A new Public Policy Polling survey finds Chris Christie (R) leading Hillary Clinton — and all other Democratic candidates — in potential 2016 match ups.
Christie leads Clinton, 45% to 42%, “because he’s viewed favorably across party lines. He’s at 48/26 with Republicans, 46/28 with independents, and 38/36 with Democrats.”
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) “sounds like a man who intends to stay in his office into the next decade,” Roll Call reports.
Said Reid: “I don’t want to do it more than eight more years.”
“Reid is up for re-election in 2016 and has repeatedly said he intends to run again. He reiterated that intention again on Wednesday and indicated he’s looking at serving another full term running the Senate, if Democrats hold onto the majority the entire time. If he and Democrats are able to hold onto power that long, Reid would be the leader for 16 years, matching the current record set by the legendary Montana Democrat Mike Mansfield.”
“Honestly, it’s baffling what he’s doing. I don’t know what his end game
is. I think if he wants to run for the U.S. Senate he should get in the
race. New Hampshire voters are not interested in begging candidates to run for office.”
— GOP strategist Dave Carney, quoted by the Boston Globe, on former Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) toying with the idea of running for U.S. Senate from New Hampshire.
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Greg Sargent: “Seriously, go look at the trends over times.
The current split is roughly where opinion was in August of 2009
(45-50), when the Post first polled on this. It’s marginally better now
for the law than it was after the 2010 midterm drubbing to Dems (43-52).
It’s almost exactly where it was in the summer of 2012, before Obama
won reelection decisively (47-47). Then it dropped, and now it’s back to
where it was before the rollout.”
Two appointees of New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie’s (R) “who recently resigned amid a controversy over lane closures at the George Washington Bridge have retained private attorneys,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“Word of the hirings comes one day before a raft of correspondence and documents related to the bridge controversy — and any possible connection to the Christie administration — were due to be delivered to a legislative inquiry of the state Assembly.”
A new Washington Post-ABC News poll findsz that 72% of those who disapprove of the job President Obama, congressional Democrats and congressional Republicans are doing say they’d vote for the GOP candidate for U.S. House in their district if the election were held today, while just 14% say they’d vote for the Democrat.
A new Quinnipiac poll in Iowa finds Rep. Bruce Braley (D-IA) would defeat each of the six possible Republicans running for this open-seat race. His closest competitor was former U.S. Attorney Matt Whitaker (R), whom Braley beat 43% to 40%.
Roll Call: “Which Republican advances from a potential nominating convention may have the biggest effect on which party wins the seat.”
An upcoming Mitt Romney campaign documentary includes emotional footage of him preparing to offer his concession to President Obama.
Said Romney: “Someone have a number for the President?”
Mitt will be released on Netflix on January 24.
“Harry, I’m going to go kick the crap out of you.”
— Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), quoted by the New York Times, before giving a speech blasting Sen. Harry Reid’s proposal to change the filibuster rules.
Major Garrett: “Immigration is, after all, the last remaining domestic priority President Obama and Boehner share. Obama and Boehner’s relationship, while not warm, is less confrontational and more routinely civil. They’ve spoken twice since mid-November. Obama called Boehner to wish him happy birthday on Nov. 17 and after the House passed the budget deal. Dealings on Obama’s State of the Union address, previously a bit nettlesome at the staff level, were routine. This doesn’t mean immigration can or will pass. But irritants of the past are precisely that. New possibilities have presented themselves, and the political and tactical climate may, several months hence, be such that Obama and Boehner find passing immigration reform irresistible.”
The Week: “Well, the first year of Obama’s second term was marked by a litany of scandals and failures — from the embarrassing revelations about the NSA’s spy programs, to the awful rollout of the ObamaCare website — that were most abhorrent to the party faithful… As the year wore on, those same erstwhile supporters bristled over what they viewed as a troubling foreign policy coming out of the White House.”
Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) “has a choice to make,” The Hill reports.
“The Republican Budget Committee chairman is the most popular conservative in the House, and over the coming year, he will have to decide whether to seek a more powerful committee gavel, launch a bid for House leadership or take a risky leap into the crowded waters of the 2016 presidential campaign.”
“In interviews The Hill conducted with more than two dozen House Republicans from across the ideological spectrum over the last couple of weeks, many of Ryan’s colleagues said they are doubtful he will run for president in 2016. Most believe that concerns for his young family will lead him to lay claim to the job he’s always wanted: chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee.”
“The gender gap is alive and well in American politics. Indeed, it may be the defining characteristic of our political system as next year’s midterm elections beckon,” Gerald Seib writes.
“We’re not talking here just about the well-established pattern in which women are more likely to vote Democratic and men Republican in presidential elections. That’s true, but it appears to be only the tip of a gender-gap iceberg.”
“On virtually all the hot-button issues that bedevil Washington today–guns, health, how to fix the economy, the state of the Obama presidency–the difference between men and women is striking. And it all adds up to a large difference in what men and women prefer in next year’s congressional elections.”
Rep. Charles Rangel (D-NY) “will run for a 23rd term representing his Harlem district and plans an announcement as early as Thursday,” the New York Daily News reports.
Said a source: “He’s decided. He’s running.”
Bradley Byrne (R) coasted to victory in Alabama’s 1st congressional district special election on Tuesday night, easily defeating Burton LeFlore (D) in the final congressional special election of 2013, Roll Call reports.
Mobile Press-Register:
“Returning from the nadir of his political career after a stinging loss
in the 2010 Republican gubernatorial primary, Bradley Byrne on Tuesday
won a landslide victory over Democrat Burton LeFlore in a special
election for Congress.”
New York Times: “Something odd happened here on Tuesday. The Senate advanced a two-year bipartisan budget deal that will now surely be sent to the president for his signature later this week without waiting for a cliff, a chasm, a deadline or a shutdown to force its hand.”
“Just like that, declarations sounded in Washington that the city almost seemed to be working again. The assertions may be little solace to competing ends of the ideological spectrum that saw the budget deal as a craven capitulation to the spenders or the cutters, depending on which end was looking at it. But flawed as critics complained it was, the deal represented a break in the paralysis that has gripped the capital for years.”
Politico: “When President Barack Obama’s chief of staff, Denis McDonough, approached John Podesta a few weeks ago about taking over the high-aggravation job of White House counselor, the biggest concern wasn’t that he would say no. After all, he had already done so twice before. Obama’s team was more worried that Podesta would say no and that word of his rejection would leak, making the White House look feckless and desperate at the end of Obama’s brutal fifth year in office. So, the circle of people in the know was kept to a small handful; it was so closely held that even the perpetually plugged-in ‘Davids’–Obama confidants Axelrod and Plouffe–weren’t consulted.”
“That Obama’s team couldn’t afford to suffer even the minor embarrassment of a possible Podesta rebuff is a measure of just how precarious things have gotten less than a year after the president’s triumphant second inauguration–and how much the White House could use the services of Podesta, the closest thing Washington has to a turnaround specialist for wayward Democratic commanders in chief.”
Rep. Tom Latham (R-IA), a top ally of Speaker John Boehner, became the third member of Congress to announce his retirement today, Roll Call reports.
The Hill: “His retirement comes as a surprise — just a year ago he’d defeated fellow Rep. Leonard Boswell (D-Iowa) in a hotly contested race, and had turned down national Republicans’ pleas to run for an open Senate seat.”
President Obama carried the district in 2012 by over four points.
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.
Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.
Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.
Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.
Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.
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