “prohibiting cities across the state from establishing mandatory minimum wage and employee benefits, including vacation or sick leave days,” the Huffington Post reports.

“Advocates of the new law contend that efforts to increase the minimum wage across various municipalities could potentially harm local business communities.”

GOP Lawmaker Calls Breastfeeding ‘Smart and Sexy’

April 16, 2014 at 7:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A Republican legislator in the Alaska state House apologized for touting the benefits of breastfeeding by calling it “smart and sexy,” the Huffington Post reports.

Said state Rep. Shelley Hughes (R): “My intent was to draw attention to this incredibly important issue. Unfortunately, this is not the kind of attention I hoped to receive. I take full responsibility for the headline. I apologize for the poor choice of words, and am sorry if I offended anyone.”

Outside Groups Have Raised Nearly $1 Billion

April 16, 2014 at 7:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is sitting on one of the largest bank accounts in politics, both among party-linked campaign committees and outside groups. Among party-backed groups that have disclosed their fundraising, the closest rival is the Democrats’ Senate committee, sitting on $22 million at the end of March… House Republicans’ committee ended February with almost $24.8 million banked,” the Miami Herald reports.

“But party-aligned committees are just one piece of the political money puzzle that is already approaching the $1 billion mark — completely independent of candidates whose names are on the ballots.”

The Fix has the Q1 fundraising winners and losers.

Bloomberg Plans $50 Million Challenge to NRA

April 16, 2014 at 6:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Michael Bloomberg, “making his first major political investment since leaving office, plans to spend $50 million this year building a nationwide grass-roots network to motivate voters who feel strongly about curbing gun violence, an organization he hopes can eventually outmuscle the National Rifle Association,” the New York Times reports.

“The considerable advantages that gun rights advocates enjoy — in intensity, organization and political clout — will not be easy to overcome. Indeed, Mr. Bloomberg has already spent millions of dollars trying to persuade members of Congress to support enhanced background check laws with virtually nothing to show for it.”

First Read: “Bloomberg’s new multi-million-dollar effort is striking, because it’s a
recognition that his earlier gun-control push didn’t work.”

Landrieu Staged Hearing for New Ad

April 15, 2014 at 12:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) released a very effective ad using footage from local and cable news broadcasts.

However, the Weekly Standard notes at least one scene — Landrieu speaking at a committee hearing — was re-enacted for the ad.

“The reenactment fixes a verbal flub from Landrieu’s original speech. Originally, she said ‘Do you think there are a bunch of fairy godmothers out there that just wish a magic wand?’ The line is cleaned up for the campaign ad.”

[Read more…]

Mayor Quits After Saying Disabled Shouldn’t Have Sex

April 15, 2014 at 12:20 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Conservative mayor of Swindon has resigned after he called disabled people ‘Mongols’ and questioned whether they should be allowed to have sex,” Huffington Post UK reports.

Abbott Comfortably Ahead in Texas

April 15, 2014 at 12:14 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Public Policy Polling (D) survey in Texas finds Greg Abbott (R) leading Wendy Davis (D) in the race for governor by double-digits, 51% to 37%.

Key findings: “Those numbers are largely unchanged from our last poll of the state in early November when Abbott had a 50/35 advantage. Davis had a 39/29 favorability rating right after her famous filibuster last June, but since then voters in the state have mostly moved toward having negative opinions about her and now she’s at a 33/47 spread.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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